Sunday, November 30, 2014

NFL: Sunday's play

Play: San Diego +6.5 +100

Time: 1 p.m. ET

Reasoning: The Chargers have won two straight and Philip Rivers was firing on all cylinders last week (29-of-35 for 291 yards). Here he will face the NFL's 29th-ranked pass defense that gave up 420 yards last Monday night. I think his short passing and no-huddle attack will be effective in neutralizing Baltimore's great pass rush. The Ravens are 7-4 but they are just 3-4 against non-NFC South teams. Baltimore got 182 yards and two TDs from Justin Forsett in the last contest and its sixth in the league in rushing. But San Diego allowed its last two opponents an average of 89 rushing yards. The Chargers have benefited from the return of LBs Melvin Ingram, Jeremiah Attaochu and Manti Te'o from injuries. This is an early game for San Diego, but it's also a veteran team that defeated Buffalo in an early game in Week 3.

Record: 218-163-8 (57.2%)
Bankroll: +133.65%

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