Play: Kansas City/San Francisco under 6.5 -120 (Shields vs. Bumgarner)
Time: 8 p.m. ET
Reasoning: James Shields has struggled throughout the postseason, but Royals manager Ned Yost still has confidence in him and so do I that he'll pitch well tonight. He's posted a 3.51 ERA and a 1.23 WHIP in 2014 and the Giants score less against RH. You have far fewer worries that Madison Bumgarner will do his part, as he has a 2.74 ERA and a 1.04 WHIP this season. In his last three starts he has a 1.59 ERA and a 0.71 WHIP. In Game 1 against Kansas City he allowed one run on three hits over seven innings. Bumgarner has 33 strikeouts against six walks this postseason and he has given up just one run over 22 innings in three career World Series starts. The Royals score less against LH and, in their last five games against southpaws, they have a .170 average and are scoring 0.66 runs per game against them. Both bullpens are excellent (2.90 ERA and 3.26 ERA) and San Francisco relievers have a 1.85 ERA in their last 10 contests.
Record: 199-152-8 (56.7%)
Bankroll: +98.72%
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