Saturday, September 12, 2015

MLB: Saturday's plays

Play: Philadelphia +1.5 +105 (Haren vs. Eickhoff)

Time: 7:05 p.m. ET

Reasoning: The Phillies would be 73-69 if they were given 1.5 rpg. Chicago would be 53-87 if it gave 1.5 rpg. Philadelphia will run out Jerad Eickhoff in this one. The rookie, who was acquired in the Cole Hamels deal, has posted three quality starts out of four tries. The Cubs will go with Dan Haren, who has allowed nine runs over 18 innings in three games vs. the Phillies this season. Haren is 2-6 with a 4.50 ERA in 13 career starts against Philadelphia and he is 0-5 in seven outings in Citizens Bank Park. Phillies relievers are nearly as good as their Chicago counterparts overall in 2015, and Cubs relievers have a 4.82 ERA in their last five.



Play: Milwaukee/Pittsburgh under 8 -110 (Davies vs. Locke)

Time: 7:05 p.m. ET

Reasoning: Games at PNC Park average 7.59 runs. Rookie Zach Davies takes the ball for the Brewers and he allowed one run on four hits and didn't walk a batter over seven innings in his last start. Jeff Locke goes for the Pirates and he has a 3.62 ERA at home. Milwaukee is hitting .233 and is scoring a half-run fewer per game vs. LH. Pittsburgh's bullpen has a 2.76 ERA overall and Brewers relievers have a 2.83 ERA over their last 10.


Play: Detroit +102 (Verlander vs. Anderson)

Time: 7:10 p.m. ET

Reasoning: The Indians are 30-34 at home and starter Cody Anderson has a 5.33 ERA at Progressive Field. Justin Verlander has a 1.78 ERA in his last nine starts. He also hasn't allowed a homer in five of his last six. Miguel Cabrera has a 13-game hitting streak and James McCann is 10-for-24 with six RBIs and four runs scored in his last six.


Play: N.Y. Mets/Atlanta under 8 -110 (Snydergaard vs. Perez)

Time: 7:10 p.m. ET

Reasoning: Games umpired by Chris Segal have averaged 7.58 runs. The Braves are averaging just 2.97 rpg over their last 10. New York's bullpen has a 0.51 ERA over its last five. Noah Snydergaard will go for the Mets, and he is rested having not pitched since Aug. 30. He has a 3.31 ERA and a 1.14 WHIP on the season. Williams Perez allowed only two runs on six hits over seven innings in his last start. He pitched a scoreless inning to earn a save on June 13 against New York.


Record: 419-333-17 (55.7%)
Bankroll: +196.24% 

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