Play: Chicago -3 -117
Time: 1 p.m. ET
Reasoning: Miami lost an emotionally-draining heartbreaker last week and now it has to face a potent Bears offense and an opportunistic Bears defense. Chicago has yet to score 30 this season, but I like it to get to that mark against a Dolphins team that has to use 5-foot-10 cornerbacks to cover 6-foot-4 Brandon Marshall and 6-foot-3 Alshon Jeffery. I also like the Bears to force some turnovers, which isn't too hard against Ryan Tannehill. Chicago is third in the NFL in takeaways (12) and has scored 49 points off of those turnovers. The Bears looked great against Atlanta last week (27-13 win). Jay Cutler threw for 381 yards and Matt Forte compiled 10-plus catches for the second straight week. Forte, who had two TDs against the Falcons, leads the NFL in receptions (46). Miami will be without Knowshon Moreno (season-ending knee injury last week). The Bears are 10th in the league in run defense. Dolphins WR Brian Hartline has been a big disappointment (zero catches last week, just 16 for the season). Against Atlanta, Willie Young, Lamarr Houston and Jared Allen combined for three sacks and eight hurries and their unit allowed the Falcons just 42 rushing yards. Chicago is 7-0 when winning the turnover battle under Marc Trestman.
Record: 197-149-8 (56.9%)
Bankroll: +105.92%
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