NCAAF: Saturday's play

Play: North Carolina +2.5 -105

Time: 3:30 p.m. ET

Reasoning: My power rankings say this game should be a pick 'em, so there's automatic value with this line. East Carolina has an excellent quarterback in Shane Carden, but the Tar Heels boast a defense that can neutralize his effectiveness. North Carolina has intercepted five passes (and has forced nine turnovers) in two games. Cornerback Brian Walker has two of the picks, and he returned one 100 yards for a TD against San Diego State. The Heels' QB (Marquise Williams) is no slouch either. He can sling it and he also leads his squad in rushing. Williams has two game-breaking WRs in Mack Hollins and Ryan Switzer, who also is dangerous when returning punts. North Carolina is coming off of a bye, is 12-3-1 in the all-time series and it's 6-1 ATS in the last seven meetings. The Pirates are 3-13 ATS in their last 16 vs. teams with winning records.


Record: 190-138-8 (57.9%)
Bankroll: +140.02%