NFL: Sunday's play

Play: Cincinnati +2 -110

Time: 1 p.m. ET

Reasoning: Andy Dalton is 0-3 in his career against Houston, but he's going against a different Texans team than he faced in the last meeting (playoffs following the 2012 season). Last week at New Orleans, Dalton posted the highest passer rating of his career (143.9). He got an All-Pro performance from A.J. Green vs. the Saints (six catches, 127 yards and a score) and on Sunday he may have Giovani Bernard (hip) back on his side for the first time in four weeks. The Bengals haven't missed Bernard a ton because they have Jeremy Hill (389 yards in the last three weeks). Dalton completed 72.7% of his passes against New Orleans partly because his offensive line gave him protection. The line could be even better with Andre Smith's return, which is likely after he practiced this week. Houston can bring a pass rush, but Dalton ranks second in the NFL (after Peyton Manning) in shortest average time in the pocket. The Texans give up big plays. They have allowed 23 plays of 30 or more yards, worst in the league. Arian Foster (groin) is questionable and I doubt that Alfred Blue will match his 156 yards from his first-ever start last week. Ditto for Ryan Mallet, who won his first career start. Cincinnati held the Saints to 75 rushing yards.

Record: 213-161-8 (57.0%)
Bankroll: +117.61%