Monday, December 1, 2014

NBA: Monday's plays

Plays: L.A. Clippers -14 -110 and Minnesota/L.A. Clippers under 216 -110

Time: 10:30 p.m. ET

Reasoning: This is the perfect spot for a Clippers blowout and I think that increases the probability of an under as well. Los Angeles is coming off a road trip where it won six of seven games with the only loss coming against league-leading Memphis. The Clippers have won nine straight in the series and here they will face an injury-riddled Minnesota team. The Timberwolves are missing three starters because of injury (Ricky Rubio, Kevin Martin and Nikola Pekovic) as well as reserve Ronny Turiaf. Two of the 10 players used by Minnesota in Sunday's 107-93 loss in Portland played through illnesses (Mo Williams, strep throat, pink eye and Andrew Wiggins, flu). Rookie Zach LaVine didn't step up (zero points), but Shabazz Muhammad did and scored 28. But I wouldn't put too much stock in Muhammad's performance, as that's the same number of points he scored in the previous four games combined. With Pekovic out I like Blake Griffin to go hog-wild. In 15 career games against the Wolves Griffin has averaged 24.1 points and 9.7 rebounds. In Saturday’s win against Utah he scored 28 on 13-of-18 from the floor and he made his only three-point try. During the road trip Los Angeles held a 106.6-94.4 average scoring edge and it shot 50.4% from the floor and 41.6% on threes. Jamal Crawford has shot 53.4% over his last four games and has averaged 22.3 points. The Clippers won the most recent meeting in the series (March 31) by a score of 114-104 despite missing Griffin (back) and Crawford (calf). In that game Chris Paul had 22 points, nine assists and seven rebounds while DeAndre Jordan pulled down 24 rebounds. Minnesota's perimeter defense is poor (41.6%) and Los Angeles can bomb (37.6%). Add to this the Clippers' propensity to shoot three-pointers (32.3% of their shots)... I like L.A. to get a good lead, rest its starters at the end of the contest nd thus cash both bets. 

Record: 219-163-8 (57.3%)
Bankroll: +140.66%

No comments:

Post a Comment