Time: 1 p.m. ET
Reasoning: Miami has won three straight and it dominated San Diego last week, but it faces a sterner test going into Detroit to face a Lions team that also has won three straight and has Calvin Johnson back from an ankle injury. Detroit also is coming off of a bye and it's 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games following byes. And it is 2-0 this season against Top 10 teams. The Lions have been doing it with defense, yielding the fewest points (15.8 per game) and yards (290.4 per game) in the NFL. With Johnson out they got a huge contribution from Golden Tate, who totaled 305 yards in the last two games.
Play: Atlanta -2.5 -125
Time: 1 p.m. ET
Reasoning: The Falcons should get the cure for what has ailed them when they face a Tampa Bay team they dismantled 56-14 in Week 3. Atlanta has won nine of the last 12 meetings, and even though the Falcons have been atrocious on defense, they shouldn't get hurt too much by the league's 31st-ranked offense. Tampa Bay also stinks on defense, ranking 31st. The Buccaneers will run Luke McCown out there at QB, and he he recorded just 420 yards and two TDs (against four INTs) in the first three games of the season (all losses). McCown suffered a thumb injury in that game against Atlanta. In that game Matt Ryan completed 87.5% of his passes and put up a 155.9 QB rating. The Falcons lead the NFC in red-zone efficiency (76.5% TD rate) and they are tied with Denver for the league lead in big-play touchdowns (those of 20-plus yards).
Record: 206-156-8 (56.9%)
Bankroll: +110.47%
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