My internet access will be limited during this time, so I've credited subscribers through Sept. 11.
Record: 419-333-17 (55.7%)
Bankroll: +196.24%
Saturday, August 29, 2015
Wednesday, August 26, 2015
No plays for Thursday
Subscribers have been credited another day.
Record: 419-333-17 (55.7%)
Bankroll: +196.24%
Record: 419-333-17 (55.7%)
Bankroll: +196.24%
MLB: Wednesday's plays
Play: New York/Philadelphia under 8.5 -110 (Colon vs. Eickhoff)
Time: 7:05 p.m. ET
Reasoning: Jerad Eickhoff pitched six scoreless innings in his major-league debut last Friday. Bartolo Colon has won both of his starts against the Phillies this season and is 6-3 lifetime against them. Colon also has pitched well against Ryan Howard (4-for-19 lifetime). The Mets are hitting .239 against RH and Philadelphia is hitting .248 vs. righties. New York relievers have a 2.21 ERA in their last five.
Play: San Diego +1.5 -160 (Ross vs. Gonzalez)
Time: 7:05 p.m. ET
Reasoning: The Padres would be 77-48 if they were given 1.5 rpg. Washington would be 45-79 if it gave 1.5 rpg. I like San Diego, which has won nine of its last 13, to do some damage vs. Gio Gonzalez. Against southpaws the Padres are hitting .307 and are scoring 6.00 rpg in their last 10 and are hitting .450 and are scoring 12.27 rpg in their last five. Gonzalez has a 3.98 ERA and a 1.47 WHIP overall and a 5.74 ERA and a 1.60 WHIP in his last three starts. Against Gonzalez, Derek Norris has two homers in three career at-bats and Justin Upton is 5-for-16 lifetime (three homers). Tyson Ross has a 3.00 ERA in his last three turns. He is 5-3 with a 2.71 ERA in 15 road starts and he beat Washington on May 14 (5 IP, 5 H, 2 R). Nationals relievers have been a little better on the season, but San Diego has had the advantage over the last 10 games.
Record: 418-332-17 (55.7%)
Bankroll: +199.61%
Time: 7:05 p.m. ET
Reasoning: Jerad Eickhoff pitched six scoreless innings in his major-league debut last Friday. Bartolo Colon has won both of his starts against the Phillies this season and is 6-3 lifetime against them. Colon also has pitched well against Ryan Howard (4-for-19 lifetime). The Mets are hitting .239 against RH and Philadelphia is hitting .248 vs. righties. New York relievers have a 2.21 ERA in their last five.
Play: San Diego +1.5 -160 (Ross vs. Gonzalez)
Time: 7:05 p.m. ET
Reasoning: The Padres would be 77-48 if they were given 1.5 rpg. Washington would be 45-79 if it gave 1.5 rpg. I like San Diego, which has won nine of its last 13, to do some damage vs. Gio Gonzalez. Against southpaws the Padres are hitting .307 and are scoring 6.00 rpg in their last 10 and are hitting .450 and are scoring 12.27 rpg in their last five. Gonzalez has a 3.98 ERA and a 1.47 WHIP overall and a 5.74 ERA and a 1.60 WHIP in his last three starts. Against Gonzalez, Derek Norris has two homers in three career at-bats and Justin Upton is 5-for-16 lifetime (three homers). Tyson Ross has a 3.00 ERA in his last three turns. He is 5-3 with a 2.71 ERA in 15 road starts and he beat Washington on May 14 (5 IP, 5 H, 2 R). Nationals relievers have been a little better on the season, but San Diego has had the advantage over the last 10 games.
Record: 418-332-17 (55.7%)
Bankroll: +199.61%
Tuesday, August 25, 2015
MLB: Tuesday's play
Play: Boston/Chi. White Sox under 8.5 -110 (Miley vs. Quintana)
Time: 8:10 p.m. ET
Reasoning: Jose Quintana has a 1.63 ERA in four career starts against the Red Sox. He has posted quality starts in 14 of 16 games this season. Wade Miley has made quality starts in five of his last seven and in his last two tries he allowed a combined three runs over 14.1 innings against Seattle and Kansas City. Boston is hitting .244 and is scoring 3.60 rpg in its last five against LH. Chicago is hitting .200 and is averaging 2.45 rpg in its last 10 vs. southpaws. White Sox relievers have a 1.79 ERA in their last 17. Games at U.S. Cellular Field average 7.39 runs. Games called by this year by Mark Ripperger average 7.80 runs. His games last season averaged 7.97 runs.
Record: 418-331-17 (55.8%)
Bankroll: +208.88%
Time: 8:10 p.m. ET
Reasoning: Jose Quintana has a 1.63 ERA in four career starts against the Red Sox. He has posted quality starts in 14 of 16 games this season. Wade Miley has made quality starts in five of his last seven and in his last two tries he allowed a combined three runs over 14.1 innings against Seattle and Kansas City. Boston is hitting .244 and is scoring 3.60 rpg in its last five against LH. Chicago is hitting .200 and is averaging 2.45 rpg in its last 10 vs. southpaws. White Sox relievers have a 1.79 ERA in their last 17. Games at U.S. Cellular Field average 7.39 runs. Games called by this year by Mark Ripperger average 7.80 runs. His games last season averaged 7.97 runs.
Record: 418-331-17 (55.8%)
Bankroll: +208.88%
Monday, August 24, 2015
MLB: Monday's plays
Play: Houston +1.5 -160 (Feldman vs. Eovaldi)
Time: 7:05 p.m. ET
TV: MLBN
Reasoning: The Astros would be 89-36 if they were given 1.5 rpg. New York would be 48-75 if it gave 1.5 rpg. Houston will send out Scott Feldman, who has a 1.89 ERA in his last three starts. He has allowed three or fewer runs in five straight. And he is 5-4 with a 3.45 ERA in 12 career games (10 starts) vs. the Yankees. Nathan Eovaldi has a 4.24 ERA and a 1.46 WHIP. Astros relievers have a 2.63 ERA. Houston scores a half-run more per game vs. RH. New York scores a half-run fewer per game against righties. Over the last 10 games, the Astros bullpen has a 1.35 ERA and the Yankees bullpen has a 3.44 ERA.
Play: Cincinnati -121 (Farmer vs. Sampson)
Time: 7:10 p.m. ET
Reasoning: Buck Farmer is starting only because Daniel Norris and Anibal Sanchez are on the DL. He has an 8.39 ERA and 1.86 WHIP. In three starts earlier this year he went 0-2 with a 9.20 ERA. Keyvius Sampson was hammered in his last go-around, but he displayed ability in the two prior starts against the Dodgers and Diamondbacks (combined 11 IP, 9 H, 3 R). Reds relievers have a 2.97 ERA in the last 10 games. Detroit relievers have a 4.29 ERA overall.
Record: 416-331-17 (55.7%)
Bankroll: +195.99%
Time: 7:05 p.m. ET
TV: MLBN
Reasoning: The Astros would be 89-36 if they were given 1.5 rpg. New York would be 48-75 if it gave 1.5 rpg. Houston will send out Scott Feldman, who has a 1.89 ERA in his last three starts. He has allowed three or fewer runs in five straight. And he is 5-4 with a 3.45 ERA in 12 career games (10 starts) vs. the Yankees. Nathan Eovaldi has a 4.24 ERA and a 1.46 WHIP. Astros relievers have a 2.63 ERA. Houston scores a half-run more per game vs. RH. New York scores a half-run fewer per game against righties. Over the last 10 games, the Astros bullpen has a 1.35 ERA and the Yankees bullpen has a 3.44 ERA.
Play: Cincinnati -121 (Farmer vs. Sampson)
Time: 7:10 p.m. ET
Reasoning: Buck Farmer is starting only because Daniel Norris and Anibal Sanchez are on the DL. He has an 8.39 ERA and 1.86 WHIP. In three starts earlier this year he went 0-2 with a 9.20 ERA. Keyvius Sampson was hammered in his last go-around, but he displayed ability in the two prior starts against the Dodgers and Diamondbacks (combined 11 IP, 9 H, 3 R). Reds relievers have a 2.97 ERA in the last 10 games. Detroit relievers have a 4.29 ERA overall.
Record: 416-331-17 (55.7%)
Bankroll: +195.99%
Saturday, August 22, 2015
MLB: Saturday's 7 p.m. ET plays
Play: Kansas City -138 (Ventura vs. Barnes)
Time: 7:10 p.m. ET
Reasoning: Yordano Ventura is unbeaten in his last five and he is coming off of a seven-inning performance against the Angels in which he permitted two runs and struck out seven. Matt Barnes will make his second career start and he allowed six runs over five innings in his debut against Cleveland. In 21 relief appearances Barnes went 2-3 with a 5.64 ERA. Royals relievers haven't allowed a run in their last 18.2 IP. They have a 2.36 ERA and Boston's bullpen has a 4.30 ERA. Red Sox relievers have a 7.76 ERA in their last 10. Kansas City scores nearly one more rpg vs. RH and Boston scores nearly a half-run fewer per game against righties.
Play: Cincinnati -116 (Delgado vs. DeSclafani)
Time: 7:10 p.m. ET
Reasoning: Randall Delgado has been great out of the bullpen, but here he makes his first start since last September. He has lost three of his four career starts against the Reds and has a 6.08 ERA in three outings at Great American Ball Park. Anthony DeSclafani has posted five straight quality starts and he allowed just two runs in six innings against the Dodgers in his last turn. Cincinnati relievers have a 1.47 ERA in their last 10. And Joey Votto has been hot, hitting safely in nine of his last 10. Over that span he is 15-for-37.
Record: 415-330-17 (55.7%)
Bankroll: +198.45%
Time: 7:10 p.m. ET
Reasoning: Yordano Ventura is unbeaten in his last five and he is coming off of a seven-inning performance against the Angels in which he permitted two runs and struck out seven. Matt Barnes will make his second career start and he allowed six runs over five innings in his debut against Cleveland. In 21 relief appearances Barnes went 2-3 with a 5.64 ERA. Royals relievers haven't allowed a run in their last 18.2 IP. They have a 2.36 ERA and Boston's bullpen has a 4.30 ERA. Red Sox relievers have a 7.76 ERA in their last 10. Kansas City scores nearly one more rpg vs. RH and Boston scores nearly a half-run fewer per game against righties.
Play: Cincinnati -116 (Delgado vs. DeSclafani)
Time: 7:10 p.m. ET
Reasoning: Randall Delgado has been great out of the bullpen, but here he makes his first start since last September. He has lost three of his four career starts against the Reds and has a 6.08 ERA in three outings at Great American Ball Park. Anthony DeSclafani has posted five straight quality starts and he allowed just two runs in six innings against the Dodgers in his last turn. Cincinnati relievers have a 1.47 ERA in their last 10. And Joey Votto has been hot, hitting safely in nine of his last 10. Over that span he is 15-for-37.
Record: 415-330-17 (55.7%)
Bankroll: +198.45%
Thursday, August 20, 2015
No plays for Thursday
Subscribers have been credited another day.
Record: 415-330-17 (55.7%)
Bankroll: +198.45%
Record: 415-330-17 (55.7%)
Bankroll: +198.45%
Wednesday, August 19, 2015
MLB: Wednesday's play
Play: Atlanta +1.5 -160 (Teheran vs. Ross)
Time: 3:40 p.m. ET
Reasoning: The Braves would be 69-50 if they were given 1.5 rpg. San Diego would be 42-78 if it gave 1.5 rpg. Atlanta is scheduled to activate Freddie Freeman from the DL. The Braves also will give the ball to Julio Teheran, who has a 2.75 ERA and a 1.02 WHIP in his last three starts. In his last turn Teheran held Arizona to one run on three hits over six innings. Tyson Ross will go for the Padres and he leads the majors in walks (67). Ross has a 1.38 WHIP overall and a 1.33 WHIP in his last three. San Diego is hitting .238 and is averaging 4.03 rpg.
Record: 414-330-17 (55.6%)
Bankroll: +192.96%
Time: 3:40 p.m. ET
Reasoning: The Braves would be 69-50 if they were given 1.5 rpg. San Diego would be 42-78 if it gave 1.5 rpg. Atlanta is scheduled to activate Freddie Freeman from the DL. The Braves also will give the ball to Julio Teheran, who has a 2.75 ERA and a 1.02 WHIP in his last three starts. In his last turn Teheran held Arizona to one run on three hits over six innings. Tyson Ross will go for the Padres and he leads the majors in walks (67). Ross has a 1.38 WHIP overall and a 1.33 WHIP in his last three. San Diego is hitting .238 and is averaging 4.03 rpg.
Record: 414-330-17 (55.6%)
Bankroll: +192.96%
Tuesday, August 18, 2015
MLB: Tuesday's 10:05 p.m. ET play
Play: L.A. Dodgers/Oakland over 6.5 -107 (Kershaw vs. Doubront)
Time: 10:05 p.m. ET
Reasoning: Games at O.co Coliseum average 7.61 rpg. Felix Doubront has a 4.59 ERA and a 1.44 WHIP overall. He has a 6.59 ERA and a 1.98 WHIP in his last three. In two career tries against Los Angeles, Doubront has a 11.05 ERA. And Adrian Gonzalez is 2-for-2 with two homers lifetime against him. The Dodgers are hitting .345 and are scoring 10.45 rpg in their last five vs. LH. Coco Crisp may return for this one after missing Monday with ankle and hip soreness. The Athletics are hitting .292 in their last five vs. southpaws. Oakland's bullpen has a 6.88 ERA in its last 10 and a 9.53 ERA in its last five. L.A.'s relievers have 5.10 ERA in their last 10 and a 4.10 ERA overall.
Record: 412-329-17 (55.6%)
Bankroll: +187.57%
Time: 10:05 p.m. ET
Reasoning: Games at O.co Coliseum average 7.61 rpg. Felix Doubront has a 4.59 ERA and a 1.44 WHIP overall. He has a 6.59 ERA and a 1.98 WHIP in his last three. In two career tries against Los Angeles, Doubront has a 11.05 ERA. And Adrian Gonzalez is 2-for-2 with two homers lifetime against him. The Dodgers are hitting .345 and are scoring 10.45 rpg in their last five vs. LH. Coco Crisp may return for this one after missing Monday with ankle and hip soreness. The Athletics are hitting .292 in their last five vs. southpaws. Oakland's bullpen has a 6.88 ERA in its last 10 and a 9.53 ERA in its last five. L.A.'s relievers have 5.10 ERA in their last 10 and a 4.10 ERA overall.
Record: 412-329-17 (55.6%)
Bankroll: +187.57%
MLB: Tuesday's 8:40 p.m. ET play
Play: Washington/Colorado under 10.5 -115 (Zimmermann vs. Hale)
Time: 8:40 p.m. ET
Reasoning: Jordan Zimmermann has a 3.34 ERA overall and a 3.20 ERA and a 0.76 WHIP in his last three outings. Against the Rockies on Aug. 7, he yielded one run on four hits over 6.1 frames. In his last start Zimmermann allowed one run on two hits over seven innings at Los Angeles. Davi Hale hasn't given up a run in three appearances (one start) vs. the Nationals. Ryan Zimmerman is 0-for-15 with eight strikeouts over his last five. Jayson Werth is hitting .145 in 19 games since coming off of the DL on July 28. Carlos Gonzalez is 2-for-22 in his last six. Against RH Washington is hitting .216 over its last five and .205 in its last 10. Against RH Colorado is hitting .217 in its last five and .205 over its last 10.
Record: 412-329-17 (55.6%)
Bankroll: +187.57%
Time: 8:40 p.m. ET
Reasoning: Jordan Zimmermann has a 3.34 ERA overall and a 3.20 ERA and a 0.76 WHIP in his last three outings. Against the Rockies on Aug. 7, he yielded one run on four hits over 6.1 frames. In his last start Zimmermann allowed one run on two hits over seven innings at Los Angeles. Davi Hale hasn't given up a run in three appearances (one start) vs. the Nationals. Ryan Zimmerman is 0-for-15 with eight strikeouts over his last five. Jayson Werth is hitting .145 in 19 games since coming off of the DL on July 28. Carlos Gonzalez is 2-for-22 in his last six. Against RH Washington is hitting .216 over its last five and .205 in its last 10. Against RH Colorado is hitting .217 in its last five and .205 over its last 10.
Record: 412-329-17 (55.6%)
Bankroll: +187.57%
MLB: Tuesday's 8:05 p.m. ET play
Play: Detroit +1.5 -145 (Sanchez vs. Hammel)
Time: 8:05 p.m. ET
TV: MLBN
Reasoning: The Tigers would be 73-44 if they were given 1.5 rpg. Chicago would be 40-76 if it gave 1.5 rpg. Anibal Sanchez is 3-2 with a 3.57 ERA in six starts lifetime against the Cubs. He pitched 7.2 innings of shutout ball against Chicago on June 9. Jason Hammel hasn't gone six innings in any of his last six turns. He has a 7.18 ERA in eight appearances (five starts) against Detroit. The Cubs are hitting .236 vs. RH. Tigers relievers have a 2.25 ERA in their last five.
Record: 412-329-17 (55.6%)
Bankroll: +187.57%
Time: 8:05 p.m. ET
TV: MLBN
Reasoning: The Tigers would be 73-44 if they were given 1.5 rpg. Chicago would be 40-76 if it gave 1.5 rpg. Anibal Sanchez is 3-2 with a 3.57 ERA in six starts lifetime against the Cubs. He pitched 7.2 innings of shutout ball against Chicago on June 9. Jason Hammel hasn't gone six innings in any of his last six turns. He has a 7.18 ERA in eight appearances (five starts) against Detroit. The Cubs are hitting .236 vs. RH. Tigers relievers have a 2.25 ERA in their last five.
Record: 412-329-17 (55.6%)
Bankroll: +187.57%
MLB: Monday's play
Play: Atlanta +1.5 -165 (Perez vs. Rea)
Time: 10:10 p.m. ET
Reasoning: The Braves would be 69-48 if they were given 1.5 rpg. San Diego would be 40-78 if it gave 1.5 rpg. Williams Perez pitched a complete game in his last start, allowing Tampa Bay two runs on four hits. On June 10 in his first career start against the Padres, he went seven innings and allowed one unearned run on four hits. Colin Rea allowed three runs on seven hits over five innings in his major-league debut last Tuesday. He posted a 4.39 ERA in six starts this season at Triple-A El Paso. Atlanta hits 24 points higher and scores 1.02 more rpg vs. RH. San Diego is hitting .236 and is scoring 3.97 rpg.
Record: 412-328-17 (55.7%)
Bankroll: +196.46%
Time: 10:10 p.m. ET
Reasoning: The Braves would be 69-48 if they were given 1.5 rpg. San Diego would be 40-78 if it gave 1.5 rpg. Williams Perez pitched a complete game in his last start, allowing Tampa Bay two runs on four hits. On June 10 in his first career start against the Padres, he went seven innings and allowed one unearned run on four hits. Colin Rea allowed three runs on seven hits over five innings in his major-league debut last Tuesday. He posted a 4.39 ERA in six starts this season at Triple-A El Paso. Atlanta hits 24 points higher and scores 1.02 more rpg vs. RH. San Diego is hitting .236 and is scoring 3.97 rpg.
Record: 412-328-17 (55.7%)
Bankroll: +196.46%
Sunday, August 16, 2015
MLB: Sunday's play
Play: Cincinnati +1.5 -110 (DeSclafani vs. Greinke)
Time: 4:10 p.m. ET
Reasoning: The Reds would be 73-42 if they were given 1.5 rpg. Los Angeles would be 51-64 if it gave 1.5 rpg. Zack Greinke has been the best pitcher in baseball this season, but he has a 3.60 ERA in his last three starts. Joey Votto is 10-for-24 with three homers and three doubles lifetime against Greinke. Votto is 8-for-16 with two homers and seven RBIs in his last four games. Todd Frazier, who has 29 homers, is 8-for-20 with five extra-base hits over his last five. Cincinnati has averaged 4.34 rpg in its last five against RH. Anthony DeSclafani has a 2.37 ERA in his last three turns. In his major-league debut last season against the Dodgers he allowed two runs over six innings and struck out seven. Los Angeles hits 13 points lower and scores fewer rpg vs. RH. In its last five against righties, it has averaged just 3.52 rpg. Joc Pederson has really fallen off. He is hitting .217 and is only 4-for-44 in his last 16 contests. Reds relievers have a 1.02 ERA in their last 10 and a 0.83 ERA in their last five. Dodgers relievers have a 4.12 ERA overall and a 5.52 ERA in their last 10.
Record: 411-328-17 (55.6%)
Bankroll: +188.59%
Time: 4:10 p.m. ET
Reasoning: The Reds would be 73-42 if they were given 1.5 rpg. Los Angeles would be 51-64 if it gave 1.5 rpg. Zack Greinke has been the best pitcher in baseball this season, but he has a 3.60 ERA in his last three starts. Joey Votto is 10-for-24 with three homers and three doubles lifetime against Greinke. Votto is 8-for-16 with two homers and seven RBIs in his last four games. Todd Frazier, who has 29 homers, is 8-for-20 with five extra-base hits over his last five. Cincinnati has averaged 4.34 rpg in its last five against RH. Anthony DeSclafani has a 2.37 ERA in his last three turns. In his major-league debut last season against the Dodgers he allowed two runs over six innings and struck out seven. Los Angeles hits 13 points lower and scores fewer rpg vs. RH. In its last five against righties, it has averaged just 3.52 rpg. Joc Pederson has really fallen off. He is hitting .217 and is only 4-for-44 in his last 16 contests. Reds relievers have a 1.02 ERA in their last 10 and a 0.83 ERA in their last five. Dodgers relievers have a 4.12 ERA overall and a 5.52 ERA in their last 10.
Record: 411-328-17 (55.6%)
Bankroll: +188.59%
Friday, August 14, 2015
No plays for Friday
Subscribers have been credited another day.
Record: 411-328-17 (55.6%)
Bankroll: +188.59%
Record: 411-328-17 (55.6%)
Bankroll: +188.59%
Thursday, August 13, 2015
MLB: Thursday's play
Play: L.A. Angels -108 (Richards vs. Guthrie)
Time: 8:10 p.m. ET
Reasoning: Garrett Richards has a 3.51 ERA and he permitted three runs on five hits over seven innings in his last start against Kansas City. Eric Hosmer is 0-for-8 with three strikeouts lifetime vs. Richards. Jeremy Guthrie has allowed 18 runs on 31 hits over his last three starts. He has a 5.84 ERA and a 1.58 WHIP in 2015. Guthrie is 4-5 in his career against the Angels and he allowed four runs in seven innings in his last outing against them. Mike Trout is 6-for-16 lifetime vs. Guthrie. Los Angeles' bullpen has a 2.41 ERA and Royals relievers have a 3.46 ERA over the last 10 games.
Record: 410-328-17 (55.6%)
Bankroll: +180.79%
Time: 8:10 p.m. ET
Reasoning: Garrett Richards has a 3.51 ERA and he permitted three runs on five hits over seven innings in his last start against Kansas City. Eric Hosmer is 0-for-8 with three strikeouts lifetime vs. Richards. Jeremy Guthrie has allowed 18 runs on 31 hits over his last three starts. He has a 5.84 ERA and a 1.58 WHIP in 2015. Guthrie is 4-5 in his career against the Angels and he allowed four runs in seven innings in his last outing against them. Mike Trout is 6-for-16 lifetime vs. Guthrie. Los Angeles' bullpen has a 2.41 ERA and Royals relievers have a 3.46 ERA over the last 10 games.
Record: 410-328-17 (55.6%)
Bankroll: +180.79%
Wednesday, August 12, 2015
MLB: Wednesday's play
Play: Houston +1.5 -170 (Feldman vs. Heston)
Time: 3:45 p.m. ET
Reasoning: The Astros would be 80-34 if they were given 1.5 rpg. San Francisco would be 45-67 if it gave 1.5 rpg. Houston is 10-3 against the NL. Its bullpen has a 2.76 ERA, which is a half-run better than that of the Giants. The Astros are scoring nearly one more rpg vs. RH. San Francisco's bullpen has a 4.15 ERA over its last 10. And the Giants are hitting .194 and are scoring 2.79 rpg over their last five against RH. Scott Feldman has a 2.84 ERA and a 1.00 WHIP in his last three starts. Chris Heston has given up eight runs in 8.2 innings over his last two outings.
Record: 409-328-17 (55.5%)
Bankroll: +175.92%
Time: 3:45 p.m. ET
Reasoning: The Astros would be 80-34 if they were given 1.5 rpg. San Francisco would be 45-67 if it gave 1.5 rpg. Houston is 10-3 against the NL. Its bullpen has a 2.76 ERA, which is a half-run better than that of the Giants. The Astros are scoring nearly one more rpg vs. RH. San Francisco's bullpen has a 4.15 ERA over its last 10. And the Giants are hitting .194 and are scoring 2.79 rpg over their last five against RH. Scott Feldman has a 2.84 ERA and a 1.00 WHIP in his last three starts. Chris Heston has given up eight runs in 8.2 innings over his last two outings.
Record: 409-328-17 (55.5%)
Bankroll: +175.92%
Tuesday, August 11, 2015
MLB: Tuesday's plays
Play: Oakland +1.5 -115 (Graveman vs. Hutchison)
Time: 7:07 p.m. ET
Reasoning: The Athletics would be 77-36 if they were given 1.5 rpg. Toronto would be 49-64 if it gave 1.5 rpg. Oakland took three out of four last weekend against Houston. The A's will send out Kendall Graveman, who has a 3.90 ERA overall, a 3.10 ERA on the road and a 3.17 ERA in night games. Drew Hutchison gave up seven runs over five innings in his last start. He has a 7.07 ERA and a 1.86 WHIP in his last three turns and he has a 5.42 ERA and a 1.52 WHIP on the season. Oakland scores a half-run more per game vs. RH. The Jays score fewer runs and hit 32 points lower against RH.
Play: Atlanta +1.5 -130 (Perez vs. Ramirez)
Time: 7:10 p.m. ET
Reasoning: The Braves would be 67-45 if they were given 1.5 rpg. Tampa Bay would be 38-74 if it gave 1.5 rpg. Atlanta is hitting .298 and is scoring 6.45 rpg over its last five. It averages 1.10 more rpg vs. RH. The Rays score 0.64 fewer rpg vs. righties. Williams Perez allowed Tampa Bay one run over five frames on May 20. In his other interleague start (June 15) he pitched six scoreless innings against Boston. Erasmo Ramirez is winless in his last four starts and he has given up 14 runs in his last 19.1 IP. He permitted the Braves three runs over five innings on May 19.
Record: 409-326-17 (55.6%)
Bankroll: +193.54%
Time: 7:07 p.m. ET
Reasoning: The Athletics would be 77-36 if they were given 1.5 rpg. Toronto would be 49-64 if it gave 1.5 rpg. Oakland took three out of four last weekend against Houston. The A's will send out Kendall Graveman, who has a 3.90 ERA overall, a 3.10 ERA on the road and a 3.17 ERA in night games. Drew Hutchison gave up seven runs over five innings in his last start. He has a 7.07 ERA and a 1.86 WHIP in his last three turns and he has a 5.42 ERA and a 1.52 WHIP on the season. Oakland scores a half-run more per game vs. RH. The Jays score fewer runs and hit 32 points lower against RH.
Play: Atlanta +1.5 -130 (Perez vs. Ramirez)
Time: 7:10 p.m. ET
Reasoning: The Braves would be 67-45 if they were given 1.5 rpg. Tampa Bay would be 38-74 if it gave 1.5 rpg. Atlanta is hitting .298 and is scoring 6.45 rpg over its last five. It averages 1.10 more rpg vs. RH. The Rays score 0.64 fewer rpg vs. righties. Williams Perez allowed Tampa Bay one run over five frames on May 20. In his other interleague start (June 15) he pitched six scoreless innings against Boston. Erasmo Ramirez is winless in his last four starts and he has given up 14 runs in his last 19.1 IP. He permitted the Braves three runs over five innings on May 19.
Record: 409-326-17 (55.6%)
Bankroll: +193.54%
Monday, August 10, 2015
No plays for Monday
Subscribers have been credited another day.
Record: 409-326-17 (55.6%)
Bankroll: +193.54%
Record: 409-326-17 (55.6%)
Bankroll: +193.54%
Sunday, August 9, 2015
MLB: Sunday's play
Play: San Francisco +1.5 -150 (Peavy vs. Arrieta)
Time: 2:20 p.m. ET
TV: TBS
Reasoning: The Giants would be 74-36 if they were given 1.5 rpg. Chicago would be 36-73 if it gave 1.5 rpg. San Francisco has won each of Jake Peavy's last four starts. He has a 2.00 ERA and a 0.83 WHIP in his last three starts. He's also allowed just one run and nine hits over his last 12 innings. Peavy is 8-5 with a 2.76 ERA in 16 career starts against the Cubs. Jake Arrieta is 4-5 with a 3.07 ERA in 10 starts this season at Wrigley Field. The Giants have the better bullpen and they score 0.66 more rpg vs. RH. Chicago scores 0.81 fewer rpg vs. RH and its relievers have a 5.17 ERA over the last five contests.
Record: 409-325-17 (55.7%)
Bankroll: +202.62%
Time: 2:20 p.m. ET
TV: TBS
Reasoning: The Giants would be 74-36 if they were given 1.5 rpg. Chicago would be 36-73 if it gave 1.5 rpg. San Francisco has won each of Jake Peavy's last four starts. He has a 2.00 ERA and a 0.83 WHIP in his last three starts. He's also allowed just one run and nine hits over his last 12 innings. Peavy is 8-5 with a 2.76 ERA in 16 career starts against the Cubs. Jake Arrieta is 4-5 with a 3.07 ERA in 10 starts this season at Wrigley Field. The Giants have the better bullpen and they score 0.66 more rpg vs. RH. Chicago scores 0.81 fewer rpg vs. RH and its relievers have a 5.17 ERA over the last five contests.
Record: 409-325-17 (55.7%)
Bankroll: +202.62%
Saturday, August 8, 2015
MLB: Saturday's 7:10 p.m. ET play
Play: Chi. White Sox -112 (Samardzija vs. Guthrie)
Time: 7:10 p.m. ET
Reasoning: Jeff Samardzija has a 1.06 WHIP in his last three starts. Jeremy Guthrie has allowed 30 hits over his last 17.1 IP and has a 7.27 ERA over that time. He allowed eight runs in 5.1 innings in his last go-around, and he has a 5.65 ERA and a 1.57 WHIP on the season. Chicago hits 20 points higher and scores a half-run more per game vs. RH. Kansas City has a batting average of .217 over its last 10. Royals relievers have a 5.40 ERA over their last five and a 5.33 ERA over their last 10.
Record: 409-323-17 (55.9%)
Bankroll: +221.94%
Time: 7:10 p.m. ET
Reasoning: Jeff Samardzija has a 1.06 WHIP in his last three starts. Jeremy Guthrie has allowed 30 hits over his last 17.1 IP and has a 7.27 ERA over that time. He allowed eight runs in 5.1 innings in his last go-around, and he has a 5.65 ERA and a 1.57 WHIP on the season. Chicago hits 20 points higher and scores a half-run more per game vs. RH. Kansas City has a batting average of .217 over its last 10. Royals relievers have a 5.40 ERA over their last five and a 5.33 ERA over their last 10.
Record: 409-323-17 (55.9%)
Bankroll: +221.94%
MLB: Saturday's 4:05 p.m. ET play
Play: San Francisco +1.5 -165 (Cain vs. Hendricks)
Time: 4:05 p.m. ET
Reasoning: The Giants would be 74-35 if they were given 1.5 rpg. Chicago would be 35-72 if it gave 1.5 rpg. Matt Cain is 6-2 with a 2.48 ERA in 15 lifetime starts against the Cubs. Kyle Hendricks has a 5.00 ERA and a 1.39 WHIP over his last three outings. San Francisco has the better bullpen. And the Giants score 0.71 more rpg vs. RH while Chicago scores nearly one run fewer per game against righties.
Record: 409-323-17 (55.9%)
Bankroll: +221.94%
Time: 4:05 p.m. ET
Reasoning: The Giants would be 74-35 if they were given 1.5 rpg. Chicago would be 35-72 if it gave 1.5 rpg. Matt Cain is 6-2 with a 2.48 ERA in 15 lifetime starts against the Cubs. Kyle Hendricks has a 5.00 ERA and a 1.39 WHIP over his last three outings. San Francisco has the better bullpen. And the Giants score 0.71 more rpg vs. RH while Chicago scores nearly one run fewer per game against righties.
Record: 409-323-17 (55.9%)
Bankroll: +221.94%
Friday, August 7, 2015
MLB: Friday's play
Play: Milwaukee +1.5 -125 (Lynn vs. Cravy)
Time: 8:10 p.m. ET
Reasoning: Kyle Lohse was supposed to start this game, but he's been bumped in the rotation in favor of Tyler Cravy. The 26-year-old Cravy made his major-league debut against St. Louis on June 2, and he allowed one run on four hits over seven innings. He has a 2.77 ERA and a 1.15 WHIP in two starts. Lance Lynn faced the Brewers in Milwaukee on April 26 and permitted six earned runs on 10 hits over five innings. In his last start he allowed four runs on seven hits (two homers) over five innings. The Brewers are hitting 39 points higher and are scoring a half-run more per game vs. RH. In their last five against righties, they are hitting .315 and are scoring 7.41 rpg. In its last three contests, Milwaukee outscored San Diego 22-7. The Cardinals are hitting .213 and are scoring 2.61 rpg over their last five. In their last 10 vs. RH, they are hitting .220 and are scoring 2.93 rpg.
Record: 409-322-17 (56.0%)
Bankroll: +231.90%
Time: 8:10 p.m. ET
Reasoning: Kyle Lohse was supposed to start this game, but he's been bumped in the rotation in favor of Tyler Cravy. The 26-year-old Cravy made his major-league debut against St. Louis on June 2, and he allowed one run on four hits over seven innings. He has a 2.77 ERA and a 1.15 WHIP in two starts. Lance Lynn faced the Brewers in Milwaukee on April 26 and permitted six earned runs on 10 hits over five innings. In his last start he allowed four runs on seven hits (two homers) over five innings. The Brewers are hitting 39 points higher and are scoring a half-run more per game vs. RH. In their last five against righties, they are hitting .315 and are scoring 7.41 rpg. In its last three contests, Milwaukee outscored San Diego 22-7. The Cardinals are hitting .213 and are scoring 2.61 rpg over their last five. In their last 10 vs. RH, they are hitting .220 and are scoring 2.93 rpg.
Record: 409-322-17 (56.0%)
Bankroll: +231.90%
Thursday, August 6, 2015
MLB: Thursday's play
Play: Arizona/Washington under 8 -120 (Hellickson vs. Ross)
Time: 4:05 p.m. ET
Reasoning: Jeremy Hellickson was rocked in his last appearance. But in his four previous starts (24 innings) he permitted just five runs. Joe Ross has a 3.00 ERA and a 0.92 WHIP in 2015. In his last three outings he has a 3.38 ERA and a 0.80 WHIP. Ross has allowed three runs or fewer in each of his six starts this season and has allowed five hits or fewer in his last three. Plus Arizona has never faced him. In the last five games vs. RH, the Diamondbacks are hitting .232 and are scoring 3.86 rpg. The Nationals are hitting .223 and are scoring 3.20 rpg in their last five against righties. In their last 10 against them they are hitting .209 and are scoring 2.62 rpg. Arizona's bullpen has a 3.13 ERA in its last 10, and contests at Nationals Park average 7.32 runs.
Record: 409-321-17 (56.0%)
Bankroll: +242.17%
Time: 4:05 p.m. ET
Reasoning: Jeremy Hellickson was rocked in his last appearance. But in his four previous starts (24 innings) he permitted just five runs. Joe Ross has a 3.00 ERA and a 0.92 WHIP in 2015. In his last three outings he has a 3.38 ERA and a 0.80 WHIP. Ross has allowed three runs or fewer in each of his six starts this season and has allowed five hits or fewer in his last three. Plus Arizona has never faced him. In the last five games vs. RH, the Diamondbacks are hitting .232 and are scoring 3.86 rpg. The Nationals are hitting .223 and are scoring 3.20 rpg in their last five against righties. In their last 10 against them they are hitting .209 and are scoring 2.62 rpg. Arizona's bullpen has a 3.13 ERA in its last 10, and contests at Nationals Park average 7.32 runs.
Record: 409-321-17 (56.0%)
Bankroll: +242.17%
Wednesday, August 5, 2015
MLB: Wednesday's play
Play: Boston +1.5 -130 (Wright vs. Severino)
Time: 7:05 p.m. ET
TV: ESPN
Reasoning: I think this is too good of a price to pass up against a guy (Luis Severino) who is making his major-league debut. The Red Sox would be 60-47 if they were given 1.5 rpg. New York would be 44-61 if it gave 1.5 rpg. Boston is scoring a quarter-run more per game vs. RH. The Yankees are scoring a quarter-run fewer per game vs. RH. Steven Wright struck out eight and held the White Sox to two runs on six hits over seven innings in his last start. The knuckeballer faced New York as a reliever on April 10 and allowed two runs over five innings. In a start against the Bombers last September, Wright didn't allow an earned run over five innings.
Record: 408-321-17 (56.0%)
Bankroll: +234.45%
Time: 7:05 p.m. ET
TV: ESPN
Reasoning: I think this is too good of a price to pass up against a guy (Luis Severino) who is making his major-league debut. The Red Sox would be 60-47 if they were given 1.5 rpg. New York would be 44-61 if it gave 1.5 rpg. Boston is scoring a quarter-run more per game vs. RH. The Yankees are scoring a quarter-run fewer per game vs. RH. Steven Wright struck out eight and held the White Sox to two runs on six hits over seven innings in his last start. The knuckeballer faced New York as a reliever on April 10 and allowed two runs over five innings. In a start against the Bombers last September, Wright didn't allow an earned run over five innings.
Record: 408-321-17 (56.0%)
Bankroll: +234.45%
Tuesday, August 4, 2015
MLB: Tuesday's 10 p.m. ET play
Play: Oakland +1.5 -160 (Gonzalez vs. Bassitt)
Time: 10:05 p.m. ET
Reasoning: The Althetics would be 72-35 if they were given 1.5 rpg. Baltimore would be 40-65 if it gave 1.5 rpg. The Orioles are 22-31 away from home. Chris Bassitt has a 3.10 ERA and a 1.11 WHIP in 2015. And he's been even better over his last three starts. In his last five outings, he has walked only three and allowed just 10 earned runs. Bassitt has a 2.63 ERA in five home appearances (three starts). Miguel Gonzalez has a 4.28 ERA and a 1.29 WHIP this season. And he's been even worse over his last three starts. He lasted just 3.1 innings in his last turn while giving up five runs on 10 hits. In his last six starts, Gonzalez has a 6.03 ERA. He also has a 5.68 ERA in his career vs. Oakland. Coco Crisp returned to action on Monday (out since May 19 with a neck injury) and he went 2-for-4. The A's score 0.34 more rpg vs. RH. Their bullpen has a 2.51 ERA in its last five.
Record: 407-319-17 (56.1%)
Bankroll: +248.85%
Time: 10:05 p.m. ET
Reasoning: The Althetics would be 72-35 if they were given 1.5 rpg. Baltimore would be 40-65 if it gave 1.5 rpg. The Orioles are 22-31 away from home. Chris Bassitt has a 3.10 ERA and a 1.11 WHIP in 2015. And he's been even better over his last three starts. In his last five outings, he has walked only three and allowed just 10 earned runs. Bassitt has a 2.63 ERA in five home appearances (three starts). Miguel Gonzalez has a 4.28 ERA and a 1.29 WHIP this season. And he's been even worse over his last three starts. He lasted just 3.1 innings in his last turn while giving up five runs on 10 hits. In his last six starts, Gonzalez has a 6.03 ERA. He also has a 5.68 ERA in his career vs. Oakland. Coco Crisp returned to action on Monday (out since May 19 with a neck injury) and he went 2-for-4. The A's score 0.34 more rpg vs. RH. Their bullpen has a 2.51 ERA in its last five.
Record: 407-319-17 (56.1%)
Bankroll: +248.85%
MLB: Tuesday's 7 p.m. ET plays
Play: Detroit +1.5 -165 (Duffy vs. Verlander)
Time: 7:08 p.m. ET
Reasoning: The Tigers would be 67-38 if they were given 1.5 rpg. The Royals would be 47-57 if they gave 1.5 rpg. Justin Verlander has the look of old over his last two starts. He allowed one run over eight innings in each contest. He has owned Kansas City in his career, going 19-7 with a 3.17 ERA in 35 starts against the Royals. Danny Duffy has a 4.28 ERA and a 1.43 WHIP this season. In his last start he allowed three homers and five runs over six innings. Kansas City is hitting .195 and is scoring 3.13 rpg in its last 10 vs. RH. In its last five against righties, it is hitting .196 and is scoring 3.03 rpg. The Tigers are hitting .423 and are scoring 10.12 rpg in their last five vs. LH. J.D. Martinez is 5-for-14 with two homers, two doubles and eight RBIs in his last four games. Salvador Perez is 2-for-27 over the last eight. Royals relievers have an 8.23 ERA over their last five.
Play: Atlanta +1.5 -160 (Peavy vs. Miller)
Time: 7:10 p.m. ET
Reasoning: The Braves would be 64-42 if they were given 1.5 rpg. San Francisco would be 42-63 if it gave 1.5 rpg. Shelby Miller is 5-8, but that's not indicative of how he's pitched. In his last 13 starts, Atlanta has totaled just 26 runs. He has a 2.44 ERA and he allowed the Giants only one run over seven innings on May 28. The Braves are riding high following their 9-8 win on Monday. In that they erased a 6-0 deficit before winning in extra innings. Nick Markakis has a 10-game hitting streak and Jace Peterson has posted back-to-back three-hit performances. Jake Peavy has a 4.12 ERA and a 1.22 WHIP. Atlanta scores 1.08 more rpg vs. RH.
Record: 407-319-17 (56.1%)
Bankroll: +248.85%
Time: 7:08 p.m. ET
Reasoning: The Tigers would be 67-38 if they were given 1.5 rpg. The Royals would be 47-57 if they gave 1.5 rpg. Justin Verlander has the look of old over his last two starts. He allowed one run over eight innings in each contest. He has owned Kansas City in his career, going 19-7 with a 3.17 ERA in 35 starts against the Royals. Danny Duffy has a 4.28 ERA and a 1.43 WHIP this season. In his last start he allowed three homers and five runs over six innings. Kansas City is hitting .195 and is scoring 3.13 rpg in its last 10 vs. RH. In its last five against righties, it is hitting .196 and is scoring 3.03 rpg. The Tigers are hitting .423 and are scoring 10.12 rpg in their last five vs. LH. J.D. Martinez is 5-for-14 with two homers, two doubles and eight RBIs in his last four games. Salvador Perez is 2-for-27 over the last eight. Royals relievers have an 8.23 ERA over their last five.
Play: Atlanta +1.5 -160 (Peavy vs. Miller)
Time: 7:10 p.m. ET
Reasoning: The Braves would be 64-42 if they were given 1.5 rpg. San Francisco would be 42-63 if it gave 1.5 rpg. Shelby Miller is 5-8, but that's not indicative of how he's pitched. In his last 13 starts, Atlanta has totaled just 26 runs. He has a 2.44 ERA and he allowed the Giants only one run over seven innings on May 28. The Braves are riding high following their 9-8 win on Monday. In that they erased a 6-0 deficit before winning in extra innings. Nick Markakis has a 10-game hitting streak and Jace Peterson has posted back-to-back three-hit performances. Jake Peavy has a 4.12 ERA and a 1.22 WHIP. Atlanta scores 1.08 more rpg vs. RH.
Record: 407-319-17 (56.1%)
Bankroll: +248.85%
Monday, August 3, 2015
MLB: Monday's play
Play: Minnesota +1.5 -110 (Santana vs. Price)
Time: 1:07 p.m. ET
TV: MLBN
Reasoning: The Twins would be 68-36 if they were given 1.5 rpg. Toronto would be 43-63 if it gave 1.5 rpg. Ervin Santana, who has a 0.76 ERA in three road starts this season, has a 2.53 ERA and a 1.03 WHIP in his last three starts overall. David Price has given up four homers and has a 3.43 ERA in his last three starts. He allowed five runs in six innings in his last turn. Minnesota scores about one run more per game vs. LH. In its last 10 contests against southpaws it is hitting .352 and is scoring 8.65 rpg. The Blue Jays are scoring 0.31 fewer rpg vs. RH.
Record: 407-318-17 (56.1%)
Bankroll: +259.64%
Time: 1:07 p.m. ET
TV: MLBN
Reasoning: The Twins would be 68-36 if they were given 1.5 rpg. Toronto would be 43-63 if it gave 1.5 rpg. Ervin Santana, who has a 0.76 ERA in three road starts this season, has a 2.53 ERA and a 1.03 WHIP in his last three starts overall. David Price has given up four homers and has a 3.43 ERA in his last three starts. He allowed five runs in six innings in his last turn. Minnesota scores about one run more per game vs. LH. In its last 10 contests against southpaws it is hitting .352 and is scoring 8.65 rpg. The Blue Jays are scoring 0.31 fewer rpg vs. RH.
Record: 407-318-17 (56.1%)
Bankroll: +259.64%
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