Play: L.A. Lakers/Boston under 216 -104
Time: 7:30 p.m. ET
Reasoning: Games for neither team average this total both overall and in the home/away splits. The don't shoot or make many three-pointers and Boston has averaged just 98.6 points per game in its last five. This is the second-highest total the Lakers have faced this season and their game that had the 221 total saw just 195 points in overtime. This is the highest total Boston has seen this season. The Celts have horrible interior defense, but that shouldn't matter against L.A. The Lakers shot just 37.5% inside the arc and scored just 20 points in the paint at Washington on Wednesday night. Jeremy Lin didn't score at all (0-of-10 shooting) and Kobe Bryant went scoreless in the second half and is shooting just 34.2% in the second halves of games vs. 44.0% before halftime. Boston shot just 39.8% Wednesday vs. Detroit and held the Pistons to 36.3% shooting. Rajon Rondo is averaging just 8.3 ppg and he's always been terrible at the line. But he's shooting only 30% (not a misprint) from the stripe this season.
Record: 221-166-8 (57.1%)
Bankroll: +132.04%
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