Time: 7:30 p.m. ET
Reasoning: New Pistons coach John Loyer, who is 1-1 at the helm, has made it known that his staff is focusing on transition defense. But that's not the only reason to like the under here. Bobcats games average 191.8 points. Detroit games average 203.2 points. Both teams are below average in overall shooting and the Pistons are last in the NBA on threes (30.9%) and free throws (66.7). Charlotte is below average in both categories too, neither team hoists a lot of threes and both are above average in blocked shots.
Play: Miami/Dallas under 208.5 -110
Time: 8:30 p.m. ET
Reasoning: Once upon a time the Mavericks were nicknamed "allas" because they had no D. Well, in the last seven games, Dallas has held opponents to just 95 ppg. Mavericks games average 205.6 points while Heat road games average 199.8. Both squads are terrible at offensive rebounding. This is the fourth-highest total Miami has gone against this season and the score went under in two of those other three games and over by just a bucket in the other contest.
Play: San Antonio/L.A. Clippers under 211.5 -110
Time: 10:30 p.m. ET
Reasoning: The Spurs always play excellent defense (97.5 ppg allowed, 97.0 on the road), and will only be tougher defensively if Tony Parker, Manu Ginobili, Tiago Splitter and Kawhi Leonard can go Tuesday night. There is a chance all four could play, which would be the first time since Jan. 4. And if they all do or some do and some don't, I expect their collective offensive game together to be rusty rather than their defensive play. Los Angeles will be without J.J. Redick (hip) and his 15.7 ppg. These teams went under this total in their first two meetings this season and San Antonio posted unders in each of the three games that have seen totals higher than 209. Both teams are below average in offensive rebounding and above average in defensive rebounding.
Record: 21-10-1 (67.8%)
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