MLB: Tuesday's play

Play: Milwaukee/Cincinnati over 6 -108 (Fiers vs. Cueto)

Time: 7:10 p.m. ET

Reasoning: I had a feeling this total would drop from its opening figure of 6.5 and it finally did. Games for these teams average between 7.33 and 8.15 runs in both the overall and the home/away splits. The starters (Mike Fiers and Johnny Cueto) have had excellent seasons, and thus the total is as low as it is even though they are playing this one in Great American Ball Park. Fiers allowed four earned runs on nine hits in 4.2 innings in his last start against the Reds. Cueto was rocked in his last start (6 ER, 5 BB in 5.2 IP vs. the Cubs). And Milwaukee 3B Aramis Ramirez is 14-for-42 with five homers and 11 RBIs versus Cueto. Bullpen-wise both teams are shaky (3.68 and 4.13, respectively, in overall ERA). Brewers relievers have a 4.38 ERA in their last five games and Cincinnati relievers have a 4.91 ERA in their last 10 games.


Record: 191-139-8 (57.9%)
Bankroll: +139.47%