Play: Baltimore -108 (Chen vs. action)
Time: 8 p.m. ET
Reasoning: My analysis is the same for this matchup as it was yesterday. Unfortunately I couldn't get it for Monday's price (+102), but it's still worth a play... No team has ever come back from a 2-0 deficit in the ALCS after losing
the first two at home, but I'm not expecting the Orioles to do that. I
just like them on Tuesday. Baltimore is scoring 0.66 more runs per game
vs. RH. Here they will face Jeremy Guthrie, who hasn't pitched since
Sept. 26. The Orioles have gone 47-35 on the road in 2014. Kansas City
is just 44-39 at home this season. Baltimore will start Wei-Yin Chen,
and he has better numbers than Guthrie. Chen surrendered two or fewer
runs in each of his last five regular-season turns. The Orioles also
have the better bullpen (3.11 ERA vs. 3.24 ERA). Look for Nelson Cruz to
keep up his torrid pace (multiple hits in all five of Baltimore's
postseason games).
Record: 197-146-8 (57.4%)
Bankroll: +125.63%
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