NFL: Sunday's 4:25 p.m. ET plays

Play: San Francisco -6.5 -110

Time: 4:25 p.m. ET

Reasoning: Arizona already has a playoff berth in place. The Cardinals will start Ryan Lindley at QB, and he has thrown 225 passes without a TD (an NFL record). Arizona was destroyed by Seattle 35-6 last week. The Cardinals defense is worn down and safety Tyrann Mathieu is playing with a cast on his left hand. The 49ers are gonna want to look good in their home finale and at the same time snap a four-game skid. San Francisco has had an extra day to prepare for this one, and its veteran-laden roster should show up to play. Arizona is 1-4 ATS in their last five in the Bay Area and 3-9 ATS in the last 12 meetings overall. The Cardinals average only 80.7 ypg rushing and San Fran's defense allows just 18.6 ppg.

Plays: Detroit +7.5 -111 and Detroit/Green Bay over 47 -103

Time: 4:25 p.m. ET

Reasoning: The Lions have won four straight and last week they did it in come-from-behind fashion. Detroit ranks second in the NFL in yards allowed (295.9 ypg) and scoring defense (16.8 ppg). The Lions could make the Packers one-dimensional, since they allow a league-best 63.8 ypg rushing. And Eddie Lacy ran for just 36 yards in the first meeting this season. Still, Green Bay averages 41.1 ppg at home, so I expect Detroit to limit them only so much. Aaron Rodgers suffered a strained left calf in last week's tilt with Tampa Bay, but he still has racked up 23 TDs against zero INTs at home in 2014. On offense the Lions have a pair of 1,000-yard receivers (Golden Tate and Calvin Johnson) and their backfield duo of Joique Bell and Reggie Bush is always dangerous. Matthew Stafford threw for 520 yards and five TDs in the regular-season finale (a 45-41 loss) in 2011. It will be a little chilly (about 20 degrees) in Green Bay on Sunday afternoon but the skies will be clear. The teams that give the Packers the most trouble are the ones that can stop the run. And since Nick Fairley went down before the second half of the season, Detroit has allowed just 52.1 ypg rushing.



Record: 231-176-8 (56.8%)
Bankroll: +126.86%