Friday, November 21, 2014

NBA: Friday's plays

Plays: New Orleans -2.5 -110 and New Orleans/Denver under 213.5 -110

Time: 9 p.m. ET

Reasoning: This is the highest total the Pelicans have faced this season and it's the second-highest number the Nuggets have seen. Games for both teams average well below 213.5 both overall and in the home/away splits. New Orleans is an above-average shooting team and is above-average defensively and Denver is below average shooting and defending. Behind the arc, offensively and defensively, the Pelicans' advantage is even more pronounced. My power rankings say New Orleans should be favored by 5.5 points. It has the better record and has played a tougher schedule. The Nuggets are 0-4 against Top 10 teams and 1-5 against Top 16 squads. The Pelicans take care of the ball and have big advantages in the steals and blocked shots departments. New Orleans got 28 points and nine rebounds from standout power forward Anthony Davis in its last game and he has scored 20 or more points in seven straight and nine of his last 10 contests. And swingman Tyreke Evans is averaging 16.1 points and shooting 46.7 percent from 3-point range. The athletic Evans fared well against Denver last season, averaging 22 points, 5.7 rebounds and 5.3 assists while shooting 50 percent from the field.

Record: 212-159-8 (57.1%)
Bankroll: +124.81%

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