Play: Kansas City/Baltimore over 7 +101 (Shields vs. Tillman)
Time: 8 p.m. ET
Reasoning: Games for both teams average about eight runs both overall and in the home/away splits. This season the Orioles led the majors in home runs and the Royals led the majors in stolen bases. James Shields has a 4.76 ERA in his last three starts and he is 3-4 with a 4.96 ERA in eight career postseason turns. Baltimore hits RH better and scores 0.69 more runs per game against them. The Orioles are averaging 6.26 rpg in their last five games against RH. Nelson Cruz has 16 career postseason homers, including eight in 12 ALCS games. Chris Tillman has a 4.00 ERA in his last three starts and he's completed seven innings only once in his last seven starts.
Record: 195-146-8 (57.2%)
Bankroll: +113.43%
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