Wednesday's MLB plays

Play: Arizona -120 (action vs. Collmenter)

Time: 9:40 p.m. ET

Reasoning: Colorado is playing over its head on the road. It's 8-8 away from home right now, but it was 29-52 there in each of the last two years. Likewise, Rockies starter Jordan Lyles should start regressing to the mean performance-wise very soon. He wasn't supposed to be in the rotation this season. And in three lifetime starts against the Diamondbacks he is 0-2 with a 10.43 ERA and a .411 BAA. He'll be opposed by Josh Collmenter, who pitched six shutout innings in his last start. He is 2-1 with a 0.99 WHIP in 15 games (five starts) lifetime against Colorado. The Rockies are hitting 31 points lower vs. RH and their bullpen has a 4.15 ERA over the last 10 games.




Play: San Diego/San Francisco over 7 +105 (Erlin vs. Hudson)

Time: 10:15 p.m. ET

Reasoning: The Giants are scoring 5.10 runs per game overall vs. LH and, in their last 10 contests against southpaws, they are scoring an unbelievable 10.80 rpg. Tonight they will face Robbie Erlin, who has a 6.35 ERA and a 1.41 WHIP. Erlin has a 4.76 ERA in two lifetime starts against San Francisco. I also think that Tim Hudson is overdue for a clunker. Hudson, who will turn 39 on July 14, suffered his only loss of the season on April 19 when the Padres tagged him for eight hits. San Diego should have Jedd Gyorko (paternity leave) and Seth Smith (groin) back for this one. The Giants bullpen has allowed about one run more per game than normal over the last 10 games. Mark Ripperger is an "over" umpire for his career and his games averaged 9.33 runs in each of the last two seasons.


Record: 59-38-3 (60.8%)