Time: 12:30 p.m. ET
Reasoning: Detroit won on Thanksgiving last season, but that was its first Turkey Day victory in 10 years. The Lions have lost two straight and didn't score a touchdown in either of those contests. The Bears have won two in a row and I like them to control the line of scrimmage against Detroit's offense. The Lions are still without their best lineman (RG Larry Warford, knee) and they might start two undrafted free agents at the tackle spots. Against New England LT Riley Reiff (knee) went down on the first play and he is questionable for this tilt. Therefore I expect Jared Allen and Willie Young to wreak some havoc. Detroit has trouble running the ball anyway, but Reggie Bush being questionable (knee and back) doesn't help. Ditto Calvin Johnson's poor reception percentage (43.2%) since returning from an ankle injury in Week 10. Johnson has now gone three straight without catching 50 percent or more of his targets. The Lions also needed three consecutive come-from-behind wins in October and November to get where they are. Chicago will be fine if it uses quick passes (its strength) in its offensive strategy. In its last game Detroit allowed 34 points and Matthew Stafford went 18-for-46 (39.1%) passing.
Record: 215-161-8 (57.2%)
Bankroll: +129.65%
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