Sunday, August 16, 2015

MLB: Sunday's play

Play: Cincinnati +1.5 -110 (DeSclafani vs. Greinke)

Time: 4:10 p.m. ET

Reasoning: The Reds would be 73-42 if they were given 1.5 rpg. Los Angeles would be 51-64 if it gave 1.5 rpg. Zack Greinke has been the best pitcher in baseball this season, but he has a 3.60 ERA in his last three starts. Joey Votto is 10-for-24 with three homers and three doubles lifetime against Greinke. Votto is 8-for-16 with two homers and seven RBIs in his last four games. Todd Frazier, who has 29 homers, is 8-for-20 with five extra-base hits over his last five. Cincinnati has averaged 4.34 rpg in its last five against RH. Anthony DeSclafani has a 2.37 ERA in his last three turns. In his major-league debut last season against the Dodgers he allowed two runs over six innings and struck out seven. Los Angeles hits 13 points lower and scores fewer rpg vs. RH. In its last five against righties, it has averaged just 3.52 rpg. Joc Pederson has really fallen off. He is hitting .217 and is only 4-for-44 in his last 16 contests. Reds relievers have a 1.02 ERA in their last 10 and a 0.83 ERA in their last five. Dodgers relievers have a 4.12 ERA overall and a 5.52 ERA in their last 10.

Record: 411-328-17 (55.6%)
Bankroll: +188.59%

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