Play: St. Louis +12 -105
Time: 4:25 p.m. ET
Reasoning: The Rams have covered in five of the last seven meetings. They scored a season-high 34 points to beat Seattle in Week 1, despite being minus-2 in the turnover differential. The Seahawks also had Marshawn Lynch in that game, but he will miss his sixth-straight contest with a hernia. The Rams also didn't utilize rookie RB Todd Gurley in the first matchup, as he didn't become the starter until Week 4. Gurley is now up to 1,023 rushing yards. St. Louis' Case Keenum had his best of three starts last week, going 14-for-17 for 234 yards and two TDs against zero interceptions vs. Tampa Bay. In Week 1 Russell Wilson was sacked six times and was hit at least nine other times. This time he also may be without WR Doug Baldwin (hamstring), who has 10 TDs over his last four games. Safety Kam Chancellor (tailbone) also is listed as questionable. The Seahawks already are locked into a wild-card spot and coach Pete Carroll advised the media that some guys may not play.
Record: 428-349-20 (55.1%)
Bankroll: +130.77%
Sunday, December 27, 2015
Saturday, November 28, 2015
NFL: Sunday's plays
Plays: Atlanta -2.5 -105 and Minnesota/Atlanta over 45 -105
Time: 1 p.m. ET
Reasoning: Adrian Peterson leads the NFL in rushing, but he gained just 45 last week and will now face a Falcons defense that is No. 1 in the league (87.4 ypg). Minnesota, which allowed 30 points in last week's loss to Green Bay, will see an Atlanta offense that is ranked fourth in the NFL and a Falcons team that is averaging 28.0 ppg at home. The Vikings also will be without their leading tackler, safety Harrison Smith (knee). The last three Atlanta losses were by a combined seven points. The Falcons' problems stem from turnovers, but Minnesota is tied for 26th in the league in takeaways (11).
Record: 428-347-20 (55.2%)
Bankroll: +145.49%
Time: 1 p.m. ET
Reasoning: Adrian Peterson leads the NFL in rushing, but he gained just 45 last week and will now face a Falcons defense that is No. 1 in the league (87.4 ypg). Minnesota, which allowed 30 points in last week's loss to Green Bay, will see an Atlanta offense that is ranked fourth in the NFL and a Falcons team that is averaging 28.0 ppg at home. The Vikings also will be without their leading tackler, safety Harrison Smith (knee). The last three Atlanta losses were by a combined seven points. The Falcons' problems stem from turnovers, but Minnesota is tied for 26th in the league in takeaways (11).
Record: 428-347-20 (55.2%)
Bankroll: +145.49%
Friday, November 27, 2015
NCAAF: Saturday's plays
Play: Mississippi -1 -105
Time: 7:15 p.m.
TV: ESPN2
Reasoning: A win in Starkville and an upset of Alabama by Auburn will put the Rebels in the SEC Championship game for the first time. Ole Miss hasn't won at Mississippi State since 2003, the year Eli Manning was a senior. But I like their chances to break that losing skid with junior college transfer Chad Kelly at quarterback. In last week's 38-17 blowout of LSU, Kelly broke Manning's school record for total TDs in a season. Kelly leads the SEC in passing yards (3,504), total offense (3,857 yards) and total TDs (34). Kelly's favorite target, junior Laquon Treadwell, leads the conference in receiving yards (96.4) and he ranks second in school history in receptions (192). Treadwell likely will be the first WR taken in next year's NFL draft. As a team Ole Miss leads the SEC in scoring (40.5). On defense the Rebels broke up 10 passes, forced two fumbles and made two INTs against LSU. The Bulldogs have allowed 81 points in their last two games. Two weeks ago they lost 31-6 at home to Alabama. Ole Miss beat Alabama 43-37 on the road on Sept. 19. The Rebels are 3-2 this season against Top 30 teams and Mississippi State is 1-3 against Top 30 teams. Ole Miss beat the Bulldogs 31-17 in last year's Egg Bowl.
Play: Florida State/Florida over 43 -110
Time: 7:30 p.m. ET
TV: ESPN
Reasoning: The Gators' defense is the biggest reason why Florida is 10-1, but on Saturday it will likely be without ends Alex McCalister (ankle) and Jordan Sherit (hamstring) and tackle Jonathan Bullard (knee). That could bode well for Seminoles QB Sean Maguire, who has completed 65 percent of his passes over his last four games. Maguire has three interchangeable targets in Travis Rudolph (51 catches), Kermit Whitfield (51 catches) and Jesus Wilson (45 catches). Florida State also has sophomore tailback Dalvin Cook, who has recorded 17 TDs and a school-record 1,475 yards. The Seminoles have a suspect run defense (143.1) and they gave up 261 rushing yards to Georgia Tech a month ago. The Gators have averaged 31.2 points at home. This is the lowest total Florida State has gone against this season and it's the second-lowest total Florida has seen this season.
Record: 427-346-20 (55.2%)
Bankroll: +145.84%
Time: 7:15 p.m.
TV: ESPN2
Reasoning: A win in Starkville and an upset of Alabama by Auburn will put the Rebels in the SEC Championship game for the first time. Ole Miss hasn't won at Mississippi State since 2003, the year Eli Manning was a senior. But I like their chances to break that losing skid with junior college transfer Chad Kelly at quarterback. In last week's 38-17 blowout of LSU, Kelly broke Manning's school record for total TDs in a season. Kelly leads the SEC in passing yards (3,504), total offense (3,857 yards) and total TDs (34). Kelly's favorite target, junior Laquon Treadwell, leads the conference in receiving yards (96.4) and he ranks second in school history in receptions (192). Treadwell likely will be the first WR taken in next year's NFL draft. As a team Ole Miss leads the SEC in scoring (40.5). On defense the Rebels broke up 10 passes, forced two fumbles and made two INTs against LSU. The Bulldogs have allowed 81 points in their last two games. Two weeks ago they lost 31-6 at home to Alabama. Ole Miss beat Alabama 43-37 on the road on Sept. 19. The Rebels are 3-2 this season against Top 30 teams and Mississippi State is 1-3 against Top 30 teams. Ole Miss beat the Bulldogs 31-17 in last year's Egg Bowl.
Play: Florida State/Florida over 43 -110
Time: 7:30 p.m. ET
TV: ESPN
Reasoning: The Gators' defense is the biggest reason why Florida is 10-1, but on Saturday it will likely be without ends Alex McCalister (ankle) and Jordan Sherit (hamstring) and tackle Jonathan Bullard (knee). That could bode well for Seminoles QB Sean Maguire, who has completed 65 percent of his passes over his last four games. Maguire has three interchangeable targets in Travis Rudolph (51 catches), Kermit Whitfield (51 catches) and Jesus Wilson (45 catches). Florida State also has sophomore tailback Dalvin Cook, who has recorded 17 TDs and a school-record 1,475 yards. The Seminoles have a suspect run defense (143.1) and they gave up 261 rushing yards to Georgia Tech a month ago. The Gators have averaged 31.2 points at home. This is the lowest total Florida State has gone against this season and it's the second-lowest total Florida has seen this season.
Record: 427-346-20 (55.2%)
Bankroll: +145.84%
Friday, November 20, 2015
NBA: Friday's play
Play: Oklahoma City -6.5 -105
Time: 8 p.m. ET
Reasoning: Kevin Durant (hamstring) won't be available for this one but the Thunder should be OK with Russell Westbrook shouldering the scoring load. Westbrook, who had 40 points in his last game against New York, has averaged 32.8 points and 9.5 assists in the last four games without Durant. And Westbrook poured in 43 points in Wednesday's 110-103 victory over New Orleans. Reserve center Enes Kanter had 24 points and 14 boards against the Pelicans. The Knicks are 6-6 and Oklahoma City is just 7-5, but statistically the Thunder dominates New York. OKC easily eclipses the Knicks in all shooting categories and the Thunder outrebounds opponents by 8.5 per game. OKC also records more steals and blocks.
Record: 427-345-20 (55.3%)
Bankroll: +153.44%
Time: 8 p.m. ET
Reasoning: Kevin Durant (hamstring) won't be available for this one but the Thunder should be OK with Russell Westbrook shouldering the scoring load. Westbrook, who had 40 points in his last game against New York, has averaged 32.8 points and 9.5 assists in the last four games without Durant. And Westbrook poured in 43 points in Wednesday's 110-103 victory over New Orleans. Reserve center Enes Kanter had 24 points and 14 boards against the Pelicans. The Knicks are 6-6 and Oklahoma City is just 7-5, but statistically the Thunder dominates New York. OKC easily eclipses the Knicks in all shooting categories and the Thunder outrebounds opponents by 8.5 per game. OKC also records more steals and blocks.
Record: 427-345-20 (55.3%)
Bankroll: +153.44%
Sunday, November 8, 2015
NFL: Sunday's play
Play: Philadelphia -3 -125
Time: 8:30 p.m. ET
TV: NBC
Reasoning: Dallas has lost five straight overall and four straight at home. The Eagles are coming off of a bye and have won four of the last five meetings at Dallas. Ryan Matthews and DeMarco Murray have combined for 555 rushing yards over the last three games. The Cowboys got only 64 rushing yards from Darren McFadden last week and they just released Joseph Randle. Dallas also received just 12 receiving yards from Dez Bryant last week in his first game since suffering a broken bone in his foot.
Record: 426-345-20 (55.3%)
Bankroll: +147.50%
Time: 8:30 p.m. ET
TV: NBC
Reasoning: Dallas has lost five straight overall and four straight at home. The Eagles are coming off of a bye and have won four of the last five meetings at Dallas. Ryan Matthews and DeMarco Murray have combined for 555 rushing yards over the last three games. The Cowboys got only 64 rushing yards from Darren McFadden last week and they just released Joseph Randle. Dallas also received just 12 receiving yards from Dez Bryant last week in his first game since suffering a broken bone in his foot.
Record: 426-345-20 (55.3%)
Bankroll: +147.50%
Monday, November 2, 2015
NBA: Monday's play
Play: New York +7.5 -110
Time: 7:30 p.m. ET
Reasoning: The Knicks are supposed to stink, right? They started 5-36 last season en route to a 17-65 record. But here they are at 2-1. And on Monday they will face an old San Antonio team playing the second game of a back-to-back. New York, led by a ragtag group last season, defeated the Spurs 104-100 in their last trip to the Garden (03/17/15), and the Knicks have won four of the last six meetings. They are averaging 113.3 ppg. They are playing above average on defense, are making more threes than San Antonio, are averaging 24.7 made FTs per game and they are monsters on the offensive glass (14.7 rpg). New York's bench also is scoring nearly 20 points more per game than the NBA average.
Record: 426-344-20 (55.3%)
Bankroll: +155.15%
Time: 7:30 p.m. ET
Reasoning: The Knicks are supposed to stink, right? They started 5-36 last season en route to a 17-65 record. But here they are at 2-1. And on Monday they will face an old San Antonio team playing the second game of a back-to-back. New York, led by a ragtag group last season, defeated the Spurs 104-100 in their last trip to the Garden (03/17/15), and the Knicks have won four of the last six meetings. They are averaging 113.3 ppg. They are playing above average on defense, are making more threes than San Antonio, are averaging 24.7 made FTs per game and they are monsters on the offensive glass (14.7 rpg). New York's bench also is scoring nearly 20 points more per game than the NBA average.
Record: 426-344-20 (55.3%)
Bankroll: +155.15%
Sunday, October 25, 2015
NFL: Sunday's play
Play: Tampa Bay +3 -101
Time: 1 p.m. ET
Reasoning: The Buccaneers are coming off a bye and have won five of the last seven meetings. In his last game Jameis Winston posted a 122.5 passer rating and Doug Martin eclipsed 100 yards for the second straight contest. Mike Evans hasn't gotten untracked this year, but he totaled 209 yards and two TDs in a 27-7 win at Washington last season. The Redskins have given up an average of 198.5 rushing yards in their last two tilts and Alfred Morris has just 36 yards on 19 carries in those defeats. Tampa Bay ranks fifth in total defense (322.8 ypg).
Record: 425-344-20 (55.3%)
Bankroll: +147.79%
Time: 1 p.m. ET
Reasoning: The Buccaneers are coming off a bye and have won five of the last seven meetings. In his last game Jameis Winston posted a 122.5 passer rating and Doug Martin eclipsed 100 yards for the second straight contest. Mike Evans hasn't gotten untracked this year, but he totaled 209 yards and two TDs in a 27-7 win at Washington last season. The Redskins have given up an average of 198.5 rushing yards in their last two tilts and Alfred Morris has just 36 yards on 19 carries in those defeats. Tampa Bay ranks fifth in total defense (322.8 ypg).
Record: 425-344-20 (55.3%)
Bankroll: +147.79%
Monday, October 19, 2015
NFL: Monday's play
Play: Philadelphia -5.5 -101
Time: 8:30 p.m. ET
TV: ESPN
Reasoning: The Eagles swept New York last season and beat the Giants 27-0 at Lincoln Financial Field. Last week Philadelphia trashed New Orleans 39-17 and that beating would have been worse had Sam Bradford not thrown two INTs in the red zone. New York could be without Odell Beckham Jr. (hamstring) in this one. He has made the trip to Philadelphia, but he hasn't practiced and is listed as questionable. Beckham had 185 yards in his last game against the Eagles. DeMarco Murray rushed for 249 yards in two games against the Giants last season when he was with Dallas. New York has the NFL's worst pass defense and is 3-10-1 ATS in the last 14 meetings. The Eagles have forced eight fumbles and have totaled six INTs.
Record: 424-344-20 (55.2%)
Bankroll: +140.64%
Time: 8:30 p.m. ET
TV: ESPN
Reasoning: The Eagles swept New York last season and beat the Giants 27-0 at Lincoln Financial Field. Last week Philadelphia trashed New Orleans 39-17 and that beating would have been worse had Sam Bradford not thrown two INTs in the red zone. New York could be without Odell Beckham Jr. (hamstring) in this one. He has made the trip to Philadelphia, but he hasn't practiced and is listed as questionable. Beckham had 185 yards in his last game against the Eagles. DeMarco Murray rushed for 249 yards in two games against the Giants last season when he was with Dallas. New York has the NFL's worst pass defense and is 3-10-1 ATS in the last 14 meetings. The Eagles have forced eight fumbles and have totaled six INTs.
Record: 424-344-20 (55.2%)
Bankroll: +140.64%
Monday, October 12, 2015
MLB: Monday's plays
Play: St. Louis +1.5 +110 (Wacha vs. Arrieta)
Time: 6 p.m. ET
TV: TBS
Reasoning: The Cardinals would be 124-40 if they were given 1.5 rpg. Chicago would be 64-100 if it gave 1.5 rpg. Michael Wacha is 4-2 with a 3.48 ERA in six career postseason games (five starts). St. Louis scores a half-run more per game vs. RH. Kolten Wong and Randall Grichuk hit back-to-back homers in Game 2 and Matt Carpenter added a homer and has five round-trippers in his last 11 postseason contests. The Cubs are hitting .200 and are averaging 2.11 rpg in their last five vs. RH. Kris Bryant is 0-for-11 with four strikeouts so far in the playoffs. Cardinals relievers have a 2.79 ERA and Chicago relievers have a 3.36 ERA.
Play: L.A. Dodgers +1.5 -143 (Anderson vs. Harvey)
Time: 8:30 p.m. ET
TV: TBS
Reasoning: Los Angeles would be 119-45 if it was given 1.5 rpg. New York would be 66-98 if it gave 1.5 rpg. Brett Anderson allowed just two runs on four hits over 7.2 IP in his playoff tuneup on Oct. 1. The Mets have never seen him and he allowed one run on three hits over 6.1 IP in the 2012 and 2013 playoffs. Matt Harvey, who is making his postseason debut, went 1-1 and allowed five runs and 13 hits over 12 innings against L.A. in 2015. New York scores about a half-run fewer per game vs. LH. It has averaged 1.43 rpg over its last five overall. Over their last five games, Dodgers relievers have a 2.13 ERA and Mets relievers have a 3.95 ERA.
Record: 424-342-20 (55.4%)
Bankroll: +156.00%
Time: 6 p.m. ET
TV: TBS
Reasoning: The Cardinals would be 124-40 if they were given 1.5 rpg. Chicago would be 64-100 if it gave 1.5 rpg. Michael Wacha is 4-2 with a 3.48 ERA in six career postseason games (five starts). St. Louis scores a half-run more per game vs. RH. Kolten Wong and Randall Grichuk hit back-to-back homers in Game 2 and Matt Carpenter added a homer and has five round-trippers in his last 11 postseason contests. The Cubs are hitting .200 and are averaging 2.11 rpg in their last five vs. RH. Kris Bryant is 0-for-11 with four strikeouts so far in the playoffs. Cardinals relievers have a 2.79 ERA and Chicago relievers have a 3.36 ERA.
Play: L.A. Dodgers +1.5 -143 (Anderson vs. Harvey)
Time: 8:30 p.m. ET
TV: TBS
Reasoning: Los Angeles would be 119-45 if it was given 1.5 rpg. New York would be 66-98 if it gave 1.5 rpg. Brett Anderson allowed just two runs on four hits over 7.2 IP in his playoff tuneup on Oct. 1. The Mets have never seen him and he allowed one run on three hits over 6.1 IP in the 2012 and 2013 playoffs. Matt Harvey, who is making his postseason debut, went 1-1 and allowed five runs and 13 hits over 12 innings against L.A. in 2015. New York scores about a half-run fewer per game vs. LH. It has averaged 1.43 rpg over its last five overall. Over their last five games, Dodgers relievers have a 2.13 ERA and Mets relievers have a 3.95 ERA.
Record: 424-342-20 (55.4%)
Bankroll: +156.00%
Wednesday, October 7, 2015
MLB: Wednesday's play
Play: Pittsburgh +1.5 -155 (Arrieta vs. Cole)
Time: 8 p.m. ET
TV: TBS
Reasoning: The Pirates would be 115-47 if they were given 1.5 rpg. Chicago would be 63-99 if it gave 1.5 rpg. Pittsburgh is playing in this showdown for the third-straight year. It is 53-28 at home this season. Jake Arrieta is going for the Cubs, but Pirates starter Gerrit Cole is no slouch (19-8, 2.60 ERA). He is 7-1 in nine career starts against Chicago. On Sept. 25 he allowed the Cubs one run on four hits over seven innings, and he has struck out 32 in 25.2 innings against Chicago in 2015. Pittsburgh's bullpen has been lights-out (2.67 ERA). The Cubs, who have struck out more than any other team, have averaged just 3.28 rpg over their last 10 vs. RH. The Bucs score 0.81 more rpg vs. RH and they have averaged 5.65 rpg over their last five against righties.
Record: 424-341-20 (55.4%)
Bankroll: +163.92%
Time: 8 p.m. ET
TV: TBS
Reasoning: The Pirates would be 115-47 if they were given 1.5 rpg. Chicago would be 63-99 if it gave 1.5 rpg. Pittsburgh is playing in this showdown for the third-straight year. It is 53-28 at home this season. Jake Arrieta is going for the Cubs, but Pirates starter Gerrit Cole is no slouch (19-8, 2.60 ERA). He is 7-1 in nine career starts against Chicago. On Sept. 25 he allowed the Cubs one run on four hits over seven innings, and he has struck out 32 in 25.2 innings against Chicago in 2015. Pittsburgh's bullpen has been lights-out (2.67 ERA). The Cubs, who have struck out more than any other team, have averaged just 3.28 rpg over their last 10 vs. RH. The Bucs score 0.81 more rpg vs. RH and they have averaged 5.65 rpg over their last five against righties.
Record: 424-341-20 (55.4%)
Bankroll: +163.92%
Tuesday, October 6, 2015
MLB: Tuesday's play
Play: N.Y. Yankees +1.5 -168 (Keuchel vs. Tanaka)
Time: 8 p.m. ET
TV: ESPN
Reasoning: The Yankees would be 111-51 if they were given 1.5 rpg. Houston would be 65-97 if it gave 1.5 rpg. The Astros went 33-48 on the road this season. Here they will start ace Dallas Keuchel, but he went 5-8 with a 3.77 ERA on the road. Keuchel also is making this start on three days rest, something he's never done before. Masahiro Tanaka takes the ball for New York, and he has a better WHIP than Keuchel both overall and over the last three starts. The Yankees also will have most of their starters available out of the bullpen.
Record: 424-340-20 (55.5%)
Bankroll: +172.08%
Time: 8 p.m. ET
TV: ESPN
Reasoning: The Yankees would be 111-51 if they were given 1.5 rpg. Houston would be 65-97 if it gave 1.5 rpg. The Astros went 33-48 on the road this season. Here they will start ace Dallas Keuchel, but he went 5-8 with a 3.77 ERA on the road. Keuchel also is making this start on three days rest, something he's never done before. Masahiro Tanaka takes the ball for New York, and he has a better WHIP than Keuchel both overall and over the last three starts. The Yankees also will have most of their starters available out of the bullpen.
Record: 424-340-20 (55.5%)
Bankroll: +172.08%
Saturday, October 3, 2015
NFL: Sunday's play
Play: Miami +2 -106
Time: 9:30 a.m. ET
TV: CBS
Reasoning: This is New York's first game in London. The Dolphins played there last season, also in Week 4, and beat Oakland 38-14. Chris Ivory (quadriceps) may return for this one after missing last week. But in four games against Miami, he's totaled just 171 yards (3.7 ypc). Without Ivory last week the Jets ran for only 48 yards. I like Lamar Miller to get untracked here. In last season's finale against New York he went for 178 rushing yards. In that contest Eric Decker racked up 10 catches for 221 yards, but he may miss his second straight game with a sprained knee. The Dolphins held Brandon Marshall in check last season, allowing him just 48 yards on Oct. 19 when he was with Chicago. I still believe in Ryan Tannehill, especially with weapons like Miller, Jarvis Landry (24 receptions, 230 yards) and Rishard Matthews (16 catches, 262 yards, 3 TDs). Tannehill threw three INTs last week, but he also has five TDs and a completion percentage of 61.4. Ryan Fitzpatrick also was picked off three times last week and has five total INTs.
Record: 424-339-20 (55.6%)
Bankroll: +180.50%
Time: 9:30 a.m. ET
TV: CBS
Reasoning: This is New York's first game in London. The Dolphins played there last season, also in Week 4, and beat Oakland 38-14. Chris Ivory (quadriceps) may return for this one after missing last week. But in four games against Miami, he's totaled just 171 yards (3.7 ypc). Without Ivory last week the Jets ran for only 48 yards. I like Lamar Miller to get untracked here. In last season's finale against New York he went for 178 rushing yards. In that contest Eric Decker racked up 10 catches for 221 yards, but he may miss his second straight game with a sprained knee. The Dolphins held Brandon Marshall in check last season, allowing him just 48 yards on Oct. 19 when he was with Chicago. I still believe in Ryan Tannehill, especially with weapons like Miller, Jarvis Landry (24 receptions, 230 yards) and Rishard Matthews (16 catches, 262 yards, 3 TDs). Tannehill threw three INTs last week, but he also has five TDs and a completion percentage of 61.4. Ryan Fitzpatrick also was picked off three times last week and has five total INTs.
Record: 424-339-20 (55.6%)
Bankroll: +180.50%
Monday, September 28, 2015
NFL: Monday's play
Play: Kansas City +6 -102
Time: 8:30 p.m. ET
TV: ESPN
Reasoning: The Chiefs would be 2-0 if they didn't allow two TDs nine seconds apart in the final minute of their last game against Denver. That and five turnovers. But they've had extra time to prepare and recover for this one, as their Week 2 contest was on a Thursday night. Green Bay needed a fourth-quarter comeback to cover the spread in its last game vs. Seattle. Kansas City dominated the line of scrimmage against the Broncos and entered this week tied for second in the NFL in sacks (eight). Here it goes against a Packers team that won't have tackle Bryan Bulaga protecting Aaron Rodgers. Green Bay, which will play 2015 without Jordy Nelson, will at least have a limited Eddie Lacy in this one. Lacy, who suffered an ankle injury last week, returned to practice on Friday but was limited. Davante Adams (ankle) is also questionable.
Record: 424-338-20 (55.6%)
Bankroll: +189.18%
Time: 8:30 p.m. ET
TV: ESPN
Reasoning: The Chiefs would be 2-0 if they didn't allow two TDs nine seconds apart in the final minute of their last game against Denver. That and five turnovers. But they've had extra time to prepare and recover for this one, as their Week 2 contest was on a Thursday night. Green Bay needed a fourth-quarter comeback to cover the spread in its last game vs. Seattle. Kansas City dominated the line of scrimmage against the Broncos and entered this week tied for second in the NFL in sacks (eight). Here it goes against a Packers team that won't have tackle Bryan Bulaga protecting Aaron Rodgers. Green Bay, which will play 2015 without Jordy Nelson, will at least have a limited Eddie Lacy in this one. Lacy, who suffered an ankle injury last week, returned to practice on Friday but was limited. Davante Adams (ankle) is also questionable.
Record: 424-338-20 (55.6%)
Bankroll: +189.18%
Saturday, September 26, 2015
NCAAF: Saturday's play
Play: Texas +3 -105
Time: 3:30 p.m. ET
TV: ESPN
Reasoning: The Longhorns were blown out 38-3 in their season opener at Notre Dame. So enter a new play caller (Jay Norvell) and redshirt freshman QB Jerrod Heard. The result? A 42-28 victory over Rice and a near-comeback in a 45-44 loss to Cal. Texas, which has played the 12th-toughest schedule in the country, has averaged 463.5 yards over its last two games. Against the Bears Heard rushed for 247 yards and passed for 494 more. He has two deep targets in John Burt and Daje Johnson, who couldn't get the ball against the Irish with Tyrone Swoopes behind center. Johnson now has 11 receptions for 190 yards and Burt has six catches for 182 yards. Oklahoma State is 3-0, but it has played three non-Power 5 teams that have combined to go 1-7. The Cowboys, whose schedule ranks 168th, fell to Longhorns 28-7 at home last season.
Record: 424-338-19 (55.6%)
Bankroll: +189.18%
Time: 3:30 p.m. ET
TV: ESPN
Reasoning: The Longhorns were blown out 38-3 in their season opener at Notre Dame. So enter a new play caller (Jay Norvell) and redshirt freshman QB Jerrod Heard. The result? A 42-28 victory over Rice and a near-comeback in a 45-44 loss to Cal. Texas, which has played the 12th-toughest schedule in the country, has averaged 463.5 yards over its last two games. Against the Bears Heard rushed for 247 yards and passed for 494 more. He has two deep targets in John Burt and Daje Johnson, who couldn't get the ball against the Irish with Tyrone Swoopes behind center. Johnson now has 11 receptions for 190 yards and Burt has six catches for 182 yards. Oklahoma State is 3-0, but it has played three non-Power 5 teams that have combined to go 1-7. The Cowboys, whose schedule ranks 168th, fell to Longhorns 28-7 at home last season.
Record: 424-338-19 (55.6%)
Bankroll: +189.18%
Thursday, September 24, 2015
NFL: Thursday's play
Play: N.Y. Giants -3 -110
Time: 8:25 p.m. ET
TV: NFL Network
Reasoning: New York could be 2-0 right now, but it blew double-digit fourth-quarter leads in each of its first two games. Here the Giants get a Washington team that is making its 2015 road debut. New York has won the last four meetings and the Redskins were 1-7 on the road in 2013 and 2014. Washington has averaged 171.5 rushing yards through two games, but the Giants have allowed an average of just 68 rushing yards. In last season's series sweep, New York outscored the Redskins 69-27. Kirk Cousins will go for Washington, but he is just 3-8 as a starter with the team. He also threw four INTs and lost a fumble last September against the Giants. Eli Manning has made some poor decisions so far this season, but he was 51-of-73 for 550 yards and seven TDs (one INT) in 2014 against Washington. And in those games Alfred Morris was held to a combined 112 rushing yards. On defense New York should have MLB Jon Beason back for this contest. Turnover-wise, the Giants have posted only one and the Redskins have just one takeaway.
Record: 423-338-19 (55.6%)
Bankroll: +181.50%
Time: 8:25 p.m. ET
TV: NFL Network
Reasoning: New York could be 2-0 right now, but it blew double-digit fourth-quarter leads in each of its first two games. Here the Giants get a Washington team that is making its 2015 road debut. New York has won the last four meetings and the Redskins were 1-7 on the road in 2013 and 2014. Washington has averaged 171.5 rushing yards through two games, but the Giants have allowed an average of just 68 rushing yards. In last season's series sweep, New York outscored the Redskins 69-27. Kirk Cousins will go for Washington, but he is just 3-8 as a starter with the team. He also threw four INTs and lost a fumble last September against the Giants. Eli Manning has made some poor decisions so far this season, but he was 51-of-73 for 550 yards and seven TDs (one INT) in 2014 against Washington. And in those games Alfred Morris was held to a combined 112 rushing yards. On defense New York should have MLB Jon Beason back for this contest. Turnover-wise, the Giants have posted only one and the Redskins have just one takeaway.
Record: 423-338-19 (55.6%)
Bankroll: +181.50%
Wednesday, September 23, 2015
No plays for Wednesday
Subscribers have been extended another day.
Record: 423-338-19 (55.6%)
Bankroll: +181.50%
Record: 423-338-19 (55.6%)
Bankroll: +181.50%
Tuesday, September 22, 2015
MLB: Tuesday's play
Play: N.Y. Yankees +1.5 -162 (Severino vs. Estrada)
Time: 7:07 p.m. ET
TV: ESPN
Reasoning: New York would be 105-44 if it was given 1.5 rpg. Toronto would be 73-77 if it gave 1.5 rpg. Luis Severino has a 3.12 ERA. He allowed one run over 5.2 innings in his last start. Marco Estrada allowed four runs (three homers) over five innings in his last outing against the Yankees. New York is averaging 6.67 rpg over its last five against RH, and Yankees relievers have a 2.70 ERA in their last five overall. Blue Jays relievers have a 5.73 ERA over their last five.
Record: 422-338-19 (55.5%)
Bankroll: +176.38%
Time: 7:07 p.m. ET
TV: ESPN
Reasoning: New York would be 105-44 if it was given 1.5 rpg. Toronto would be 73-77 if it gave 1.5 rpg. Luis Severino has a 3.12 ERA. He allowed one run over 5.2 innings in his last start. Marco Estrada allowed four runs (three homers) over five innings in his last outing against the Yankees. New York is averaging 6.67 rpg over its last five against RH, and Yankees relievers have a 2.70 ERA in their last five overall. Blue Jays relievers have a 5.73 ERA over their last five.
Record: 422-338-19 (55.5%)
Bankroll: +176.38%
Monday, September 21, 2015
NFL: Sunday's play
Play: Tennessee -1.5 -105
Time: 1 p.m. ET
Reasoning: Both teams will start Heisman Trophy-winning QBs. One (Marcus Mariota) has a perfect NFL passer rating through one game. The other (Johnny Manziel) has had two horrible starts in the league. Mariota threw four TDs in the first half against Tampa Bay last week. Manziel, who is starting in place of Josh McCown (concussion), took over for McCown last week in a 31-10 loss to the Jets. And he committed three of Cleveland's five turnovers. The Titans, whose defense is now under Dick LeBeau, forced three turnovers in the opener and sacked Jameis Winston four times. The Browns allowed 154 rushing yards against New York, which was 7 of 13 on third downs. Cleveland also committed 12 penalties. Tennessee ran for 124 yards last week behind Bishop Sankey and ex-Brown Terrance West.
Record: 421-338-19 (55.5%)
Bankroll: +168.33%
Time: 1 p.m. ET
Reasoning: Both teams will start Heisman Trophy-winning QBs. One (Marcus Mariota) has a perfect NFL passer rating through one game. The other (Johnny Manziel) has had two horrible starts in the league. Mariota threw four TDs in the first half against Tampa Bay last week. Manziel, who is starting in place of Josh McCown (concussion), took over for McCown last week in a 31-10 loss to the Jets. And he committed three of Cleveland's five turnovers. The Titans, whose defense is now under Dick LeBeau, forced three turnovers in the opener and sacked Jameis Winston four times. The Browns allowed 154 rushing yards against New York, which was 7 of 13 on third downs. Cleveland also committed 12 penalties. Tennessee ran for 124 yards last week behind Bishop Sankey and ex-Brown Terrance West.
Record: 421-338-19 (55.5%)
Bankroll: +168.33%
MLB: Monday's play
Play: Chicago/Detroit under 9 +100 (Samardzija vs. Ryan)
Time: 1:08 p.m. ET
Reasoning: Jeff Samardzija has a 3.94 ERA in five career starts (all this season) against the Tigers. Kyle Ryan has allowed the White Sox just two runs in 13 lifetime innings against them. Chicago scores a half-run fewer per game vs. LH. Detroit scores 0.65 fewer rpg vs. RH. White Sox games average 8.38 runs. Both teams average fewer than nine runs in their home/away splits. Chicago has averaged 2.08 rpg over its last five vs. LH. Tigers relievers have a 3.75 ERA over their last 10.
Record: 421-338-19 (55.5%)
Bankroll: +168.33%
Time: 1:08 p.m. ET
Reasoning: Jeff Samardzija has a 3.94 ERA in five career starts (all this season) against the Tigers. Kyle Ryan has allowed the White Sox just two runs in 13 lifetime innings against them. Chicago scores a half-run fewer per game vs. LH. Detroit scores 0.65 fewer rpg vs. RH. White Sox games average 8.38 runs. Both teams average fewer than nine runs in their home/away splits. Chicago has averaged 2.08 rpg over its last five vs. LH. Tigers relievers have a 3.75 ERA over their last 10.
Record: 421-338-19 (55.5%)
Bankroll: +168.33%
Saturday, September 19, 2015
MLB: Saturday's play
Play: Milwaukee -150 (Smith vs. Jungmann)
Time: 7:10 p.m. ET
Reasoning: Taylor Jungmann is 2-0 with a 0.64 ERA and a 0.86 WHIP against Cincinnati this season. He is 5-2 with a 1.50 ERA at home in 2015 and has allowed one run over his last 18.1 innings at Miller Park. Josh Smith, who will make his fourth career start, allowed the Brewers five runs in 4.1 innings on July 4. He has walked 13 in 14.2 big-league innings this season. Milwaukee has the better bullpen and scores a half-run more per game vs. RH. The Reds score nearly one fewer rpg vs. RH. Brewers relievers have a 2.22 ERA in their last five and Cincinnati's bullpen has a 5.25 ERA over that same period.
Record: 421-337-19 (55.5%)
Bankroll: +176.63%
Time: 7:10 p.m. ET
Reasoning: Taylor Jungmann is 2-0 with a 0.64 ERA and a 0.86 WHIP against Cincinnati this season. He is 5-2 with a 1.50 ERA at home in 2015 and has allowed one run over his last 18.1 innings at Miller Park. Josh Smith, who will make his fourth career start, allowed the Brewers five runs in 4.1 innings on July 4. He has walked 13 in 14.2 big-league innings this season. Milwaukee has the better bullpen and scores a half-run more per game vs. RH. The Reds score nearly one fewer rpg vs. RH. Brewers relievers have a 2.22 ERA in their last five and Cincinnati's bullpen has a 5.25 ERA over that same period.
Record: 421-337-19 (55.5%)
Bankroll: +176.63%
Friday, September 18, 2015
No plays for Friday
Subscribers have been extended another day.
Record: 421-337-19 (55.5%)
Bankroll: +176.63%
Record: 421-337-19 (55.5%)
Bankroll: +176.63%
Thursday, September 17, 2015
MLB: Thursday's 8:05 p.m. ET play
Play: Houston -118 (McCullers vs. Lewis)
Time: 8:05 p.m. ET
TV: MLBN
Reasoning: I like Lance McCullers to stop the bleeding for the Astros. He has a 3.10 ERA on the season and a 3.00 ERA in his last three starts. He gave up two runs to the Angels over five innings in his last turn. Colby Lewis has a 4.45 ERA in 2015 and a 5.03 mark over his last three games. In his last meeting with Houston Lewis gave up seven runs on 10 hits (three homers) over six innings. The Astros score more and Texas scores less against RH. Houston's bullpen has a 3.03 ERA and Rangers relievers have a 4.31 ERA.
Record: 421-335-19 (55.7%)
Bankroll: +194.29%
Time: 8:05 p.m. ET
TV: MLBN
Reasoning: I like Lance McCullers to stop the bleeding for the Astros. He has a 3.10 ERA on the season and a 3.00 ERA in his last three starts. He gave up two runs to the Angels over five innings in his last turn. Colby Lewis has a 4.45 ERA in 2015 and a 5.03 mark over his last three games. In his last meeting with Houston Lewis gave up seven runs on 10 hits (three homers) over six innings. The Astros score more and Texas scores less against RH. Houston's bullpen has a 3.03 ERA and Rangers relievers have a 4.31 ERA.
Record: 421-335-19 (55.7%)
Bankroll: +194.29%
MLB: Thursday's 7:10 p.m. ET play
Play: Atlanta +1.5 +100 (Estrada vs. Wisler)
Time: 7:10 p.m. ET
Reasoning: The Braves would be 74-72 if they were given 1.5 rpg. Toronto would be 70-75 if it gave 1.5 rpg. Rookie Matt Wisler has picked up his play in his last two outings, throwing two innings of scoreless relief on Sept. 6 before giving up just two runs over six innings last Friday. Marco Estrada allowed three homers and four runs over five innings in his last go-around. The Blue Jays, who are without Troy Tulowitzki, are hitting 17 points lower and are scoring fewer rpg vs. RH. The Braves are hitting 21 points higher and are scoring 0.71 more rpg vs. RH. Toronto's bullpen has a 4.86 ERA over its last 10. Atlanta's Christian Bethancourt is hitting .412 over his last five.
Record: 421-335-19 (55.7%)
Bankroll: +194.29%
Time: 7:10 p.m. ET
Reasoning: The Braves would be 74-72 if they were given 1.5 rpg. Toronto would be 70-75 if it gave 1.5 rpg. Rookie Matt Wisler has picked up his play in his last two outings, throwing two innings of scoreless relief on Sept. 6 before giving up just two runs over six innings last Friday. Marco Estrada allowed three homers and four runs over five innings in his last go-around. The Blue Jays, who are without Troy Tulowitzki, are hitting 17 points lower and are scoring fewer rpg vs. RH. The Braves are hitting 21 points higher and are scoring 0.71 more rpg vs. RH. Toronto's bullpen has a 4.86 ERA over its last 10. Atlanta's Christian Bethancourt is hitting .412 over his last five.
Record: 421-335-19 (55.7%)
Bankroll: +194.29%
Tuesday, September 15, 2015
No plays for Wednesday
Subscribers have been extended another day.
Record: 421-335-19 (55.7%)
Bankroll: +194.29%
Record: 421-335-19 (55.7%)
Bankroll: +194.29%
MLB: Tuesday's play
Play: Toronto/Atlanta under 8 +100 (Buehrle vs. Teheran)
Time: 7:10 p.m. ET
Reasoning: The Blue Jays took a big hit when they lost Troy Tulowitzki (shoulder) for a couple of weeks. Toronto was shut out 5-0 on Sunday without him. Here the Jays will see Julio Teheran, who allowed one run on four hits over seven innings in his last outing. Teheran has posted quality starts in seven of his last eight chances. Toronto is hitting lower and is scoring fewer rpg vs. RH. The Braves are hitting .231 and are scoring 3.11 rpg vs. LH. Here they will face Mark Buehrle, who should be good to go following extra rest after getting a cortisone shot in his left shoulder. He'll be backed up by relievers who have a collective 3.32 ERA.
Record: 420-335-19 (55.6%)
Bankroll: +185.72%
Time: 7:10 p.m. ET
Reasoning: The Blue Jays took a big hit when they lost Troy Tulowitzki (shoulder) for a couple of weeks. Toronto was shut out 5-0 on Sunday without him. Here the Jays will see Julio Teheran, who allowed one run on four hits over seven innings in his last outing. Teheran has posted quality starts in seven of his last eight chances. Toronto is hitting lower and is scoring fewer rpg vs. RH. The Braves are hitting .231 and are scoring 3.11 rpg vs. LH. Here they will face Mark Buehrle, who should be good to go following extra rest after getting a cortisone shot in his left shoulder. He'll be backed up by relievers who have a collective 3.32 ERA.
Record: 420-335-19 (55.6%)
Bankroll: +185.72%
Sunday, September 13, 2015
No plays for Monday
Subscribers have been credited another day.
Record: 420-335-19 (55.6%)
Bankroll: +185.72%
Record: 420-335-19 (55.6%)
Bankroll: +185.72%
Saturday, September 12, 2015
NFL: Sunday's play
Play: Miami -3 -115
Time: 1 p.m. ET
Reasoning: I really like the Dolphins this season with all of the new additions. On offense they appear loaded. They brought in Greg Jennings, Kenny Stills and Jordan Cameron. They drafted DeVante Parker, who should play following a return from foot surgery. Those guys will join Lamar Miller (nearly 1,400 scrimmage yards in 2014), Jarvis Landry, Rishard Matthews and Ryan Tannehill, who will begin his fourth season. Tannehill has improved in each of his first three seasons and will be in his second year under coordinator Bill Lazor. Tannehill should have a better offensive line in 2015 with the return of left tackle Branden Albert from knee injuries. On defense, Miami added Ndamukong Suh to go with Cameron Wake and Olivier Vernon. In 2014 Miami was plus-15 in turnover differential. Here the Dolphins will face Kirk Cousins, who will be working behind a middling line. Washington will trot out third-string TE Jordan Reed because of injuries to Niles Paul (ankle) and Logan Paulsen (toe ligament). And DeSean Jackson has been slowed by a sprained shoulder suffered in the preseason. Defensively the 'skins were terrible last season, giving up 46 TDs which tied Chicago and Oakland for worst in the league. And even though they played against weak passers in 2014, they allowed opposing QBs to post a 108.3 passer rating. One promising defender for Washington, CB Bashaud Breeland, is suspended for this one (substance abuse) and he likely will miss a month anyway because of a sprained MCL.
Record: 419-335-19 (55.6%)
Bankroll: +178.46%
Time: 1 p.m. ET
Reasoning: I really like the Dolphins this season with all of the new additions. On offense they appear loaded. They brought in Greg Jennings, Kenny Stills and Jordan Cameron. They drafted DeVante Parker, who should play following a return from foot surgery. Those guys will join Lamar Miller (nearly 1,400 scrimmage yards in 2014), Jarvis Landry, Rishard Matthews and Ryan Tannehill, who will begin his fourth season. Tannehill has improved in each of his first three seasons and will be in his second year under coordinator Bill Lazor. Tannehill should have a better offensive line in 2015 with the return of left tackle Branden Albert from knee injuries. On defense, Miami added Ndamukong Suh to go with Cameron Wake and Olivier Vernon. In 2014 Miami was plus-15 in turnover differential. Here the Dolphins will face Kirk Cousins, who will be working behind a middling line. Washington will trot out third-string TE Jordan Reed because of injuries to Niles Paul (ankle) and Logan Paulsen (toe ligament). And DeSean Jackson has been slowed by a sprained shoulder suffered in the preseason. Defensively the 'skins were terrible last season, giving up 46 TDs which tied Chicago and Oakland for worst in the league. And even though they played against weak passers in 2014, they allowed opposing QBs to post a 108.3 passer rating. One promising defender for Washington, CB Bashaud Breeland, is suspended for this one (substance abuse) and he likely will miss a month anyway because of a sprained MCL.
Record: 419-335-19 (55.6%)
Bankroll: +178.46%
MLB: Saturday's plays
Play: Philadelphia +1.5 +105 (Haren vs. Eickhoff)
Time: 7:05 p.m. ET
Reasoning: The Phillies would be 73-69 if they were given 1.5 rpg. Chicago would be 53-87 if it gave 1.5 rpg. Philadelphia will run out Jerad Eickhoff in this one. The rookie, who was acquired in the Cole Hamels deal, has posted three quality starts out of four tries. The Cubs will go with Dan Haren, who has allowed nine runs over 18 innings in three games vs. the Phillies this season. Haren is 2-6 with a 4.50 ERA in 13 career starts against Philadelphia and he is 0-5 in seven outings in Citizens Bank Park. Phillies relievers are nearly as good as their Chicago counterparts overall in 2015, and Cubs relievers have a 4.82 ERA in their last five.
Time: 7:05 p.m. ET
Reasoning: The Phillies would be 73-69 if they were given 1.5 rpg. Chicago would be 53-87 if it gave 1.5 rpg. Philadelphia will run out Jerad Eickhoff in this one. The rookie, who was acquired in the Cole Hamels deal, has posted three quality starts out of four tries. The Cubs will go with Dan Haren, who has allowed nine runs over 18 innings in three games vs. the Phillies this season. Haren is 2-6 with a 4.50 ERA in 13 career starts against Philadelphia and he is 0-5 in seven outings in Citizens Bank Park. Phillies relievers are nearly as good as their Chicago counterparts overall in 2015, and Cubs relievers have a 4.82 ERA in their last five.
Play: Milwaukee/Pittsburgh under 8 -110 (Davies vs. Locke)
Time: 7:05 p.m. ET
Reasoning: Games at PNC Park average 7.59 runs. Rookie Zach Davies takes the ball for the Brewers and he allowed one run on four hits and didn't walk a batter over seven innings in his last start. Jeff Locke goes for the Pirates and he has a 3.62 ERA at home. Milwaukee is hitting .233 and is scoring a half-run fewer per game vs. LH. Pittsburgh's bullpen has a 2.76 ERA overall and Brewers relievers have a 2.83 ERA over their last 10.
Play: Detroit +102 (Verlander vs. Anderson)
Time: 7:10 p.m. ET
Reasoning: The Indians are 30-34 at home and starter Cody Anderson has a 5.33 ERA at Progressive Field. Justin Verlander has a 1.78 ERA in his last nine starts. He also hasn't allowed a homer in five of his last six. Miguel Cabrera has a 13-game hitting streak and James McCann is 10-for-24 with six RBIs and four runs scored in his last six.
Play: N.Y. Mets/Atlanta under 8 -110 (Snydergaard vs. Perez)
Time: 7:10 p.m. ET
Reasoning: Games umpired by Chris Segal have averaged 7.58 runs. The Braves are averaging just 2.97 rpg over their last 10. New York's bullpen has a 0.51 ERA over its last five. Noah Snydergaard will go for the Mets, and he is rested having not pitched since Aug. 30. He has a 3.31 ERA and a 1.14 WHIP on the season. Williams Perez allowed only two runs on six hits over seven innings in his last start. He pitched a scoreless inning to earn a save on June 13 against New York.
Record: 419-333-17 (55.7%)
Bankroll: +196.24%
Bankroll: +196.24%
Saturday, August 29, 2015
On vacation until Sept. 11
My internet access will be limited during this time, so I've credited subscribers through Sept. 11.
Record: 419-333-17 (55.7%)
Bankroll: +196.24%
Record: 419-333-17 (55.7%)
Bankroll: +196.24%
Wednesday, August 26, 2015
No plays for Thursday
Subscribers have been credited another day.
Record: 419-333-17 (55.7%)
Bankroll: +196.24%
Record: 419-333-17 (55.7%)
Bankroll: +196.24%
MLB: Wednesday's plays
Play: New York/Philadelphia under 8.5 -110 (Colon vs. Eickhoff)
Time: 7:05 p.m. ET
Reasoning: Jerad Eickhoff pitched six scoreless innings in his major-league debut last Friday. Bartolo Colon has won both of his starts against the Phillies this season and is 6-3 lifetime against them. Colon also has pitched well against Ryan Howard (4-for-19 lifetime). The Mets are hitting .239 against RH and Philadelphia is hitting .248 vs. righties. New York relievers have a 2.21 ERA in their last five.
Play: San Diego +1.5 -160 (Ross vs. Gonzalez)
Time: 7:05 p.m. ET
Reasoning: The Padres would be 77-48 if they were given 1.5 rpg. Washington would be 45-79 if it gave 1.5 rpg. I like San Diego, which has won nine of its last 13, to do some damage vs. Gio Gonzalez. Against southpaws the Padres are hitting .307 and are scoring 6.00 rpg in their last 10 and are hitting .450 and are scoring 12.27 rpg in their last five. Gonzalez has a 3.98 ERA and a 1.47 WHIP overall and a 5.74 ERA and a 1.60 WHIP in his last three starts. Against Gonzalez, Derek Norris has two homers in three career at-bats and Justin Upton is 5-for-16 lifetime (three homers). Tyson Ross has a 3.00 ERA in his last three turns. He is 5-3 with a 2.71 ERA in 15 road starts and he beat Washington on May 14 (5 IP, 5 H, 2 R). Nationals relievers have been a little better on the season, but San Diego has had the advantage over the last 10 games.
Record: 418-332-17 (55.7%)
Bankroll: +199.61%
Time: 7:05 p.m. ET
Reasoning: Jerad Eickhoff pitched six scoreless innings in his major-league debut last Friday. Bartolo Colon has won both of his starts against the Phillies this season and is 6-3 lifetime against them. Colon also has pitched well against Ryan Howard (4-for-19 lifetime). The Mets are hitting .239 against RH and Philadelphia is hitting .248 vs. righties. New York relievers have a 2.21 ERA in their last five.
Play: San Diego +1.5 -160 (Ross vs. Gonzalez)
Time: 7:05 p.m. ET
Reasoning: The Padres would be 77-48 if they were given 1.5 rpg. Washington would be 45-79 if it gave 1.5 rpg. I like San Diego, which has won nine of its last 13, to do some damage vs. Gio Gonzalez. Against southpaws the Padres are hitting .307 and are scoring 6.00 rpg in their last 10 and are hitting .450 and are scoring 12.27 rpg in their last five. Gonzalez has a 3.98 ERA and a 1.47 WHIP overall and a 5.74 ERA and a 1.60 WHIP in his last three starts. Against Gonzalez, Derek Norris has two homers in three career at-bats and Justin Upton is 5-for-16 lifetime (three homers). Tyson Ross has a 3.00 ERA in his last three turns. He is 5-3 with a 2.71 ERA in 15 road starts and he beat Washington on May 14 (5 IP, 5 H, 2 R). Nationals relievers have been a little better on the season, but San Diego has had the advantage over the last 10 games.
Record: 418-332-17 (55.7%)
Bankroll: +199.61%
Tuesday, August 25, 2015
MLB: Tuesday's play
Play: Boston/Chi. White Sox under 8.5 -110 (Miley vs. Quintana)
Time: 8:10 p.m. ET
Reasoning: Jose Quintana has a 1.63 ERA in four career starts against the Red Sox. He has posted quality starts in 14 of 16 games this season. Wade Miley has made quality starts in five of his last seven and in his last two tries he allowed a combined three runs over 14.1 innings against Seattle and Kansas City. Boston is hitting .244 and is scoring 3.60 rpg in its last five against LH. Chicago is hitting .200 and is averaging 2.45 rpg in its last 10 vs. southpaws. White Sox relievers have a 1.79 ERA in their last 17. Games at U.S. Cellular Field average 7.39 runs. Games called by this year by Mark Ripperger average 7.80 runs. His games last season averaged 7.97 runs.
Record: 418-331-17 (55.8%)
Bankroll: +208.88%
Time: 8:10 p.m. ET
Reasoning: Jose Quintana has a 1.63 ERA in four career starts against the Red Sox. He has posted quality starts in 14 of 16 games this season. Wade Miley has made quality starts in five of his last seven and in his last two tries he allowed a combined three runs over 14.1 innings against Seattle and Kansas City. Boston is hitting .244 and is scoring 3.60 rpg in its last five against LH. Chicago is hitting .200 and is averaging 2.45 rpg in its last 10 vs. southpaws. White Sox relievers have a 1.79 ERA in their last 17. Games at U.S. Cellular Field average 7.39 runs. Games called by this year by Mark Ripperger average 7.80 runs. His games last season averaged 7.97 runs.
Record: 418-331-17 (55.8%)
Bankroll: +208.88%
Monday, August 24, 2015
MLB: Monday's plays
Play: Houston +1.5 -160 (Feldman vs. Eovaldi)
Time: 7:05 p.m. ET
TV: MLBN
Reasoning: The Astros would be 89-36 if they were given 1.5 rpg. New York would be 48-75 if it gave 1.5 rpg. Houston will send out Scott Feldman, who has a 1.89 ERA in his last three starts. He has allowed three or fewer runs in five straight. And he is 5-4 with a 3.45 ERA in 12 career games (10 starts) vs. the Yankees. Nathan Eovaldi has a 4.24 ERA and a 1.46 WHIP. Astros relievers have a 2.63 ERA. Houston scores a half-run more per game vs. RH. New York scores a half-run fewer per game against righties. Over the last 10 games, the Astros bullpen has a 1.35 ERA and the Yankees bullpen has a 3.44 ERA.
Play: Cincinnati -121 (Farmer vs. Sampson)
Time: 7:10 p.m. ET
Reasoning: Buck Farmer is starting only because Daniel Norris and Anibal Sanchez are on the DL. He has an 8.39 ERA and 1.86 WHIP. In three starts earlier this year he went 0-2 with a 9.20 ERA. Keyvius Sampson was hammered in his last go-around, but he displayed ability in the two prior starts against the Dodgers and Diamondbacks (combined 11 IP, 9 H, 3 R). Reds relievers have a 2.97 ERA in the last 10 games. Detroit relievers have a 4.29 ERA overall.
Record: 416-331-17 (55.7%)
Bankroll: +195.99%
Time: 7:05 p.m. ET
TV: MLBN
Reasoning: The Astros would be 89-36 if they were given 1.5 rpg. New York would be 48-75 if it gave 1.5 rpg. Houston will send out Scott Feldman, who has a 1.89 ERA in his last three starts. He has allowed three or fewer runs in five straight. And he is 5-4 with a 3.45 ERA in 12 career games (10 starts) vs. the Yankees. Nathan Eovaldi has a 4.24 ERA and a 1.46 WHIP. Astros relievers have a 2.63 ERA. Houston scores a half-run more per game vs. RH. New York scores a half-run fewer per game against righties. Over the last 10 games, the Astros bullpen has a 1.35 ERA and the Yankees bullpen has a 3.44 ERA.
Play: Cincinnati -121 (Farmer vs. Sampson)
Time: 7:10 p.m. ET
Reasoning: Buck Farmer is starting only because Daniel Norris and Anibal Sanchez are on the DL. He has an 8.39 ERA and 1.86 WHIP. In three starts earlier this year he went 0-2 with a 9.20 ERA. Keyvius Sampson was hammered in his last go-around, but he displayed ability in the two prior starts against the Dodgers and Diamondbacks (combined 11 IP, 9 H, 3 R). Reds relievers have a 2.97 ERA in the last 10 games. Detroit relievers have a 4.29 ERA overall.
Record: 416-331-17 (55.7%)
Bankroll: +195.99%
Saturday, August 22, 2015
MLB: Saturday's 7 p.m. ET plays
Play: Kansas City -138 (Ventura vs. Barnes)
Time: 7:10 p.m. ET
Reasoning: Yordano Ventura is unbeaten in his last five and he is coming off of a seven-inning performance against the Angels in which he permitted two runs and struck out seven. Matt Barnes will make his second career start and he allowed six runs over five innings in his debut against Cleveland. In 21 relief appearances Barnes went 2-3 with a 5.64 ERA. Royals relievers haven't allowed a run in their last 18.2 IP. They have a 2.36 ERA and Boston's bullpen has a 4.30 ERA. Red Sox relievers have a 7.76 ERA in their last 10. Kansas City scores nearly one more rpg vs. RH and Boston scores nearly a half-run fewer per game against righties.
Play: Cincinnati -116 (Delgado vs. DeSclafani)
Time: 7:10 p.m. ET
Reasoning: Randall Delgado has been great out of the bullpen, but here he makes his first start since last September. He has lost three of his four career starts against the Reds and has a 6.08 ERA in three outings at Great American Ball Park. Anthony DeSclafani has posted five straight quality starts and he allowed just two runs in six innings against the Dodgers in his last turn. Cincinnati relievers have a 1.47 ERA in their last 10. And Joey Votto has been hot, hitting safely in nine of his last 10. Over that span he is 15-for-37.
Record: 415-330-17 (55.7%)
Bankroll: +198.45%
Time: 7:10 p.m. ET
Reasoning: Yordano Ventura is unbeaten in his last five and he is coming off of a seven-inning performance against the Angels in which he permitted two runs and struck out seven. Matt Barnes will make his second career start and he allowed six runs over five innings in his debut against Cleveland. In 21 relief appearances Barnes went 2-3 with a 5.64 ERA. Royals relievers haven't allowed a run in their last 18.2 IP. They have a 2.36 ERA and Boston's bullpen has a 4.30 ERA. Red Sox relievers have a 7.76 ERA in their last 10. Kansas City scores nearly one more rpg vs. RH and Boston scores nearly a half-run fewer per game against righties.
Play: Cincinnati -116 (Delgado vs. DeSclafani)
Time: 7:10 p.m. ET
Reasoning: Randall Delgado has been great out of the bullpen, but here he makes his first start since last September. He has lost three of his four career starts against the Reds and has a 6.08 ERA in three outings at Great American Ball Park. Anthony DeSclafani has posted five straight quality starts and he allowed just two runs in six innings against the Dodgers in his last turn. Cincinnati relievers have a 1.47 ERA in their last 10. And Joey Votto has been hot, hitting safely in nine of his last 10. Over that span he is 15-for-37.
Record: 415-330-17 (55.7%)
Bankroll: +198.45%
Thursday, August 20, 2015
No plays for Thursday
Subscribers have been credited another day.
Record: 415-330-17 (55.7%)
Bankroll: +198.45%
Record: 415-330-17 (55.7%)
Bankroll: +198.45%
Wednesday, August 19, 2015
MLB: Wednesday's play
Play: Atlanta +1.5 -160 (Teheran vs. Ross)
Time: 3:40 p.m. ET
Reasoning: The Braves would be 69-50 if they were given 1.5 rpg. San Diego would be 42-78 if it gave 1.5 rpg. Atlanta is scheduled to activate Freddie Freeman from the DL. The Braves also will give the ball to Julio Teheran, who has a 2.75 ERA and a 1.02 WHIP in his last three starts. In his last turn Teheran held Arizona to one run on three hits over six innings. Tyson Ross will go for the Padres and he leads the majors in walks (67). Ross has a 1.38 WHIP overall and a 1.33 WHIP in his last three. San Diego is hitting .238 and is averaging 4.03 rpg.
Record: 414-330-17 (55.6%)
Bankroll: +192.96%
Time: 3:40 p.m. ET
Reasoning: The Braves would be 69-50 if they were given 1.5 rpg. San Diego would be 42-78 if it gave 1.5 rpg. Atlanta is scheduled to activate Freddie Freeman from the DL. The Braves also will give the ball to Julio Teheran, who has a 2.75 ERA and a 1.02 WHIP in his last three starts. In his last turn Teheran held Arizona to one run on three hits over six innings. Tyson Ross will go for the Padres and he leads the majors in walks (67). Ross has a 1.38 WHIP overall and a 1.33 WHIP in his last three. San Diego is hitting .238 and is averaging 4.03 rpg.
Record: 414-330-17 (55.6%)
Bankroll: +192.96%
Tuesday, August 18, 2015
MLB: Tuesday's 10:05 p.m. ET play
Play: L.A. Dodgers/Oakland over 6.5 -107 (Kershaw vs. Doubront)
Time: 10:05 p.m. ET
Reasoning: Games at O.co Coliseum average 7.61 rpg. Felix Doubront has a 4.59 ERA and a 1.44 WHIP overall. He has a 6.59 ERA and a 1.98 WHIP in his last three. In two career tries against Los Angeles, Doubront has a 11.05 ERA. And Adrian Gonzalez is 2-for-2 with two homers lifetime against him. The Dodgers are hitting .345 and are scoring 10.45 rpg in their last five vs. LH. Coco Crisp may return for this one after missing Monday with ankle and hip soreness. The Athletics are hitting .292 in their last five vs. southpaws. Oakland's bullpen has a 6.88 ERA in its last 10 and a 9.53 ERA in its last five. L.A.'s relievers have 5.10 ERA in their last 10 and a 4.10 ERA overall.
Record: 412-329-17 (55.6%)
Bankroll: +187.57%
Time: 10:05 p.m. ET
Reasoning: Games at O.co Coliseum average 7.61 rpg. Felix Doubront has a 4.59 ERA and a 1.44 WHIP overall. He has a 6.59 ERA and a 1.98 WHIP in his last three. In two career tries against Los Angeles, Doubront has a 11.05 ERA. And Adrian Gonzalez is 2-for-2 with two homers lifetime against him. The Dodgers are hitting .345 and are scoring 10.45 rpg in their last five vs. LH. Coco Crisp may return for this one after missing Monday with ankle and hip soreness. The Athletics are hitting .292 in their last five vs. southpaws. Oakland's bullpen has a 6.88 ERA in its last 10 and a 9.53 ERA in its last five. L.A.'s relievers have 5.10 ERA in their last 10 and a 4.10 ERA overall.
Record: 412-329-17 (55.6%)
Bankroll: +187.57%
MLB: Tuesday's 8:40 p.m. ET play
Play: Washington/Colorado under 10.5 -115 (Zimmermann vs. Hale)
Time: 8:40 p.m. ET
Reasoning: Jordan Zimmermann has a 3.34 ERA overall and a 3.20 ERA and a 0.76 WHIP in his last three outings. Against the Rockies on Aug. 7, he yielded one run on four hits over 6.1 frames. In his last start Zimmermann allowed one run on two hits over seven innings at Los Angeles. Davi Hale hasn't given up a run in three appearances (one start) vs. the Nationals. Ryan Zimmerman is 0-for-15 with eight strikeouts over his last five. Jayson Werth is hitting .145 in 19 games since coming off of the DL on July 28. Carlos Gonzalez is 2-for-22 in his last six. Against RH Washington is hitting .216 over its last five and .205 in its last 10. Against RH Colorado is hitting .217 in its last five and .205 over its last 10.
Record: 412-329-17 (55.6%)
Bankroll: +187.57%
Time: 8:40 p.m. ET
Reasoning: Jordan Zimmermann has a 3.34 ERA overall and a 3.20 ERA and a 0.76 WHIP in his last three outings. Against the Rockies on Aug. 7, he yielded one run on four hits over 6.1 frames. In his last start Zimmermann allowed one run on two hits over seven innings at Los Angeles. Davi Hale hasn't given up a run in three appearances (one start) vs. the Nationals. Ryan Zimmerman is 0-for-15 with eight strikeouts over his last five. Jayson Werth is hitting .145 in 19 games since coming off of the DL on July 28. Carlos Gonzalez is 2-for-22 in his last six. Against RH Washington is hitting .216 over its last five and .205 in its last 10. Against RH Colorado is hitting .217 in its last five and .205 over its last 10.
Record: 412-329-17 (55.6%)
Bankroll: +187.57%
MLB: Tuesday's 8:05 p.m. ET play
Play: Detroit +1.5 -145 (Sanchez vs. Hammel)
Time: 8:05 p.m. ET
TV: MLBN
Reasoning: The Tigers would be 73-44 if they were given 1.5 rpg. Chicago would be 40-76 if it gave 1.5 rpg. Anibal Sanchez is 3-2 with a 3.57 ERA in six starts lifetime against the Cubs. He pitched 7.2 innings of shutout ball against Chicago on June 9. Jason Hammel hasn't gone six innings in any of his last six turns. He has a 7.18 ERA in eight appearances (five starts) against Detroit. The Cubs are hitting .236 vs. RH. Tigers relievers have a 2.25 ERA in their last five.
Record: 412-329-17 (55.6%)
Bankroll: +187.57%
Time: 8:05 p.m. ET
TV: MLBN
Reasoning: The Tigers would be 73-44 if they were given 1.5 rpg. Chicago would be 40-76 if it gave 1.5 rpg. Anibal Sanchez is 3-2 with a 3.57 ERA in six starts lifetime against the Cubs. He pitched 7.2 innings of shutout ball against Chicago on June 9. Jason Hammel hasn't gone six innings in any of his last six turns. He has a 7.18 ERA in eight appearances (five starts) against Detroit. The Cubs are hitting .236 vs. RH. Tigers relievers have a 2.25 ERA in their last five.
Record: 412-329-17 (55.6%)
Bankroll: +187.57%
MLB: Monday's play
Play: Atlanta +1.5 -165 (Perez vs. Rea)
Time: 10:10 p.m. ET
Reasoning: The Braves would be 69-48 if they were given 1.5 rpg. San Diego would be 40-78 if it gave 1.5 rpg. Williams Perez pitched a complete game in his last start, allowing Tampa Bay two runs on four hits. On June 10 in his first career start against the Padres, he went seven innings and allowed one unearned run on four hits. Colin Rea allowed three runs on seven hits over five innings in his major-league debut last Tuesday. He posted a 4.39 ERA in six starts this season at Triple-A El Paso. Atlanta hits 24 points higher and scores 1.02 more rpg vs. RH. San Diego is hitting .236 and is scoring 3.97 rpg.
Record: 412-328-17 (55.7%)
Bankroll: +196.46%
Time: 10:10 p.m. ET
Reasoning: The Braves would be 69-48 if they were given 1.5 rpg. San Diego would be 40-78 if it gave 1.5 rpg. Williams Perez pitched a complete game in his last start, allowing Tampa Bay two runs on four hits. On June 10 in his first career start against the Padres, he went seven innings and allowed one unearned run on four hits. Colin Rea allowed three runs on seven hits over five innings in his major-league debut last Tuesday. He posted a 4.39 ERA in six starts this season at Triple-A El Paso. Atlanta hits 24 points higher and scores 1.02 more rpg vs. RH. San Diego is hitting .236 and is scoring 3.97 rpg.
Record: 412-328-17 (55.7%)
Bankroll: +196.46%
Sunday, August 16, 2015
MLB: Sunday's play
Play: Cincinnati +1.5 -110 (DeSclafani vs. Greinke)
Time: 4:10 p.m. ET
Reasoning: The Reds would be 73-42 if they were given 1.5 rpg. Los Angeles would be 51-64 if it gave 1.5 rpg. Zack Greinke has been the best pitcher in baseball this season, but he has a 3.60 ERA in his last three starts. Joey Votto is 10-for-24 with three homers and three doubles lifetime against Greinke. Votto is 8-for-16 with two homers and seven RBIs in his last four games. Todd Frazier, who has 29 homers, is 8-for-20 with five extra-base hits over his last five. Cincinnati has averaged 4.34 rpg in its last five against RH. Anthony DeSclafani has a 2.37 ERA in his last three turns. In his major-league debut last season against the Dodgers he allowed two runs over six innings and struck out seven. Los Angeles hits 13 points lower and scores fewer rpg vs. RH. In its last five against righties, it has averaged just 3.52 rpg. Joc Pederson has really fallen off. He is hitting .217 and is only 4-for-44 in his last 16 contests. Reds relievers have a 1.02 ERA in their last 10 and a 0.83 ERA in their last five. Dodgers relievers have a 4.12 ERA overall and a 5.52 ERA in their last 10.
Record: 411-328-17 (55.6%)
Bankroll: +188.59%
Time: 4:10 p.m. ET
Reasoning: The Reds would be 73-42 if they were given 1.5 rpg. Los Angeles would be 51-64 if it gave 1.5 rpg. Zack Greinke has been the best pitcher in baseball this season, but he has a 3.60 ERA in his last three starts. Joey Votto is 10-for-24 with three homers and three doubles lifetime against Greinke. Votto is 8-for-16 with two homers and seven RBIs in his last four games. Todd Frazier, who has 29 homers, is 8-for-20 with five extra-base hits over his last five. Cincinnati has averaged 4.34 rpg in its last five against RH. Anthony DeSclafani has a 2.37 ERA in his last three turns. In his major-league debut last season against the Dodgers he allowed two runs over six innings and struck out seven. Los Angeles hits 13 points lower and scores fewer rpg vs. RH. In its last five against righties, it has averaged just 3.52 rpg. Joc Pederson has really fallen off. He is hitting .217 and is only 4-for-44 in his last 16 contests. Reds relievers have a 1.02 ERA in their last 10 and a 0.83 ERA in their last five. Dodgers relievers have a 4.12 ERA overall and a 5.52 ERA in their last 10.
Record: 411-328-17 (55.6%)
Bankroll: +188.59%
Friday, August 14, 2015
No plays for Friday
Subscribers have been credited another day.
Record: 411-328-17 (55.6%)
Bankroll: +188.59%
Record: 411-328-17 (55.6%)
Bankroll: +188.59%
Thursday, August 13, 2015
MLB: Thursday's play
Play: L.A. Angels -108 (Richards vs. Guthrie)
Time: 8:10 p.m. ET
Reasoning: Garrett Richards has a 3.51 ERA and he permitted three runs on five hits over seven innings in his last start against Kansas City. Eric Hosmer is 0-for-8 with three strikeouts lifetime vs. Richards. Jeremy Guthrie has allowed 18 runs on 31 hits over his last three starts. He has a 5.84 ERA and a 1.58 WHIP in 2015. Guthrie is 4-5 in his career against the Angels and he allowed four runs in seven innings in his last outing against them. Mike Trout is 6-for-16 lifetime vs. Guthrie. Los Angeles' bullpen has a 2.41 ERA and Royals relievers have a 3.46 ERA over the last 10 games.
Record: 410-328-17 (55.6%)
Bankroll: +180.79%
Time: 8:10 p.m. ET
Reasoning: Garrett Richards has a 3.51 ERA and he permitted three runs on five hits over seven innings in his last start against Kansas City. Eric Hosmer is 0-for-8 with three strikeouts lifetime vs. Richards. Jeremy Guthrie has allowed 18 runs on 31 hits over his last three starts. He has a 5.84 ERA and a 1.58 WHIP in 2015. Guthrie is 4-5 in his career against the Angels and he allowed four runs in seven innings in his last outing against them. Mike Trout is 6-for-16 lifetime vs. Guthrie. Los Angeles' bullpen has a 2.41 ERA and Royals relievers have a 3.46 ERA over the last 10 games.
Record: 410-328-17 (55.6%)
Bankroll: +180.79%
Wednesday, August 12, 2015
MLB: Wednesday's play
Play: Houston +1.5 -170 (Feldman vs. Heston)
Time: 3:45 p.m. ET
Reasoning: The Astros would be 80-34 if they were given 1.5 rpg. San Francisco would be 45-67 if it gave 1.5 rpg. Houston is 10-3 against the NL. Its bullpen has a 2.76 ERA, which is a half-run better than that of the Giants. The Astros are scoring nearly one more rpg vs. RH. San Francisco's bullpen has a 4.15 ERA over its last 10. And the Giants are hitting .194 and are scoring 2.79 rpg over their last five against RH. Scott Feldman has a 2.84 ERA and a 1.00 WHIP in his last three starts. Chris Heston has given up eight runs in 8.2 innings over his last two outings.
Record: 409-328-17 (55.5%)
Bankroll: +175.92%
Time: 3:45 p.m. ET
Reasoning: The Astros would be 80-34 if they were given 1.5 rpg. San Francisco would be 45-67 if it gave 1.5 rpg. Houston is 10-3 against the NL. Its bullpen has a 2.76 ERA, which is a half-run better than that of the Giants. The Astros are scoring nearly one more rpg vs. RH. San Francisco's bullpen has a 4.15 ERA over its last 10. And the Giants are hitting .194 and are scoring 2.79 rpg over their last five against RH. Scott Feldman has a 2.84 ERA and a 1.00 WHIP in his last three starts. Chris Heston has given up eight runs in 8.2 innings over his last two outings.
Record: 409-328-17 (55.5%)
Bankroll: +175.92%
Tuesday, August 11, 2015
MLB: Tuesday's plays
Play: Oakland +1.5 -115 (Graveman vs. Hutchison)
Time: 7:07 p.m. ET
Reasoning: The Athletics would be 77-36 if they were given 1.5 rpg. Toronto would be 49-64 if it gave 1.5 rpg. Oakland took three out of four last weekend against Houston. The A's will send out Kendall Graveman, who has a 3.90 ERA overall, a 3.10 ERA on the road and a 3.17 ERA in night games. Drew Hutchison gave up seven runs over five innings in his last start. He has a 7.07 ERA and a 1.86 WHIP in his last three turns and he has a 5.42 ERA and a 1.52 WHIP on the season. Oakland scores a half-run more per game vs. RH. The Jays score fewer runs and hit 32 points lower against RH.
Play: Atlanta +1.5 -130 (Perez vs. Ramirez)
Time: 7:10 p.m. ET
Reasoning: The Braves would be 67-45 if they were given 1.5 rpg. Tampa Bay would be 38-74 if it gave 1.5 rpg. Atlanta is hitting .298 and is scoring 6.45 rpg over its last five. It averages 1.10 more rpg vs. RH. The Rays score 0.64 fewer rpg vs. righties. Williams Perez allowed Tampa Bay one run over five frames on May 20. In his other interleague start (June 15) he pitched six scoreless innings against Boston. Erasmo Ramirez is winless in his last four starts and he has given up 14 runs in his last 19.1 IP. He permitted the Braves three runs over five innings on May 19.
Record: 409-326-17 (55.6%)
Bankroll: +193.54%
Time: 7:07 p.m. ET
Reasoning: The Athletics would be 77-36 if they were given 1.5 rpg. Toronto would be 49-64 if it gave 1.5 rpg. Oakland took three out of four last weekend against Houston. The A's will send out Kendall Graveman, who has a 3.90 ERA overall, a 3.10 ERA on the road and a 3.17 ERA in night games. Drew Hutchison gave up seven runs over five innings in his last start. He has a 7.07 ERA and a 1.86 WHIP in his last three turns and he has a 5.42 ERA and a 1.52 WHIP on the season. Oakland scores a half-run more per game vs. RH. The Jays score fewer runs and hit 32 points lower against RH.
Play: Atlanta +1.5 -130 (Perez vs. Ramirez)
Time: 7:10 p.m. ET
Reasoning: The Braves would be 67-45 if they were given 1.5 rpg. Tampa Bay would be 38-74 if it gave 1.5 rpg. Atlanta is hitting .298 and is scoring 6.45 rpg over its last five. It averages 1.10 more rpg vs. RH. The Rays score 0.64 fewer rpg vs. righties. Williams Perez allowed Tampa Bay one run over five frames on May 20. In his other interleague start (June 15) he pitched six scoreless innings against Boston. Erasmo Ramirez is winless in his last four starts and he has given up 14 runs in his last 19.1 IP. He permitted the Braves three runs over five innings on May 19.
Record: 409-326-17 (55.6%)
Bankroll: +193.54%
Monday, August 10, 2015
No plays for Monday
Subscribers have been credited another day.
Record: 409-326-17 (55.6%)
Bankroll: +193.54%
Record: 409-326-17 (55.6%)
Bankroll: +193.54%
Sunday, August 9, 2015
MLB: Sunday's play
Play: San Francisco +1.5 -150 (Peavy vs. Arrieta)
Time: 2:20 p.m. ET
TV: TBS
Reasoning: The Giants would be 74-36 if they were given 1.5 rpg. Chicago would be 36-73 if it gave 1.5 rpg. San Francisco has won each of Jake Peavy's last four starts. He has a 2.00 ERA and a 0.83 WHIP in his last three starts. He's also allowed just one run and nine hits over his last 12 innings. Peavy is 8-5 with a 2.76 ERA in 16 career starts against the Cubs. Jake Arrieta is 4-5 with a 3.07 ERA in 10 starts this season at Wrigley Field. The Giants have the better bullpen and they score 0.66 more rpg vs. RH. Chicago scores 0.81 fewer rpg vs. RH and its relievers have a 5.17 ERA over the last five contests.
Record: 409-325-17 (55.7%)
Bankroll: +202.62%
Time: 2:20 p.m. ET
TV: TBS
Reasoning: The Giants would be 74-36 if they were given 1.5 rpg. Chicago would be 36-73 if it gave 1.5 rpg. San Francisco has won each of Jake Peavy's last four starts. He has a 2.00 ERA and a 0.83 WHIP in his last three starts. He's also allowed just one run and nine hits over his last 12 innings. Peavy is 8-5 with a 2.76 ERA in 16 career starts against the Cubs. Jake Arrieta is 4-5 with a 3.07 ERA in 10 starts this season at Wrigley Field. The Giants have the better bullpen and they score 0.66 more rpg vs. RH. Chicago scores 0.81 fewer rpg vs. RH and its relievers have a 5.17 ERA over the last five contests.
Record: 409-325-17 (55.7%)
Bankroll: +202.62%
Saturday, August 8, 2015
MLB: Saturday's 7:10 p.m. ET play
Play: Chi. White Sox -112 (Samardzija vs. Guthrie)
Time: 7:10 p.m. ET
Reasoning: Jeff Samardzija has a 1.06 WHIP in his last three starts. Jeremy Guthrie has allowed 30 hits over his last 17.1 IP and has a 7.27 ERA over that time. He allowed eight runs in 5.1 innings in his last go-around, and he has a 5.65 ERA and a 1.57 WHIP on the season. Chicago hits 20 points higher and scores a half-run more per game vs. RH. Kansas City has a batting average of .217 over its last 10. Royals relievers have a 5.40 ERA over their last five and a 5.33 ERA over their last 10.
Record: 409-323-17 (55.9%)
Bankroll: +221.94%
Time: 7:10 p.m. ET
Reasoning: Jeff Samardzija has a 1.06 WHIP in his last three starts. Jeremy Guthrie has allowed 30 hits over his last 17.1 IP and has a 7.27 ERA over that time. He allowed eight runs in 5.1 innings in his last go-around, and he has a 5.65 ERA and a 1.57 WHIP on the season. Chicago hits 20 points higher and scores a half-run more per game vs. RH. Kansas City has a batting average of .217 over its last 10. Royals relievers have a 5.40 ERA over their last five and a 5.33 ERA over their last 10.
Record: 409-323-17 (55.9%)
Bankroll: +221.94%
MLB: Saturday's 4:05 p.m. ET play
Play: San Francisco +1.5 -165 (Cain vs. Hendricks)
Time: 4:05 p.m. ET
Reasoning: The Giants would be 74-35 if they were given 1.5 rpg. Chicago would be 35-72 if it gave 1.5 rpg. Matt Cain is 6-2 with a 2.48 ERA in 15 lifetime starts against the Cubs. Kyle Hendricks has a 5.00 ERA and a 1.39 WHIP over his last three outings. San Francisco has the better bullpen. And the Giants score 0.71 more rpg vs. RH while Chicago scores nearly one run fewer per game against righties.
Record: 409-323-17 (55.9%)
Bankroll: +221.94%
Time: 4:05 p.m. ET
Reasoning: The Giants would be 74-35 if they were given 1.5 rpg. Chicago would be 35-72 if it gave 1.5 rpg. Matt Cain is 6-2 with a 2.48 ERA in 15 lifetime starts against the Cubs. Kyle Hendricks has a 5.00 ERA and a 1.39 WHIP over his last three outings. San Francisco has the better bullpen. And the Giants score 0.71 more rpg vs. RH while Chicago scores nearly one run fewer per game against righties.
Record: 409-323-17 (55.9%)
Bankroll: +221.94%
Friday, August 7, 2015
MLB: Friday's play
Play: Milwaukee +1.5 -125 (Lynn vs. Cravy)
Time: 8:10 p.m. ET
Reasoning: Kyle Lohse was supposed to start this game, but he's been bumped in the rotation in favor of Tyler Cravy. The 26-year-old Cravy made his major-league debut against St. Louis on June 2, and he allowed one run on four hits over seven innings. He has a 2.77 ERA and a 1.15 WHIP in two starts. Lance Lynn faced the Brewers in Milwaukee on April 26 and permitted six earned runs on 10 hits over five innings. In his last start he allowed four runs on seven hits (two homers) over five innings. The Brewers are hitting 39 points higher and are scoring a half-run more per game vs. RH. In their last five against righties, they are hitting .315 and are scoring 7.41 rpg. In its last three contests, Milwaukee outscored San Diego 22-7. The Cardinals are hitting .213 and are scoring 2.61 rpg over their last five. In their last 10 vs. RH, they are hitting .220 and are scoring 2.93 rpg.
Record: 409-322-17 (56.0%)
Bankroll: +231.90%
Time: 8:10 p.m. ET
Reasoning: Kyle Lohse was supposed to start this game, but he's been bumped in the rotation in favor of Tyler Cravy. The 26-year-old Cravy made his major-league debut against St. Louis on June 2, and he allowed one run on four hits over seven innings. He has a 2.77 ERA and a 1.15 WHIP in two starts. Lance Lynn faced the Brewers in Milwaukee on April 26 and permitted six earned runs on 10 hits over five innings. In his last start he allowed four runs on seven hits (two homers) over five innings. The Brewers are hitting 39 points higher and are scoring a half-run more per game vs. RH. In their last five against righties, they are hitting .315 and are scoring 7.41 rpg. In its last three contests, Milwaukee outscored San Diego 22-7. The Cardinals are hitting .213 and are scoring 2.61 rpg over their last five. In their last 10 vs. RH, they are hitting .220 and are scoring 2.93 rpg.
Record: 409-322-17 (56.0%)
Bankroll: +231.90%
Thursday, August 6, 2015
MLB: Thursday's play
Play: Arizona/Washington under 8 -120 (Hellickson vs. Ross)
Time: 4:05 p.m. ET
Reasoning: Jeremy Hellickson was rocked in his last appearance. But in his four previous starts (24 innings) he permitted just five runs. Joe Ross has a 3.00 ERA and a 0.92 WHIP in 2015. In his last three outings he has a 3.38 ERA and a 0.80 WHIP. Ross has allowed three runs or fewer in each of his six starts this season and has allowed five hits or fewer in his last three. Plus Arizona has never faced him. In the last five games vs. RH, the Diamondbacks are hitting .232 and are scoring 3.86 rpg. The Nationals are hitting .223 and are scoring 3.20 rpg in their last five against righties. In their last 10 against them they are hitting .209 and are scoring 2.62 rpg. Arizona's bullpen has a 3.13 ERA in its last 10, and contests at Nationals Park average 7.32 runs.
Record: 409-321-17 (56.0%)
Bankroll: +242.17%
Time: 4:05 p.m. ET
Reasoning: Jeremy Hellickson was rocked in his last appearance. But in his four previous starts (24 innings) he permitted just five runs. Joe Ross has a 3.00 ERA and a 0.92 WHIP in 2015. In his last three outings he has a 3.38 ERA and a 0.80 WHIP. Ross has allowed three runs or fewer in each of his six starts this season and has allowed five hits or fewer in his last three. Plus Arizona has never faced him. In the last five games vs. RH, the Diamondbacks are hitting .232 and are scoring 3.86 rpg. The Nationals are hitting .223 and are scoring 3.20 rpg in their last five against righties. In their last 10 against them they are hitting .209 and are scoring 2.62 rpg. Arizona's bullpen has a 3.13 ERA in its last 10, and contests at Nationals Park average 7.32 runs.
Record: 409-321-17 (56.0%)
Bankroll: +242.17%
Wednesday, August 5, 2015
MLB: Wednesday's play
Play: Boston +1.5 -130 (Wright vs. Severino)
Time: 7:05 p.m. ET
TV: ESPN
Reasoning: I think this is too good of a price to pass up against a guy (Luis Severino) who is making his major-league debut. The Red Sox would be 60-47 if they were given 1.5 rpg. New York would be 44-61 if it gave 1.5 rpg. Boston is scoring a quarter-run more per game vs. RH. The Yankees are scoring a quarter-run fewer per game vs. RH. Steven Wright struck out eight and held the White Sox to two runs on six hits over seven innings in his last start. The knuckeballer faced New York as a reliever on April 10 and allowed two runs over five innings. In a start against the Bombers last September, Wright didn't allow an earned run over five innings.
Record: 408-321-17 (56.0%)
Bankroll: +234.45%
Time: 7:05 p.m. ET
TV: ESPN
Reasoning: I think this is too good of a price to pass up against a guy (Luis Severino) who is making his major-league debut. The Red Sox would be 60-47 if they were given 1.5 rpg. New York would be 44-61 if it gave 1.5 rpg. Boston is scoring a quarter-run more per game vs. RH. The Yankees are scoring a quarter-run fewer per game vs. RH. Steven Wright struck out eight and held the White Sox to two runs on six hits over seven innings in his last start. The knuckeballer faced New York as a reliever on April 10 and allowed two runs over five innings. In a start against the Bombers last September, Wright didn't allow an earned run over five innings.
Record: 408-321-17 (56.0%)
Bankroll: +234.45%
Tuesday, August 4, 2015
MLB: Tuesday's 10 p.m. ET play
Play: Oakland +1.5 -160 (Gonzalez vs. Bassitt)
Time: 10:05 p.m. ET
Reasoning: The Althetics would be 72-35 if they were given 1.5 rpg. Baltimore would be 40-65 if it gave 1.5 rpg. The Orioles are 22-31 away from home. Chris Bassitt has a 3.10 ERA and a 1.11 WHIP in 2015. And he's been even better over his last three starts. In his last five outings, he has walked only three and allowed just 10 earned runs. Bassitt has a 2.63 ERA in five home appearances (three starts). Miguel Gonzalez has a 4.28 ERA and a 1.29 WHIP this season. And he's been even worse over his last three starts. He lasted just 3.1 innings in his last turn while giving up five runs on 10 hits. In his last six starts, Gonzalez has a 6.03 ERA. He also has a 5.68 ERA in his career vs. Oakland. Coco Crisp returned to action on Monday (out since May 19 with a neck injury) and he went 2-for-4. The A's score 0.34 more rpg vs. RH. Their bullpen has a 2.51 ERA in its last five.
Record: 407-319-17 (56.1%)
Bankroll: +248.85%
Time: 10:05 p.m. ET
Reasoning: The Althetics would be 72-35 if they were given 1.5 rpg. Baltimore would be 40-65 if it gave 1.5 rpg. The Orioles are 22-31 away from home. Chris Bassitt has a 3.10 ERA and a 1.11 WHIP in 2015. And he's been even better over his last three starts. In his last five outings, he has walked only three and allowed just 10 earned runs. Bassitt has a 2.63 ERA in five home appearances (three starts). Miguel Gonzalez has a 4.28 ERA and a 1.29 WHIP this season. And he's been even worse over his last three starts. He lasted just 3.1 innings in his last turn while giving up five runs on 10 hits. In his last six starts, Gonzalez has a 6.03 ERA. He also has a 5.68 ERA in his career vs. Oakland. Coco Crisp returned to action on Monday (out since May 19 with a neck injury) and he went 2-for-4. The A's score 0.34 more rpg vs. RH. Their bullpen has a 2.51 ERA in its last five.
Record: 407-319-17 (56.1%)
Bankroll: +248.85%
MLB: Tuesday's 7 p.m. ET plays
Play: Detroit +1.5 -165 (Duffy vs. Verlander)
Time: 7:08 p.m. ET
Reasoning: The Tigers would be 67-38 if they were given 1.5 rpg. The Royals would be 47-57 if they gave 1.5 rpg. Justin Verlander has the look of old over his last two starts. He allowed one run over eight innings in each contest. He has owned Kansas City in his career, going 19-7 with a 3.17 ERA in 35 starts against the Royals. Danny Duffy has a 4.28 ERA and a 1.43 WHIP this season. In his last start he allowed three homers and five runs over six innings. Kansas City is hitting .195 and is scoring 3.13 rpg in its last 10 vs. RH. In its last five against righties, it is hitting .196 and is scoring 3.03 rpg. The Tigers are hitting .423 and are scoring 10.12 rpg in their last five vs. LH. J.D. Martinez is 5-for-14 with two homers, two doubles and eight RBIs in his last four games. Salvador Perez is 2-for-27 over the last eight. Royals relievers have an 8.23 ERA over their last five.
Play: Atlanta +1.5 -160 (Peavy vs. Miller)
Time: 7:10 p.m. ET
Reasoning: The Braves would be 64-42 if they were given 1.5 rpg. San Francisco would be 42-63 if it gave 1.5 rpg. Shelby Miller is 5-8, but that's not indicative of how he's pitched. In his last 13 starts, Atlanta has totaled just 26 runs. He has a 2.44 ERA and he allowed the Giants only one run over seven innings on May 28. The Braves are riding high following their 9-8 win on Monday. In that they erased a 6-0 deficit before winning in extra innings. Nick Markakis has a 10-game hitting streak and Jace Peterson has posted back-to-back three-hit performances. Jake Peavy has a 4.12 ERA and a 1.22 WHIP. Atlanta scores 1.08 more rpg vs. RH.
Record: 407-319-17 (56.1%)
Bankroll: +248.85%
Time: 7:08 p.m. ET
Reasoning: The Tigers would be 67-38 if they were given 1.5 rpg. The Royals would be 47-57 if they gave 1.5 rpg. Justin Verlander has the look of old over his last two starts. He allowed one run over eight innings in each contest. He has owned Kansas City in his career, going 19-7 with a 3.17 ERA in 35 starts against the Royals. Danny Duffy has a 4.28 ERA and a 1.43 WHIP this season. In his last start he allowed three homers and five runs over six innings. Kansas City is hitting .195 and is scoring 3.13 rpg in its last 10 vs. RH. In its last five against righties, it is hitting .196 and is scoring 3.03 rpg. The Tigers are hitting .423 and are scoring 10.12 rpg in their last five vs. LH. J.D. Martinez is 5-for-14 with two homers, two doubles and eight RBIs in his last four games. Salvador Perez is 2-for-27 over the last eight. Royals relievers have an 8.23 ERA over their last five.
Play: Atlanta +1.5 -160 (Peavy vs. Miller)
Time: 7:10 p.m. ET
Reasoning: The Braves would be 64-42 if they were given 1.5 rpg. San Francisco would be 42-63 if it gave 1.5 rpg. Shelby Miller is 5-8, but that's not indicative of how he's pitched. In his last 13 starts, Atlanta has totaled just 26 runs. He has a 2.44 ERA and he allowed the Giants only one run over seven innings on May 28. The Braves are riding high following their 9-8 win on Monday. In that they erased a 6-0 deficit before winning in extra innings. Nick Markakis has a 10-game hitting streak and Jace Peterson has posted back-to-back three-hit performances. Jake Peavy has a 4.12 ERA and a 1.22 WHIP. Atlanta scores 1.08 more rpg vs. RH.
Record: 407-319-17 (56.1%)
Bankroll: +248.85%
Monday, August 3, 2015
MLB: Monday's play
Play: Minnesota +1.5 -110 (Santana vs. Price)
Time: 1:07 p.m. ET
TV: MLBN
Reasoning: The Twins would be 68-36 if they were given 1.5 rpg. Toronto would be 43-63 if it gave 1.5 rpg. Ervin Santana, who has a 0.76 ERA in three road starts this season, has a 2.53 ERA and a 1.03 WHIP in his last three starts overall. David Price has given up four homers and has a 3.43 ERA in his last three starts. He allowed five runs in six innings in his last turn. Minnesota scores about one run more per game vs. LH. In its last 10 contests against southpaws it is hitting .352 and is scoring 8.65 rpg. The Blue Jays are scoring 0.31 fewer rpg vs. RH.
Record: 407-318-17 (56.1%)
Bankroll: +259.64%
Time: 1:07 p.m. ET
TV: MLBN
Reasoning: The Twins would be 68-36 if they were given 1.5 rpg. Toronto would be 43-63 if it gave 1.5 rpg. Ervin Santana, who has a 0.76 ERA in three road starts this season, has a 2.53 ERA and a 1.03 WHIP in his last three starts overall. David Price has given up four homers and has a 3.43 ERA in his last three starts. He allowed five runs in six innings in his last turn. Minnesota scores about one run more per game vs. LH. In its last 10 contests against southpaws it is hitting .352 and is scoring 8.65 rpg. The Blue Jays are scoring 0.31 fewer rpg vs. RH.
Record: 407-318-17 (56.1%)
Bankroll: +259.64%
Friday, July 31, 2015
MLB: Friday's play
Play: Chi. Cubs -101 (Hammel vs. Jungmann)
Time: 8:10 p.m. ET
TV: WGN
Reasoning: Jason Hammel is winless in his last eight starts, but he still has a 3.20 ERA on the season. He also is 6-0 with a 2.25 ERA in eight lifetime starts against Milwaukee. In five turns at Miller Park, Hammel is 4-0 with a 1.60 ERA. The Cubs are 27-23 on the road and the Brewers are 20-30 at home. Chicago is averaging 4.80 rpg in its last five vs. RH. Anthony Rizzo, who had three hits on Thursday, has homered in back-to-back contests. Dexter Fowler is hitting .389 and has a .532 OBP in his last 10. Milwaukee's bullpen has a 5.47 ERA in its last 10 and a 6.75 ERA in its last five. The Brewers are hitting .199 and are averaging 1.80 rpg over their last five.
Record: 406-318-17 (56.1%)
Bankroll: +249.26%
Time: 8:10 p.m. ET
TV: WGN
Reasoning: Jason Hammel is winless in his last eight starts, but he still has a 3.20 ERA on the season. He also is 6-0 with a 2.25 ERA in eight lifetime starts against Milwaukee. In five turns at Miller Park, Hammel is 4-0 with a 1.60 ERA. The Cubs are 27-23 on the road and the Brewers are 20-30 at home. Chicago is averaging 4.80 rpg in its last five vs. RH. Anthony Rizzo, who had three hits on Thursday, has homered in back-to-back contests. Dexter Fowler is hitting .389 and has a .532 OBP in his last 10. Milwaukee's bullpen has a 5.47 ERA in its last 10 and a 6.75 ERA in its last five. The Brewers are hitting .199 and are averaging 1.80 rpg over their last five.
Record: 406-318-17 (56.1%)
Bankroll: +249.26%
Thursday, July 30, 2015
MLB: Thursday's play
Play: Boston +1.5 -110 (Sale vs. Wright)
Time: 7:10 p.m. ET
Reasoning: The Red Sox would be 56-46 if they were given 1.5 rpg. Chicago would be 29-70 if it gave 1.5 rpg. Chris Sale has been hittable in his last three starts, posting a 1.28 WHIP. Boston is hitting .281 and is scoring 5.70 rpg over its last 10 vs. LH. In its last five against southpaws, it is hitting .323 and is scoring 7.04 rpg. And the White Sox have never seen knuckleballer Steven Wright.
Record: 405-318-17 (56.0%)
Bankroll: +239.99%
Time: 7:10 p.m. ET
Reasoning: The Red Sox would be 56-46 if they were given 1.5 rpg. Chicago would be 29-70 if it gave 1.5 rpg. Chris Sale has been hittable in his last three starts, posting a 1.28 WHIP. Boston is hitting .281 and is scoring 5.70 rpg over its last 10 vs. LH. In its last five against southpaws, it is hitting .323 and is scoring 7.04 rpg. And the White Sox have never seen knuckleballer Steven Wright.
Record: 405-318-17 (56.0%)
Bankroll: +239.99%
Wednesday, July 29, 2015
MLB: Wednesday's 8:05 p.m. ET play
Play: Texas +1.5 -115 (Tanaka vs. Lewis)
Time: 8:05 p.m. ET
Reasoning: The Rangers would be 63-36 if they were given 1.5 rpg. New York would be 41-58 if it gave 1.5 rpg. The Bombers will face Colby Lewis, who has posted quality starts in nine of his last 10. He has a 2.86 ERA and a 0.77 WHIP in his last three. Texas will oppose Masahiro Tanaka, who has allowed 11 homers over his last six turns. The Rangers hit 22 points higher and score a half-run more per game vs. RH. Over their last 10 games against RH, they have averaged 6.20 rpg.
Record: 403-318-17 (55.9%)
Bankroll: +222.91%
Time: 8:05 p.m. ET
Reasoning: The Rangers would be 63-36 if they were given 1.5 rpg. New York would be 41-58 if it gave 1.5 rpg. The Bombers will face Colby Lewis, who has posted quality starts in nine of his last 10. He has a 2.86 ERA and a 0.77 WHIP in his last three. Texas will oppose Masahiro Tanaka, who has allowed 11 homers over his last six turns. The Rangers hit 22 points higher and score a half-run more per game vs. RH. Over their last 10 games against RH, they have averaged 6.20 rpg.
Record: 403-318-17 (55.9%)
Bankroll: +222.91%
MLB: Wednesday's 7:10 p.m. ET play
Play: Washington -112 (Fister vs. Koehler)
Time: 7:10 p.m. ET
Reasoning: Ryan Zimmerman and Jayson Werth are back after long stays on the DL. Unlike Miami, the Nationals hit better against RH. The Marlins are hitting 32 points lower and are scoring 1.12 fewer rpg vs. RH. Doug Fister is 2-0 with a 1.09 ERA in four career games (three starts) against Miami. And Washington's bullpen is nearly as good as that of the Marlins.
Record: 403-318-17 (55.9%)
Bankroll: +222.91%
Time: 7:10 p.m. ET
Reasoning: Ryan Zimmerman and Jayson Werth are back after long stays on the DL. Unlike Miami, the Nationals hit better against RH. The Marlins are hitting 32 points lower and are scoring 1.12 fewer rpg vs. RH. Doug Fister is 2-0 with a 1.09 ERA in four career games (three starts) against Miami. And Washington's bullpen is nearly as good as that of the Marlins.
Record: 403-318-17 (55.9%)
Bankroll: +222.91%
Tuesday, July 28, 2015
MLB: Tuesday's plays
Play: Philadelphia +1.5 +115
Time: 7:07 p.m. ET
Reasoning: There is fight in these Phillies as they have won eight of nine. They would be 54-46 if they were given 1.5 rpg. Toronto would be 40-60 if it gave 1.5 rpg. The Blue Jays are hitting .176 over their last five games against LH, and they've never seen Adam Morgan. Philadelphia is hitting .286 in its last five vs. LH, and opponents are hitting .329 against Felix Doubront. Phillies relievers have a 1.08 ERA in their last five.
Play: Cleveland -123 (Young vs. Bauer)
Time: 7:10 p.m. ET
Reasoning: Chris Young is just a place-holder in Kansas City's rotation. He hasn't gone more than six innings in any of his last seven starts. He allowed four runs and two homers in three innings in his last start. On June 4 Young allowed the Indians six runs over five innings. Trevor Bauer opposed Young in that game and gave up just two runs in 6.2 IP. Cleveland scores 0.34 more rpg vs. RH. Watch for rookie Francisco Lindor, who has hit safely in 10 of his last 11.
Record: 402-317-17 (55.9%)
Bankroll: +221.46%
Time: 7:07 p.m. ET
Reasoning: There is fight in these Phillies as they have won eight of nine. They would be 54-46 if they were given 1.5 rpg. Toronto would be 40-60 if it gave 1.5 rpg. The Blue Jays are hitting .176 over their last five games against LH, and they've never seen Adam Morgan. Philadelphia is hitting .286 in its last five vs. LH, and opponents are hitting .329 against Felix Doubront. Phillies relievers have a 1.08 ERA in their last five.
Play: Cleveland -123 (Young vs. Bauer)
Time: 7:10 p.m. ET
Reasoning: Chris Young is just a place-holder in Kansas City's rotation. He hasn't gone more than six innings in any of his last seven starts. He allowed four runs and two homers in three innings in his last start. On June 4 Young allowed the Indians six runs over five innings. Trevor Bauer opposed Young in that game and gave up just two runs in 6.2 IP. Cleveland scores 0.34 more rpg vs. RH. Watch for rookie Francisco Lindor, who has hit safely in 10 of his last 11.
Record: 402-317-17 (55.9%)
Bankroll: +221.46%
Monday, July 27, 2015
MLB: Monday's plays
Play: Cleveland -106 (Volquez vs. Anderson)
Time: 7:10 p.m. ET
Reasoning: Edinson Volquez walked six and gave up three runs in three innings in his last start against the Indians on May 7. He has an 11.48 ERA in four lifetime turns against the Tribe. Kansas City has never seen Cody Anderson, and he's allowed just one run in 14.1 innings at home. Anderson has a 1.91 ERA and a 0.91 WHIP. Cleveland scores 0.34 more rpg vs. RH. The Royals are hitting .239 and are averaging only 3.07 rpg in their last five vs. RH.
Play: Tampa Bay -113 (Sanchez vs. Karns)
Time: 7:10 p.m. ET
Reasoning: Anibal Sanchez has permitted at least four runs in four of his last five starts and has allowed eight homers in his last six. He has a 5.08 ERA in six career starts against the Rays. Nathan Karns pitched five scoreless innings his last time out and he has limited the opposition to two or fewer runs in 14 of 19 starts. Detroit has never seen him. Tampa Bay relievers have a 1.60 ERA and Tigers relievers have a 5.13 ERA in their last 10 contests.
Record: 401-316-17 (55.9%)
Bankroll: +222.57%
Time: 7:10 p.m. ET
Reasoning: Edinson Volquez walked six and gave up three runs in three innings in his last start against the Indians on May 7. He has an 11.48 ERA in four lifetime turns against the Tribe. Kansas City has never seen Cody Anderson, and he's allowed just one run in 14.1 innings at home. Anderson has a 1.91 ERA and a 0.91 WHIP. Cleveland scores 0.34 more rpg vs. RH. The Royals are hitting .239 and are averaging only 3.07 rpg in their last five vs. RH.
Play: Tampa Bay -113 (Sanchez vs. Karns)
Time: 7:10 p.m. ET
Reasoning: Anibal Sanchez has permitted at least four runs in four of his last five starts and has allowed eight homers in his last six. He has a 5.08 ERA in six career starts against the Rays. Nathan Karns pitched five scoreless innings his last time out and he has limited the opposition to two or fewer runs in 14 of 19 starts. Detroit has never seen him. Tampa Bay relievers have a 1.60 ERA and Tigers relievers have a 5.13 ERA in their last 10 contests.
Record: 401-316-17 (55.9%)
Bankroll: +222.57%
Friday, July 24, 2015
MLB: Friday's play
Play: Chi. White Sox +1.5 -150 (Quintana vs. Kluber)
Time: 7:10 p.m. ET
Reasoning: The White Sox would be 60-33 if they were given 1.5 rpg. Cleveland would be 34-58 if it gave 1.5 rpg. Chicago is hitting 21 points higher and is scoring a half-run more per game vs. RH. It has averaged 4.98 rpg over its last five vs. RH. The Indians score fewer rpg vs. LH and they have averaged only 1.42 rpg in their last five against southpaws. Jose Quintana lasted just 5.1 innings in his last start, but prior to that he lasted at least six innings in 12 straight. He didn't allow Cleveland an earned run over six innings on April 14 and allowed just two runs over seven innings against the Indians on May 19. White Sox relievers have a 2.89 ERA in their last five and a 1.89 ERA in their last 10. Cleveland is 19-27 at home and its relievers have a 4.08 ERA over the last five.
Record: 400-316-17 (55.9%)
Bankroll: +216.24
Time: 7:10 p.m. ET
Reasoning: The White Sox would be 60-33 if they were given 1.5 rpg. Cleveland would be 34-58 if it gave 1.5 rpg. Chicago is hitting 21 points higher and is scoring a half-run more per game vs. RH. It has averaged 4.98 rpg over its last five vs. RH. The Indians score fewer rpg vs. LH and they have averaged only 1.42 rpg in their last five against southpaws. Jose Quintana lasted just 5.1 innings in his last start, but prior to that he lasted at least six innings in 12 straight. He didn't allow Cleveland an earned run over six innings on April 14 and allowed just two runs over seven innings against the Indians on May 19. White Sox relievers have a 2.89 ERA in their last five and a 1.89 ERA in their last 10. Cleveland is 19-27 at home and its relievers have a 4.08 ERA over the last five.
Record: 400-316-17 (55.9%)
Bankroll: +216.24
Wednesday, July 22, 2015
MLB: Wednesday's play
Play: Toronto +1.5 -150 (Doubront vs. Gray)
Time: 10:05 p.m. ET
Reasoning: The Blue Jays would be 67-28 if they were given 1.5 rpg. Oakland would be 34-61 if it gave 1.5 rpg. The A's are 6-17 and are scoring a half-run fewer per game against LH. The Blue Jays lead the majors in scoring and their relievers have a 3.57 ERA. They have averaged 6.47 rpg in their last five vs. RH. Oakland is 20-28 at home and its bullpen has a 4.24 ERA. Sonny Gray, who allowed five runs in six innings in his last turn, is a first-half pitcher. Before the All-Star break he is 20-6 with a 2.40 ERA in 38 career starts. After the break, he is 9-11 with a 3.35 ERA in 26 career starts.
break.
Record: 399-316-17 (55.8%)
Bankroll: +210.04
.
Time: 10:05 p.m. ET
Reasoning: The Blue Jays would be 67-28 if they were given 1.5 rpg. Oakland would be 34-61 if it gave 1.5 rpg. The A's are 6-17 and are scoring a half-run fewer per game against LH. The Blue Jays lead the majors in scoring and their relievers have a 3.57 ERA. They have averaged 6.47 rpg in their last five vs. RH. Oakland is 20-28 at home and its bullpen has a 4.24 ERA. Sonny Gray, who allowed five runs in six innings in his last turn, is a first-half pitcher. Before the All-Star break he is 20-6 with a 2.40 ERA in 38 career starts. After the break, he is 9-11 with a 3.35 ERA in 26 career starts.
break.
Record: 399-316-17 (55.8%)
Bankroll: +210.04
.
Tuesday, July 21, 2015
MLB: Tuesday's 8:10 p.m. ET plays
Play: Houston -128 (Johnson vs. Velasquez)
Time: 8:10 p.m. ET
Reasoning: Boston has lost five straight and played a double-header at Los Angeles yesterday. Over the last five games, the Red Sox are hitting .187 vs. RH and the Astros are hitting .312 vs. LH. Boston will give the ball to Brian Johnson and he will make his major-league debut in place of Clay Buchholz, who is on the DL with a strained right flexor tendon. Vincent Velasquez will go for Houston and he gave up just two runs over 6.1 IP in his last start. He has worked 6.1 innings in each of his last three turns and has a 1.05 WHIP over that span. Astros relievers have a 2.73 ERA and Red Sox relievers have a 3.77 ERA. Houston is 30-17 at home and Boston is 20-28 on the road.
Play: Cleveland -115 (Salazar vs. Garza)
Time: 8:10 p.m. ET
Reasoning: Matt Garza (right shoulder tendinitis) is coming off of the DL and he has a 5.55 ERA and a 1.55 WHIP. He has a 7.79 ERA and a 1.85 WHIP over his last three outings. Over his last five starts, Garza has allowed 29 runs on 48 hits in 30 innings. He is 2-4 lifetime against the Indians and Michael Bourn has worn him out (10-for-19 lifetime). Danny Salazar has a 3.74 ERA and a 1.15 WHIP overall and a 2.57 ERA and a 0.86 WHIP over his last three. Milwaukee has never seen Salazar and he allowed just one run (unearned) over 8.2 innings in his last go-around. The Brewers are an NL-worst 19-28 at home.
Record: 398-314-17 (55.9%)
Bankroll: +221.80
Time: 8:10 p.m. ET
Reasoning: Boston has lost five straight and played a double-header at Los Angeles yesterday. Over the last five games, the Red Sox are hitting .187 vs. RH and the Astros are hitting .312 vs. LH. Boston will give the ball to Brian Johnson and he will make his major-league debut in place of Clay Buchholz, who is on the DL with a strained right flexor tendon. Vincent Velasquez will go for Houston and he gave up just two runs over 6.1 IP in his last start. He has worked 6.1 innings in each of his last three turns and has a 1.05 WHIP over that span. Astros relievers have a 2.73 ERA and Red Sox relievers have a 3.77 ERA. Houston is 30-17 at home and Boston is 20-28 on the road.
Play: Cleveland -115 (Salazar vs. Garza)
Time: 8:10 p.m. ET
Reasoning: Matt Garza (right shoulder tendinitis) is coming off of the DL and he has a 5.55 ERA and a 1.55 WHIP. He has a 7.79 ERA and a 1.85 WHIP over his last three outings. Over his last five starts, Garza has allowed 29 runs on 48 hits in 30 innings. He is 2-4 lifetime against the Indians and Michael Bourn has worn him out (10-for-19 lifetime). Danny Salazar has a 3.74 ERA and a 1.15 WHIP overall and a 2.57 ERA and a 0.86 WHIP over his last three. Milwaukee has never seen Salazar and he allowed just one run (unearned) over 8.2 innings in his last go-around. The Brewers are an NL-worst 19-28 at home.
Record: 398-314-17 (55.9%)
Bankroll: +221.80
MLB: Tuesday's 7:08 p.m. ET play
Play: Detroit +1.5 -140 (Walker vs. Greene)
Time: 7:08 p.m. ET
Reasoning: The Tigers would be 59-33 if they were given 1.5 rpg. The Mariners would be 24-69 if they gave 1.5 rpg. Seattle is scoring just 3.49 rpg and is hitting .228 vs. RH. Detroit is scoring 4.51 rpg and is hitting .276 vs. RH. Over their last five contests, Mariners relievers have a 5.84 ERA and Tigers relievers have a 2.65 ERA. On July 7 Taijuan Walker allowed Detroit five runs and three home runs. He has a 4.84 ERA overall and a 5.82 ERA over his last three starts. Shane Greene has had a horrible season, but he has the ability to dominate. He won his first three starts while posting a 0.39 ERA.
Record: 398-314-17 (55.9%)
Bankroll: +221.80
Time: 7:08 p.m. ET
Reasoning: The Tigers would be 59-33 if they were given 1.5 rpg. The Mariners would be 24-69 if they gave 1.5 rpg. Seattle is scoring just 3.49 rpg and is hitting .228 vs. RH. Detroit is scoring 4.51 rpg and is hitting .276 vs. RH. Over their last five contests, Mariners relievers have a 5.84 ERA and Tigers relievers have a 2.65 ERA. On July 7 Taijuan Walker allowed Detroit five runs and three home runs. He has a 4.84 ERA overall and a 5.82 ERA over his last three starts. Shane Greene has had a horrible season, but he has the ability to dominate. He won his first three starts while posting a 0.39 ERA.
Record: 398-314-17 (55.9%)
Bankroll: +221.80
Sunday, July 19, 2015
No plays for Monday
Subscribers have been credited another day.
Record: 398-314-17 (55.9%)
Bankroll: +221.80
Record: 398-314-17 (55.9%)
Bankroll: +221.80
MLB: Sunday's play
Play: Cleveland +100 (Carrasco vs. Cueto)
Time: 1:10 p.m. ET
Reasoning: The Indians have won four of the five meetings this season and have outscored Cincinnati 23-10 in their victories. The Reds have lost three of their last four and have been outscored 31-8 over that span. Carlos Carrasco allowed two runs over seven innings in his last start. It was the fifth time in his last six outings where he allowed three runs or fewer. He is 2-0 lifetime against Cincinnati. Against the Reds on May 22, Carrasco yielded two runs on four hits over six innings. Johnny Cueto allowed five runs over five frames in his last turn. Cleveland scores more vs. RH while the Reds score nearly one fewer run per game against RH. Cincinnati relievers have a 4.22 ERA overall, a 7.71 ERA over the last 10 games and an 8.59 ERA over the last five. Indians relievers have a 3.12 ERA.
Record: 397-314-17 (55.8%)
Bankroll: +212.43
Time: 1:10 p.m. ET
Reasoning: The Indians have won four of the five meetings this season and have outscored Cincinnati 23-10 in their victories. The Reds have lost three of their last four and have been outscored 31-8 over that span. Carlos Carrasco allowed two runs over seven innings in his last start. It was the fifth time in his last six outings where he allowed three runs or fewer. He is 2-0 lifetime against Cincinnati. Against the Reds on May 22, Carrasco yielded two runs on four hits over six innings. Johnny Cueto allowed five runs over five frames in his last turn. Cleveland scores more vs. RH while the Reds score nearly one fewer run per game against RH. Cincinnati relievers have a 4.22 ERA overall, a 7.71 ERA over the last 10 games and an 8.59 ERA over the last five. Indians relievers have a 3.12 ERA.
Record: 397-314-17 (55.8%)
Bankroll: +212.43
Saturday, July 18, 2015
No plays for Saturday
Subscribers have been credited another day.
Record: 397-314-17 (55.8%
Bankroll: +212.43
Record: 397-314-17 (55.8%
Bankroll: +212.43
Friday, July 17, 2015
MLB: Friday's play
Play: Chi. Cubs -124 (Hendricks vs. Teheran)
Time: 7:35 p.m. ET
Reasoning: Kyle Hendricks, who went 7-2 with a 2.46 ERA as a rookie last year, has pitched 20.1 scoreless innings over his last three starts. Atlanta, which has lost five straight, is hitting .190 and is scoring 2.17 rpg over its last five vs. RH. Julio Teheran, who has a 4.56 ERA and a 1.36 WHIP, has a 5.12 ERA over his last nine turns. Cubs relievers have a 3.13 ERA and Braves relievers have a 4.40 ERA. Atlanta's bullpen has a 7.02 ERA over its last five.
Record: 397-313-17 (55.9%)
Bankroll: +222.09
Time: 7:35 p.m. ET
Reasoning: Kyle Hendricks, who went 7-2 with a 2.46 ERA as a rookie last year, has pitched 20.1 scoreless innings over his last three starts. Atlanta, which has lost five straight, is hitting .190 and is scoring 2.17 rpg over its last five vs. RH. Julio Teheran, who has a 4.56 ERA and a 1.36 WHIP, has a 5.12 ERA over his last nine turns. Cubs relievers have a 3.13 ERA and Braves relievers have a 4.40 ERA. Atlanta's bullpen has a 7.02 ERA over its last five.
Record: 397-313-17 (55.9%)
Bankroll: +222.09
Tuesday, July 14, 2015
No plays for Wednesday or Thursday
Subscribers have been credited two days. I'll see if I can find a game or two on Friday after the All-Star break.
Record: 397-313-17 (55.9%)
Bankroll: +222.09
Record: 397-313-17 (55.9%)
Bankroll: +222.09
MLB: Tuesday's play
MLB: AL/NL over 7 -120
Time: 7 p.m. ET
Reasoning: Both squads are full of guys who have mashed it this year, and each starting lineup features four players with 20 or more homers. Most importantly this game will be played at Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati. Contests there have averaged 9.10 runs. There should be a slight breeze out to center field which should help balls travel.
Record: 396-313-17 (55.9%)
Bankroll: +214.23%
Time: 7 p.m. ET
Reasoning: Both squads are full of guys who have mashed it this year, and each starting lineup features four players with 20 or more homers. Most importantly this game will be played at Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati. Contests there have averaged 9.10 runs. There should be a slight breeze out to center field which should help balls travel.
Record: 396-313-17 (55.9%)
Bankroll: +214.23%
Sunday, July 12, 2015
No plays for Monday
I may have an All-Star Game play. Stay tuned.
Record: 396-313-17 (55.9%)
Bankroll: +214.23%
Record: 396-313-17 (55.9%)
Bankroll: +214.23%
MLB: Sunday's play
Play: Toronto +100 (Doubront vs. Volquez)
Time: 2:10 p.m. ET
Reasoning: Edinson Volquez is 8-4, but he's failed to last six innings in six of his last eight starts. He has surrendered 21 runs (19 earned) in 19.1 IP lifetime against the Blue Jays. Felix Doubront will make his second start of the season for Toronto. In his 2015 debut he allowed one run on six hits over 6.2 IP. The Royals are hitting .207 and are scoring 2.35 rpg over their last five vs. LH. Jose Reyes is 11-for-33 with four stolen bases and four runs scored during a seven-game hitting streak.
Record: 396-312-17 (55.9%)
Bankroll: +223.95%
Time: 2:10 p.m. ET
Reasoning: Edinson Volquez is 8-4, but he's failed to last six innings in six of his last eight starts. He has surrendered 21 runs (19 earned) in 19.1 IP lifetime against the Blue Jays. Felix Doubront will make his second start of the season for Toronto. In his 2015 debut he allowed one run on six hits over 6.2 IP. The Royals are hitting .207 and are scoring 2.35 rpg over their last five vs. LH. Jose Reyes is 11-for-33 with four stolen bases and four runs scored during a seven-game hitting streak.
Record: 396-312-17 (55.9%)
Bankroll: +223.95%
Saturday, July 11, 2015
MLB: Saturday's play
Play: Cincinnati/Miami over 7.5 +102 (Iglesias vs. Conley)
Time: 4:10 p.m. ET
Reasoning: Both starters are fill-ins for injured Anthony DeSclafani (glute) and Mat Latos (foot). Raisel Iglesias, who will go for the Reds, is himself coming off of the DL (oblique). Iglesias has a 5.11 ERA and a 1.46 WHIP. In his last start he allowed five runs on nine hits over 5.2 IP. Southpaw Adam Conley will take the hill for the Marlins and make his major-league debut. Cincinnati scores nearly one more run per game vs. LH. Reds relievers have a 5.64 ERA in their last 10. And games umpired by Lance Barksdale have averaged 8.69 runs.
Record: 395-312-17 (55.9%)
Bankroll: +214.33%
Time: 4:10 p.m. ET
Reasoning: Both starters are fill-ins for injured Anthony DeSclafani (glute) and Mat Latos (foot). Raisel Iglesias, who will go for the Reds, is himself coming off of the DL (oblique). Iglesias has a 5.11 ERA and a 1.46 WHIP. In his last start he allowed five runs on nine hits over 5.2 IP. Southpaw Adam Conley will take the hill for the Marlins and make his major-league debut. Cincinnati scores nearly one more run per game vs. LH. Reds relievers have a 5.64 ERA in their last 10. And games umpired by Lance Barksdale have averaged 8.69 runs.
Record: 395-312-17 (55.9%)
Bankroll: +214.33%
Friday, July 10, 2015
MLB: Friday's 8:10 p.m. ET play
Play: Detroit +1.5 -165 (Verlander vs. Santana)
Time: 8:10 p.m. ET
Reasoning: The Tigers would be 57-28 if they were given 1.5 rpg. Minnesota would be 33-53 if it gave 1.5 rpg. Detroit is 8-2 this season vs. the Twins. Minnesota is scoring nearly one run fewer per game vs. RH. Justin Verlander is 15-8 with a 3.19 ERA lifetime against the Twins. Ervin Santana will make just his second start of 2015 after coming back from an 80-game suspension for performance-enhancing drugs. Over the last five games, the Tigers bullpen has a 2.41 ERA and Minnesota's relievers have a 3.60 ERA. Yoenis Cespedes is batting .363 lifetime against the Twins, hitting safely in 22 of 25 games.
Record: 394-311-17 (55.9%)
Bankroll: +214.52%
Time: 8:10 p.m. ET
Reasoning: The Tigers would be 57-28 if they were given 1.5 rpg. Minnesota would be 33-53 if it gave 1.5 rpg. Detroit is 8-2 this season vs. the Twins. Minnesota is scoring nearly one run fewer per game vs. RH. Justin Verlander is 15-8 with a 3.19 ERA lifetime against the Twins. Ervin Santana will make just his second start of 2015 after coming back from an 80-game suspension for performance-enhancing drugs. Over the last five games, the Tigers bullpen has a 2.41 ERA and Minnesota's relievers have a 3.60 ERA. Yoenis Cespedes is batting .363 lifetime against the Twins, hitting safely in 22 of 25 games.
Record: 394-311-17 (55.9%)
Bankroll: +214.52%
MLB: Friday's 7:05 p.m. ET play
Play: St. Louis/Pittsburgh over 6 -102 (Lynn vs. Cole)
Time: 7:05 p.m. ET
Reasoning: Both clubs hit better and each is scoring nearly one more run per game vs. RH. Games for each of these teams average at least 6.86 runs both overall and in the home/away splits. Gerrit Cole has a 4.66 ERA and a 1.34 WHIP in his last three starts. Lance Lynn has a 4.43 ERA in 16 outings (14 starts) lifetime against the Pirates. The Cardinals bullpen has a 5.04 ERA over its last 10 contests. And games umpired by Brian O'Nora have averaged 8.67 runs
Record: 394-311-17 (55.9%)
Bankroll: +214.52%
Time: 7:05 p.m. ET
Reasoning: Both clubs hit better and each is scoring nearly one more run per game vs. RH. Games for each of these teams average at least 6.86 runs both overall and in the home/away splits. Gerrit Cole has a 4.66 ERA and a 1.34 WHIP in his last three starts. Lance Lynn has a 4.43 ERA in 16 outings (14 starts) lifetime against the Pirates. The Cardinals bullpen has a 5.04 ERA over its last 10 contests. And games umpired by Brian O'Nora have averaged 8.67 runs
Record: 394-311-17 (55.9%)
Bankroll: +214.52%
Thursday, July 9, 2015
MLB: Thursday's 2:10 p.m. ET play
Play: Tampa Bay +1.5 -175 (Karns vs. Ventura)
Time: 2:10 p.m. ET
Reasoning: The Rays would be 59-28 if they were given 1.5 rpg. Kansas City would be 39-43 if it gave 1.5 rpg. Nathan Karns has a 1.89 ERA in his last three starts. He has allowed two or fewer runs in each of his last five. Karns is 2-0 with a 2.31 ERA in six road starts, and the Royals have never seen him. Yordano Ventura will make his first start in a month because of a hand injury, and Kansas City is 0-4 in his last four starts. He enters with a 4.68 ERA. Tampa Bay has averaged 5.18 rpg over its last five vs. RH. John Jaso has returned from a wrist injury following three months on the shelf, and he is 6-of-8 since his return. Alex Gordon (groin) was carted off the field on Wednesday.
Record: 394-309-17 (56.0%)
Bankroll: +234.60%
Time: 2:10 p.m. ET
Reasoning: The Rays would be 59-28 if they were given 1.5 rpg. Kansas City would be 39-43 if it gave 1.5 rpg. Nathan Karns has a 1.89 ERA in his last three starts. He has allowed two or fewer runs in each of his last five. Karns is 2-0 with a 2.31 ERA in six road starts, and the Royals have never seen him. Yordano Ventura will make his first start in a month because of a hand injury, and Kansas City is 0-4 in his last four starts. He enters with a 4.68 ERA. Tampa Bay has averaged 5.18 rpg over its last five vs. RH. John Jaso has returned from a wrist injury following three months on the shelf, and he is 6-of-8 since his return. Alex Gordon (groin) was carted off the field on Wednesday.
Record: 394-309-17 (56.0%)
Bankroll: +234.60%
MLB: Thursday's 1:05 p.m. ET play
Play: Oakland +132 (Chavez vs. Tanaka)
Time: 1:05 p.m. ET
TV: MLBN
Reasoning: The Athletics fell 5-4 on Wednesday, but prior to that they won seven straight on the road. Here they will face Masahiro Tanaka and he's winless in his last four starts. Tanaka has allowed 18 runs over his last 23 innings. Oakland counters with Jesse Chavez, who has a 3.20 ERA. He is 4-0 lifetime against New York with a 1.63 ERA. The A's are hitting 25 points better and are scoring nearly one run more per game vs. RH. The Yankees are hitting .197 and are scoring just 3.27 rpg in their last 10 vs. RH.
Record: 394-309-17 (56.0%)
Bankroll: +234.60%
Time: 1:05 p.m. ET
TV: MLBN
Reasoning: The Athletics fell 5-4 on Wednesday, but prior to that they won seven straight on the road. Here they will face Masahiro Tanaka and he's winless in his last four starts. Tanaka has allowed 18 runs over his last 23 innings. Oakland counters with Jesse Chavez, who has a 3.20 ERA. He is 4-0 lifetime against New York with a 1.63 ERA. The A's are hitting 25 points better and are scoring nearly one run more per game vs. RH. The Yankees are hitting .197 and are scoring just 3.27 rpg in their last 10 vs. RH.
Record: 394-309-17 (56.0%)
Bankroll: +234.60%
Wednesday, July 8, 2015
MLB: Wednesday's 8:40 p.m. ET play
Play: Colorado +1.5 -140 (Shoemaker vs. Rusin)
Time: 8:40 p.m. ET
Reasoning: The Rockies would be 45-38 if they were given 1.5 rpg. The Angels would be 31-52 if they gave 1.5 rpg. Christopher Rusin has a 2.95 ERA in his last three outings and he is 2-0 with a 3.46 ERA at Coors Field. He allowed just one earned run over six innings in his last go-around, and Los Angeles has never faced him. Matt Shoemaker is winless in his last four tries and has just one win in his last eight. He has a 5.17 ERA and a 1.66 WHIP in his last three outings. The Angels are scoring a half-run fewer per game vs. LH. Colorado is scoring 1.34 more rpg vs. RH. Rockies relievers have been better than their L.A. counterparts over each teams' last five tilts. Additionally, Troy Tulowitzski has reached base in 34 straight and has a 19-game hitting streak.
Record: 392-309-16 (55.9%)
Bankroll: +221.28%
Time: 8:40 p.m. ET
Reasoning: The Rockies would be 45-38 if they were given 1.5 rpg. The Angels would be 31-52 if they gave 1.5 rpg. Christopher Rusin has a 2.95 ERA in his last three outings and he is 2-0 with a 3.46 ERA at Coors Field. He allowed just one earned run over six innings in his last go-around, and Los Angeles has never faced him. Matt Shoemaker is winless in his last four tries and has just one win in his last eight. He has a 5.17 ERA and a 1.66 WHIP in his last three outings. The Angels are scoring a half-run fewer per game vs. LH. Colorado is scoring 1.34 more rpg vs. RH. Rockies relievers have been better than their L.A. counterparts over each teams' last five tilts. Additionally, Troy Tulowitzski has reached base in 34 straight and has a 19-game hitting streak.
Record: 392-309-16 (55.9%)
Bankroll: +221.28%
MLB: Wednesday's 7:05 p.m. ET play
Play: Cincinnati +1.5 -145 (Lorenzen vs. Gonzalez)
Time: 7:05 p.m. ET
Reasoning: The Reds would be 53-29 if they were given 1.5 rpg. Washington would be 32-52 if it gave 1.5 rpg. The Nationals, who mustered just two hits on Tuesday, are hitting .205 and are scoring 3.10 rpg in their last 10 vs. RH. They are hitting .176 and are scoring 2.48 rpg in their last five vs. RH. Cincinnati is scoring 0.71 more rpg vs. LH. It will face Gio Gonzalez here, and he enters with a 4.16 ERA and a 1.43 WHIP. On May 30 he allowed the Reds four runs on seven hits with two walks in 5.1 innings. On May 31 Michael Lorenzen gave up only one hit to the Nats in 6.1 innings. Both Denard Span (back) and Yunel Escobar (hamstring) are questionable for this one after missing Tuesday's contest.
Record: 392-309-16 (55.9%)
Bankroll: +221.28%
Time: 7:05 p.m. ET
Reasoning: The Reds would be 53-29 if they were given 1.5 rpg. Washington would be 32-52 if it gave 1.5 rpg. The Nationals, who mustered just two hits on Tuesday, are hitting .205 and are scoring 3.10 rpg in their last 10 vs. RH. They are hitting .176 and are scoring 2.48 rpg in their last five vs. RH. Cincinnati is scoring 0.71 more rpg vs. LH. It will face Gio Gonzalez here, and he enters with a 4.16 ERA and a 1.43 WHIP. On May 30 he allowed the Reds four runs on seven hits with two walks in 5.1 innings. On May 31 Michael Lorenzen gave up only one hit to the Nats in 6.1 innings. Both Denard Span (back) and Yunel Escobar (hamstring) are questionable for this one after missing Tuesday's contest.
Record: 392-309-16 (55.9%)
Bankroll: +221.28%
MLB: Wednesday's 2:10 p.m. ET play
Play: Atlanta +1.5 -150 (Teheran vs. Fiers)
Time: 2:10 p.m. ET
Reasoning: The Braves would be 54-30 if they were given 1.5 rpg. Milwaukee would be 26-60 if it gave 1.5 rpg. Julio Teheran has a 2.70 ERA and a 1.15 WHIP in his last three starts. He allowed one earned run over seven innings in his last turn and three starts ago he allowed just one hit over seven frames. On May 21 he gave up one run on two hits to the Brewers over seven innings. He has a 1.59 ERA in four lifetime starts against Milwaukee. Mike Fiers gave up two runs on seven hits in five innings in a loss to Atlanta on May 23. He has a 3.83 ERA and a 1.41 WHIP this season. The Braves hit 35 points higher and score nearly two more rpg vs. RH. They are hitting .337 and are scoring 6.65 rpg in their last five vs. RH. And A.J. Pierzynski has 10 hits in his last 13 ABs.
Record: 392-309-16 (55.9%)
Bankroll: +221.28%
Time: 2:10 p.m. ET
Reasoning: The Braves would be 54-30 if they were given 1.5 rpg. Milwaukee would be 26-60 if it gave 1.5 rpg. Julio Teheran has a 2.70 ERA and a 1.15 WHIP in his last three starts. He allowed one earned run over seven innings in his last turn and three starts ago he allowed just one hit over seven frames. On May 21 he gave up one run on two hits to the Brewers over seven innings. He has a 1.59 ERA in four lifetime starts against Milwaukee. Mike Fiers gave up two runs on seven hits in five innings in a loss to Atlanta on May 23. He has a 3.83 ERA and a 1.41 WHIP this season. The Braves hit 35 points higher and score nearly two more rpg vs. RH. They are hitting .337 and are scoring 6.65 rpg in their last five vs. RH. And A.J. Pierzynski has 10 hits in his last 13 ABs.
Record: 392-309-16 (55.9%)
Bankroll: +221.28%
Tuesday, July 7, 2015
MLB: Tuesday's play
Play: Detroit/Seattle under 7.5 -105 (Ryan vs. Walker)
Time: 10:10 p.m. ET
Reasoning: Taijuan Walker started out slowly, but he is on fire now and has won five straight. Over that stretch he has allowed just six runs. Walker has a 1.86 ERA and a 0.67 WHIP in his last three outings. He hasn't walked a batter in four straight and has a 2.79 ERA in six home starts. The Tigers score 0.36 fewer rpg vs. RH and they've never seen Walker. Games at Safeco Field average 6.90 runs. The Mariners have never faced Kyle Ryan and they are hitting .137 and are scoring 0.81 rpg in their last 10 vs. LH. They are hitting .119 and are scoring 0.69 rpg in their last five vs. LH. And the under is 54-20-3 in Kerwin Danley's last 77 games behind home plate.
Record: 392-308-16 (56.0%)
Bankroll: +231.22%
Time: 10:10 p.m. ET
Reasoning: Taijuan Walker started out slowly, but he is on fire now and has won five straight. Over that stretch he has allowed just six runs. Walker has a 1.86 ERA and a 0.67 WHIP in his last three outings. He hasn't walked a batter in four straight and has a 2.79 ERA in six home starts. The Tigers score 0.36 fewer rpg vs. RH and they've never seen Walker. Games at Safeco Field average 6.90 runs. The Mariners have never faced Kyle Ryan and they are hitting .137 and are scoring 0.81 rpg in their last 10 vs. LH. They are hitting .119 and are scoring 0.69 rpg in their last five vs. LH. And the under is 54-20-3 in Kerwin Danley's last 77 games behind home plate.
Record: 392-308-16 (56.0%)
Bankroll: +231.22%
Monday, July 6, 2015
MLB: Monday's 8:10 p.m. ET plays
Play: Baltimore/Minnesota over 8 +110 (Chen vs. Hughes)
Time: 8:10 p.m. ET
Reasoning: Phil Hughes has a 4.67 ERA in 22 career appearances (19 starts) against the Orioles. Twins relievers have a 3.88 ERA overall and a 4.31 ERA in their last 10 games. Minnesota scores 1.14 more rpg vs. LH. Games for both teams average 8.40 and 8.24 runs, respectively. And Twins home games average 8.45 runs.
Play: Tampa Bay +121 (Colome vs. Volquez)
Time: 8:10 p.m. ET
Reasoning: The Royals are 2-5 in their last seven games. Mike Moustakas (personal), who is second on the team in batting (.301 BA), is questionable for this one. Edinson Volquez will start for Kansas City, and he has a 5.19 ERA and a 1.33 WHIP over his last three starts. He gave up five runs in five innings to Houston in his last turn. Alex Colome will go for the Rays, and he has a 3.60 ERA and a 1.05 WHIP over his last three starts. He has limited opponents to two runs or fewer in four of his last outings. Colome has a 3.62 ERA on the road and the Royals have never seen him. Kansas City is hitting .220 and is scoring just 3.24 rpg in its last five vs. RH.
Play: Atlanta +120 (Wisler vs. Lohse)
Time: 8:10 p.m. ET
Reasoning: Milwaukee is 15-26 at home. The Braves are scoring 1.86 more rpg vs. RH. Here they will face Kyle Lohse, who has a 6.24 ERA and a 1.38 WHIP. Matt Wisler will toe the slab for the fourth time in his career. He has a 2.60 ERA and he allowed just one hit over 5.1 scoreless innings in his last start.
Record: 391-307-15 (56.0%)
Bankroll: +229.24%
Time: 8:10 p.m. ET
Reasoning: Phil Hughes has a 4.67 ERA in 22 career appearances (19 starts) against the Orioles. Twins relievers have a 3.88 ERA overall and a 4.31 ERA in their last 10 games. Minnesota scores 1.14 more rpg vs. LH. Games for both teams average 8.40 and 8.24 runs, respectively. And Twins home games average 8.45 runs.
Play: Tampa Bay +121 (Colome vs. Volquez)
Time: 8:10 p.m. ET
Reasoning: The Royals are 2-5 in their last seven games. Mike Moustakas (personal), who is second on the team in batting (.301 BA), is questionable for this one. Edinson Volquez will start for Kansas City, and he has a 5.19 ERA and a 1.33 WHIP over his last three starts. He gave up five runs in five innings to Houston in his last turn. Alex Colome will go for the Rays, and he has a 3.60 ERA and a 1.05 WHIP over his last three starts. He has limited opponents to two runs or fewer in four of his last outings. Colome has a 3.62 ERA on the road and the Royals have never seen him. Kansas City is hitting .220 and is scoring just 3.24 rpg in its last five vs. RH.
Play: Atlanta +120 (Wisler vs. Lohse)
Time: 8:10 p.m. ET
Reasoning: Milwaukee is 15-26 at home. The Braves are scoring 1.86 more rpg vs. RH. Here they will face Kyle Lohse, who has a 6.24 ERA and a 1.38 WHIP. Matt Wisler will toe the slab for the fourth time in his career. He has a 2.60 ERA and he allowed just one hit over 5.1 scoreless innings in his last start.
Record: 391-307-15 (56.0%)
Bankroll: +229.24%
Sunday, July 5, 2015
MLB: Sunday's 1:35 p.m. ET play
Play: Cleveland/Pittsburgh over 6.5 -105 (Salazar vs. Cole)
Time: 1:35 p.m. ET
Reasoning: Danny Salazar has a 4.86 ERA in his last three starts. Gerrit Cole has a 4.42 ERA and a 1.42 WHIP in his last three starts. The Pirates score about a run more per game vs. RH and the Indians score nearly a half-run more per game vs. RH. Pittsburgh's bullpen has a 5.28 ERA in its last five contests. And games umpired by Angel Hernandez average 8.13 runs.
Record: 389-306-15 (56.0%)
Bankroll: +217.96%
Time: 1:35 p.m. ET
Reasoning: Danny Salazar has a 4.86 ERA in his last three starts. Gerrit Cole has a 4.42 ERA and a 1.42 WHIP in his last three starts. The Pirates score about a run more per game vs. RH and the Indians score nearly a half-run more per game vs. RH. Pittsburgh's bullpen has a 5.28 ERA in its last five contests. And games umpired by Angel Hernandez average 8.13 runs.
Record: 389-306-15 (56.0%)
Bankroll: +217.96%
MLB: Sunday's 1 p.m. ET plays
Play: Tampa Bay +123 (Ramirez vs. Nova)
Time: 1:05 p.m. ET
TV: MLBN
Reasoning: Erasmo Ramirez lost his last start, but it was his first defeat since May 24. And in it he allowed just one run on two hits over 5.2 IP. On May 14 he allowed New York just one hit over five scoreless innings. Chase Headley is 0-for-10 lifetime against Ramirez, who has a 0.61 ERA and a 0.89 WHIP over his last three turns. Ivan Nova will make his third start of the season. In his last go-around with the Rays (04/19/14), he gave up eight runs on eight hits over four innings. The Yankees are hitting .215 in their last 10 games vs. RH.
Play: Toronto/Detroit under 9 -108 (Estrada vs. Verlander)
Time: 1:08 p.m. ET
TV: MLBN
Reasoning: It was announced that Miguel Cabrera (calf) could miss six weeks. The Blue Jays hit 52 points lower and are scoring 0.68 fewer rpg vs. RH. The Tigers score 0.25 fewer rpg vs. RH. Toronto's bullpen has a 2.41 ERA over its last 10. Marco Estrada, who nearly pitched a perfect game two starts ago, has a 1.50 ERA and a 0.78 WHIP over his last three outings. Justin Verlander allowed two earned runs over six innings in his last start. The unders are 5-2 in umpire Jordan Baker's last seven games behind home plate. His games also average 7.36 runs.
Record: 389-306-15 (56.0%)
Bankroll: +217.96%
Time: 1:05 p.m. ET
TV: MLBN
Reasoning: Erasmo Ramirez lost his last start, but it was his first defeat since May 24. And in it he allowed just one run on two hits over 5.2 IP. On May 14 he allowed New York just one hit over five scoreless innings. Chase Headley is 0-for-10 lifetime against Ramirez, who has a 0.61 ERA and a 0.89 WHIP over his last three turns. Ivan Nova will make his third start of the season. In his last go-around with the Rays (04/19/14), he gave up eight runs on eight hits over four innings. The Yankees are hitting .215 in their last 10 games vs. RH.
Play: Toronto/Detroit under 9 -108 (Estrada vs. Verlander)
Time: 1:08 p.m. ET
TV: MLBN
Reasoning: It was announced that Miguel Cabrera (calf) could miss six weeks. The Blue Jays hit 52 points lower and are scoring 0.68 fewer rpg vs. RH. The Tigers score 0.25 fewer rpg vs. RH. Toronto's bullpen has a 2.41 ERA over its last 10. Marco Estrada, who nearly pitched a perfect game two starts ago, has a 1.50 ERA and a 0.78 WHIP over his last three outings. Justin Verlander allowed two earned runs over six innings in his last start. The unders are 5-2 in umpire Jordan Baker's last seven games behind home plate. His games also average 7.36 runs.
Record: 389-306-15 (56.0%)
Bankroll: +217.96%
Saturday, July 4, 2015
MLB: Saturday's play
Play: Toronto/Detroit under 8 +100 (Dickey vs. Price)
Time: 1:08 p.m. ET
Reasoning: Miguel Cabrera, who is hitting .350 and is leading the Tigers in RBIs (54), is out for this one and is expected to be placed on the DL after suffering a strained calf on Friday. The Blue Jays, who were no-hit for seven innings on Friday, will now have to face David Price, who is 15-2 lifetime against them. Price has a 2.62 ERA and a 1.12 WHIP. R.A. Dickey, who is 6-2 lifetime against Detroit, has a 3.10 ERA in his last three turns. He has permitted three earned runs or fewer in each of his last six games. Toronto's bullpen has a 2.25 ERA over its last 10. And the under is 3-0-1 in umpire Andy Fletcher's last four behind the plate.
Record: 389-305-15 (56.1%)
Bankroll: +227.79%
Time: 1:08 p.m. ET
Reasoning: Miguel Cabrera, who is hitting .350 and is leading the Tigers in RBIs (54), is out for this one and is expected to be placed on the DL after suffering a strained calf on Friday. The Blue Jays, who were no-hit for seven innings on Friday, will now have to face David Price, who is 15-2 lifetime against them. Price has a 2.62 ERA and a 1.12 WHIP. R.A. Dickey, who is 6-2 lifetime against Detroit, has a 3.10 ERA in his last three turns. He has permitted three earned runs or fewer in each of his last six games. Toronto's bullpen has a 2.25 ERA over its last 10. And the under is 3-0-1 in umpire Andy Fletcher's last four behind the plate.
Record: 389-305-15 (56.1%)
Bankroll: +227.79%
Friday, July 3, 2015
MLB: Friday's play
Play: Toronto/Detroit under 8.5 -105 (Hutchison vs. Sanchez)
Time: 7:08 p.m.
TV: MLBN
Reasoning: Drew Hutchison is 5-0 in his last seven starts. He has a 1.65 ERA over his last three turns and in his last one he allowed one unearned run to Texas over 5.2 innings. He pitched seven shutout innings in his only career matchup vs. Detroit. Anibal Sanchez has a 2.74 ERA and a 0.83 WHIP in his last three starts. The Blue Jays hit 51 points lower and score about one run fewer per game vs. RH. The Tigers score a third of a run fewer per game vs. RH. Toronto's bullpen has a 2.45 ERA over its last 10 games.
Record: 389-304-15 (56.1%)
Bankroll: +237.93%
Time: 7:08 p.m.
TV: MLBN
Reasoning: Drew Hutchison is 5-0 in his last seven starts. He has a 1.65 ERA over his last three turns and in his last one he allowed one unearned run to Texas over 5.2 innings. He pitched seven shutout innings in his only career matchup vs. Detroit. Anibal Sanchez has a 2.74 ERA and a 0.83 WHIP in his last three starts. The Blue Jays hit 51 points lower and score about one run fewer per game vs. RH. The Tigers score a third of a run fewer per game vs. RH. Toronto's bullpen has a 2.45 ERA over its last 10 games.
Record: 389-304-15 (56.1%)
Bankroll: +237.93%
Thursday, July 2, 2015
MLB: Thursday's 6:35 p.m. ET play
Play: Milwaukee/Philadelphia under 8 +100 (Garza vs. Billingsley)
Time: 6:35 p.m. ET
Reasoning: I like Matt Garza to get off the schneid and do his part Thursday when he takes on the Phillies. He has a 1.86 ERA in seven lifetime starts against them. Chad Billingsley will go for Philadelphia and he allowed Arizona two runs over six innings in his last turn. Games at Citizens Bank Park have averaged 8.07 runs. Brewers road games have averaged 7.64 runs. Milwaukee relievers have a 1.91 ERA in their last 10 contests and Phillies relievers have a 2.60 ERA in their last five.
Record: 388-302-15 (56.2%)
Bankroll: +246.24%
Time: 6:35 p.m. ET
Reasoning: I like Matt Garza to get off the schneid and do his part Thursday when he takes on the Phillies. He has a 1.86 ERA in seven lifetime starts against them. Chad Billingsley will go for Philadelphia and he allowed Arizona two runs over six innings in his last turn. Games at Citizens Bank Park have averaged 8.07 runs. Brewers road games have averaged 7.64 runs. Milwaukee relievers have a 1.91 ERA in their last 10 contests and Phillies relievers have a 2.60 ERA in their last five.
Record: 388-302-15 (56.2%)
Bankroll: +246.24%
MLB: Thursday's 1:10 p.m. ET play
Play: Chi. Cubs/N.Y. Mets over 6.5 +120 (Arrieta vs. deGrom)
Time: 1:10 p.m. ET
Reasoning: Games at Citi Field have averaged 7.36 runs. Chicago road games average 8.71 runs. Jacob deGrom has pitched twice against the Cubs, most recently on May 11. He allowed them four runs on five hits over five innings in each outing. And the over is 37-18-8 in umpire Laz Diaz's last 63 games behind home plate.
Record: 388-302-15 (56.2%)
Bankroll: +246.24%
Time: 1:10 p.m. ET
Reasoning: Games at Citi Field have averaged 7.36 runs. Chicago road games average 8.71 runs. Jacob deGrom has pitched twice against the Cubs, most recently on May 11. He allowed them four runs on five hits over five innings in each outing. And the over is 37-18-8 in umpire Laz Diaz's last 63 games behind home plate.
Record: 388-302-15 (56.2%)
Bankroll: +246.24%
MLB: Thursday's 12:10 p.m. ET play
Play: San Francisco +142 (Cain vs. Fernandez)
Time: 12:10 p.m. ET
TV: MLBN
Reasoning: I see a lot of value in the Giants at this price and didn't see it when taking them with the run and the hook (-170). Here you have two pitchers making their 2015 debuts after coming off surgeries. San Francisco is scoring 0.61 more rpg vs. RH. Miami is scoring 0.54 fewer rpg vs. RH. The Giants are hitting .284 and are scoring 6.24 rpg in their last 10 against RH. The Marlins are hitting .217 and are averaging 3.02 rpg in their last 10 against RH. Matt Cain is 6-4 with a 3.20 ERA in 14 career starts opposing the Marlins. The top three hitters in Maimi's lineup (Dee Gordon, Christian Yelich and Adeiny Hechavarria) are a combined 2-for-22 lifetime against Cain. That and Giancarlo Stanton (wrist) is now on the 15-day DL. Buster Posey, who left Wednesday's game after a foul ball off his mask, appears OK. He is 12-for-26 over his last seven contests. And Matt Duffy has multiple hits in four of his last six games.
Record: 388-302-15 (56.2%)
Bankroll: +246.24%
Time: 12:10 p.m. ET
TV: MLBN
Reasoning: I see a lot of value in the Giants at this price and didn't see it when taking them with the run and the hook (-170). Here you have two pitchers making their 2015 debuts after coming off surgeries. San Francisco is scoring 0.61 more rpg vs. RH. Miami is scoring 0.54 fewer rpg vs. RH. The Giants are hitting .284 and are scoring 6.24 rpg in their last 10 against RH. The Marlins are hitting .217 and are averaging 3.02 rpg in their last 10 against RH. Matt Cain is 6-4 with a 3.20 ERA in 14 career starts opposing the Marlins. The top three hitters in Maimi's lineup (Dee Gordon, Christian Yelich and Adeiny Hechavarria) are a combined 2-for-22 lifetime against Cain. That and Giancarlo Stanton (wrist) is now on the 15-day DL. Buster Posey, who left Wednesday's game after a foul ball off his mask, appears OK. He is 12-for-26 over his last seven contests. And Matt Duffy has multiple hits in four of his last six games.
Record: 388-302-15 (56.2%)
Bankroll: +246.24%
Wednesday, July 1, 2015
MLB: Wednesday's play
Play: Minnesota +1.5 -140 (May vs. Cueto)
Time: 12:35 p.m. ET
Reasoning: The Twins would be 50-27 if they were given 1.5 rpg. Cincinnati would be 25-51 if it gave 1.5 rpg. The Reds, who have lost four of their last five, are tied with San Diego for the second-worst interleague record (4-9) in baseball. Cincinnati is 125-163 all-time in interleague play. This season the AL is 90-73 vs. the NL. On Tuesday Minnesota prevailed 8-5 when it pounded out 15 hits. The Twins will send out Trevor May in this one, and he has allowed three or fewer runs in six of his last eight starts. Plus, the Reds have never seen him. Cincinnati is scoring 0.70 fewer rpg vs. RH. Minnesota is hitting 34 points higher in its last 10 vs. RH, and it has averaged 6.23 rpg in its last five vs. RH.
Record: 387-302-15 (56.2%)
Bankroll: +238.98%
Time: 12:35 p.m. ET
Reasoning: The Twins would be 50-27 if they were given 1.5 rpg. Cincinnati would be 25-51 if it gave 1.5 rpg. The Reds, who have lost four of their last five, are tied with San Diego for the second-worst interleague record (4-9) in baseball. Cincinnati is 125-163 all-time in interleague play. This season the AL is 90-73 vs. the NL. On Tuesday Minnesota prevailed 8-5 when it pounded out 15 hits. The Twins will send out Trevor May in this one, and he has allowed three or fewer runs in six of his last eight starts. Plus, the Reds have never seen him. Cincinnati is scoring 0.70 fewer rpg vs. RH. Minnesota is hitting 34 points higher in its last 10 vs. RH, and it has averaged 6.23 rpg in its last five vs. RH.
Record: 387-302-15 (56.2%)
Bankroll: +238.98%
Tuesday, June 30, 2015
Tuesday's play was canceled...
...because Sonny Gray didn't start for Oakland. Subscribers have been credited another day.
MLB: Tuesday's play
Play: Colorado +1.5 -135 (De La Rosa vs. Gray)
Time: 10:05 p.m. ET
TV: MLBN
Reasoning: The Rockies would be 43-32 if they were given 1.5 rpg. Oakland would be 29-50 if it gave 1.5 rpg. The Athletics are 15-23 at home. Colorado is hitting 25 points higher and is scoring 1.34 more rpg vs. RH. It is hitting .298 and is scoring 6.87 rpg in its last 10 vs. RH. The A's are hitting .239 and are scoring nearly one fewer rpg vs. LH. On the road Rockies relievers have a 4.06 ERA. Oakland's bullpen has a 4.47 ERA. Jorge De La Rosa, who is 2-1 with a 1.86 ERA in three road starts, allowed one run on four hits over five innings in his last turn. Sonny Gray has allowed nine runs over his last 12 innings. Nolan Arenado, last week's NL Player of the Week, leads the majors in RBIs (68) and has the longest hitting streak in baseball (16 games). He is batting .371 with nine homers and 21 RBIs during that period. Troy Tulowitzki has reached base in 28 straight and has a 13-game hitting streak.
Record: 387-302-14 (56.2%)
Bankroll: +238.98%
Time: 10:05 p.m. ET
TV: MLBN
Reasoning: The Rockies would be 43-32 if they were given 1.5 rpg. Oakland would be 29-50 if it gave 1.5 rpg. The Athletics are 15-23 at home. Colorado is hitting 25 points higher and is scoring 1.34 more rpg vs. RH. It is hitting .298 and is scoring 6.87 rpg in its last 10 vs. RH. The A's are hitting .239 and are scoring nearly one fewer rpg vs. LH. On the road Rockies relievers have a 4.06 ERA. Oakland's bullpen has a 4.47 ERA. Jorge De La Rosa, who is 2-1 with a 1.86 ERA in three road starts, allowed one run on four hits over five innings in his last turn. Sonny Gray has allowed nine runs over his last 12 innings. Nolan Arenado, last week's NL Player of the Week, leads the majors in RBIs (68) and has the longest hitting streak in baseball (16 games). He is batting .371 with nine homers and 21 RBIs during that period. Troy Tulowitzki has reached base in 28 straight and has a 13-game hitting streak.
Record: 387-302-14 (56.2%)
Bankroll: +238.98%
Monday, June 29, 2015
No plays for Monday
Subscribers have been credited another day.
Record: 387-302-14 (56.2%)
Bankroll: +238.98%
Record: 387-302-14 (56.2%)
Bankroll: +238.98%
Sunday, June 28, 2015
MLB: Sunday's 1:35 p.m. ET play
Play: Atlanta +130 (Wood vs. Locke)
Time: 1:35 p.m. ET
Reasoning: Andrew McCutchen may miss this one after being hit by a pitch on his left elbow Saturday. Alex Wood is 4-2 with a 2.73 ERA in nine road starts. Jeff Locke has a 4.73 ERA and a 1.51 WHIP. Over his last three starts Locke has a 2.25 ERA, but he also has a 1.44 WHIP. On June 6 he allowed the Braves four runs on seven hits in 6.1 innings. On Tuesday vs. Cincinnati he allowed four runs in four innings. The Pirates score 0.73 fewer rpg vs. LH. The Braves bullpen has a 2.35 ERA in its last five.
Record: 385-302-14 (56.0%)
Bankroll: +218.58%
Time: 1:35 p.m. ET
Reasoning: Andrew McCutchen may miss this one after being hit by a pitch on his left elbow Saturday. Alex Wood is 4-2 with a 2.73 ERA in nine road starts. Jeff Locke has a 4.73 ERA and a 1.51 WHIP. Over his last three starts Locke has a 2.25 ERA, but he also has a 1.44 WHIP. On June 6 he allowed the Braves four runs on seven hits in 6.1 innings. On Tuesday vs. Cincinnati he allowed four runs in four innings. The Pirates score 0.73 fewer rpg vs. LH. The Braves bullpen has a 2.35 ERA in its last five.
Record: 385-302-14 (56.0%)
Bankroll: +218.58%
MLB: Sunday's 1:10 p.m. ET play
Play: Boston/Tampa Bay over 6.5 -120 (Masterson vs. Archer)
Time: 1:10 p.m. ET
Reasoning: Justin Masterson will make his first start since May 12. He missed five weeks with shoulder tendinitis. On May 12 at Oakland he gave up six runs on six hits over 2.1 innings. On May 6 against the Rays, he walked six and allowed four runs in 4.1 IP. He has a 6.37 ERA and a 1.67 WHIP. Chris Archer is 1-5 in eight starts lifetime against the Red Sox. Games umpired by Tripp Gibson have averaged 7.57 runs. His games last season averaged 7.81 runs. Boston hits 36 points higher and scores 0.81 more rpg vs. RH. Tampa Bay's bullpen has a 4.08 ERA over its last five.
Record: 385-302-14 (56.0%)
Bankroll: +218.58%
Time: 1:10 p.m. ET
Reasoning: Justin Masterson will make his first start since May 12. He missed five weeks with shoulder tendinitis. On May 12 at Oakland he gave up six runs on six hits over 2.1 innings. On May 6 against the Rays, he walked six and allowed four runs in 4.1 IP. He has a 6.37 ERA and a 1.67 WHIP. Chris Archer is 1-5 in eight starts lifetime against the Red Sox. Games umpired by Tripp Gibson have averaged 7.57 runs. His games last season averaged 7.81 runs. Boston hits 36 points higher and scores 0.81 more rpg vs. RH. Tampa Bay's bullpen has a 4.08 ERA over its last five.
Record: 385-302-14 (56.0%)
Bankroll: +218.58%
Saturday, June 27, 2015
No plays for Saturday
Subscribers have been credited another day.
Record: 385-302-14 (56.0%)
Bankroll: +218.58%
Record: 385-302-14 (56.0%)
Bankroll: +218.58%
Friday, June 26, 2015
MLB: Friday's play
Play: Cleveland -120 (Kluber vs. Chen)
Time: 7:05 p.m. ET
Reasoning: Corey Kluber is 3-9, but the Indians haven't given him much support. They have pushed across two runs or fewer in 11 of his 15 starts. They've scored just six runs in his last four starts. Kluber has a 3.65 ERA and a 1.15 WHIP. He has a 3.26 ERA in three starts lifetime against Baltimore. Wei-Yin Chen has started three games against Cleveland in his career and he has a 5.40 ERA. The Indians are 18-15 on the road. Their bullpen has a 0.60 ERA over its last five.
Record: 385-301-14 (56.1%)
Bankroll: +228.43%
Time: 7:05 p.m. ET
Reasoning: Corey Kluber is 3-9, but the Indians haven't given him much support. They have pushed across two runs or fewer in 11 of his 15 starts. They've scored just six runs in his last four starts. Kluber has a 3.65 ERA and a 1.15 WHIP. He has a 3.26 ERA in three starts lifetime against Baltimore. Wei-Yin Chen has started three games against Cleveland in his career and he has a 5.40 ERA. The Indians are 18-15 on the road. Their bullpen has a 0.60 ERA over its last five.
Record: 385-301-14 (56.1%)
Bankroll: +228.43%
Thursday, June 25, 2015
MLB: Thursday's play
Play: Arizona/Colorado under 10 +108 (R. De La Rosa vs. J. De La Rosa)
Time: 3:10 p.m. ET
Reasoning: Rubby De La Rosa has allowed one earned run in his last 15 innings pitched. He is 2-0 with a 2.57 ERA in four appearances lifetime against Colorado. Jorge De La Rosa has a career record of 47-16 with a 4.23 ERA in 88 games (83 starts) at Coors Field. He has a 2.98 ERA in 24 games (20 starts) vs. the Diamondbacks. Arizona is hitting .197 and is scoring 1.77 rpg in its last 10 vs. LH. Carlos Gonzalez (hand) remains day-to-day after missing his second straight game on Wednesday. The under is 20-8-1 in Chris Guccione's last 29 games behind the plate.
Record: 385-301-13 (56.1%)
Bankroll: +228.43%
Time: 3:10 p.m. ET
Reasoning: Rubby De La Rosa has allowed one earned run in his last 15 innings pitched. He is 2-0 with a 2.57 ERA in four appearances lifetime against Colorado. Jorge De La Rosa has a career record of 47-16 with a 4.23 ERA in 88 games (83 starts) at Coors Field. He has a 2.98 ERA in 24 games (20 starts) vs. the Diamondbacks. Arizona is hitting .197 and is scoring 1.77 rpg in its last 10 vs. LH. Carlos Gonzalez (hand) remains day-to-day after missing his second straight game on Wednesday. The under is 20-8-1 in Chris Guccione's last 29 games behind the plate.
Record: 385-301-13 (56.1%)
Bankroll: +228.43%
Tuesday, June 23, 2015
No plays for Wednesday
Subscribers have been credited another day.
Record: 385-301-13 (56.1%)
Bankroll: +228.43%
Record: 385-301-13 (56.1%)
Bankroll: +228.43%
MLB: Tuesday's 10:10 p.m. ET play
Play: Seattle +105 (Guthrie vs. Montgomery)
Time: 10:10 p.m. ET
Reasoning: Kansas City is 0-6 in its last six games vs. LH. In their last 10 against southpaws, the Royals are hitting .223 and are scoring 1.45 rpg. In their last five vs. LH, they are scoring 0.98 rpg. Mike Montgomery has pitched at least six innings in each of his four starts since being recalled from the minors. Opponents are hitting .224 against him and he has a 3.10 ERA in three starts at home. Jeremy Guthrie has a 7.71 ERA in six road starts. He is 2-7 with a 5.40 ERA in 13 career starts against the Mariners.
Record: 383-300-13 (56.1%)
Bankroll: +217.48%
Time: 10:10 p.m. ET
Reasoning: Kansas City is 0-6 in its last six games vs. LH. In their last 10 against southpaws, the Royals are hitting .223 and are scoring 1.45 rpg. In their last five vs. LH, they are scoring 0.98 rpg. Mike Montgomery has pitched at least six innings in each of his four starts since being recalled from the minors. Opponents are hitting .224 against him and he has a 3.10 ERA in three starts at home. Jeremy Guthrie has a 7.71 ERA in six road starts. He is 2-7 with a 5.40 ERA in 13 career starts against the Mariners.
Record: 383-300-13 (56.1%)
Bankroll: +217.48%
MLB: Tuesday's 7 p.m. ET plays
Play: Cincinnati/Pittsburgh over 8 +110 (Smith vs. Locke)
Time: 7:05 p.m. ET
Reasoning: Josh Smith will make his major-league debut. He will face Jeff Locke, who has a 4.74 ERA and a 1.45 WHIP. The Reds are averaging nearly one run more per game vs. LH. The Pirates are averaging a half-run more per game vs. RH. Todd Frazier, who is 24-for-64 in his last 15 games, is 8-for-18 lifetime against Locke with two homers. He has four homers this season against the Bucs and 16 lifetime against them. Josh Harrison is 22-for-55 in his last 13 games, and Jay Bruce is 10-for-20 with two homers over his last five. Cincinnati's bullpen has a 4.48 ERA on the road.
Play: Boston -114 (Jimenez vs. Kelly)
Time: 7:10 p.m. ET
Reasoning: The Red Sox pounded out 16 hits (13 of them for extra bases) in a 13-2 win Sunday at Kansas City. Here they will face Ubaldo Jimenez, who is 1-3 with an 8.42 ERA in eight career starts against them. Joe Kelly is 1-1 in three career turns against Baltimore and has held the Orioles to a .186 BA. Boston is scoring nearly one run more per game vs. RH. Baltimore is scoring about a half-run fewer per game vs. RH. Mookie Betts is 20-for-36 with three homers and nine extra-base hits over his last nine. Adam Jones (shoulder) is questionable and Pablo Sandoval (leg) is probable.
Record: 383-300-13 (56.1%)
Bankroll: +217.48%
Time: 7:05 p.m. ET
Reasoning: Josh Smith will make his major-league debut. He will face Jeff Locke, who has a 4.74 ERA and a 1.45 WHIP. The Reds are averaging nearly one run more per game vs. LH. The Pirates are averaging a half-run more per game vs. RH. Todd Frazier, who is 24-for-64 in his last 15 games, is 8-for-18 lifetime against Locke with two homers. He has four homers this season against the Bucs and 16 lifetime against them. Josh Harrison is 22-for-55 in his last 13 games, and Jay Bruce is 10-for-20 with two homers over his last five. Cincinnati's bullpen has a 4.48 ERA on the road.
Play: Boston -114 (Jimenez vs. Kelly)
Time: 7:10 p.m. ET
Reasoning: The Red Sox pounded out 16 hits (13 of them for extra bases) in a 13-2 win Sunday at Kansas City. Here they will face Ubaldo Jimenez, who is 1-3 with an 8.42 ERA in eight career starts against them. Joe Kelly is 1-1 in three career turns against Baltimore and has held the Orioles to a .186 BA. Boston is scoring nearly one run more per game vs. RH. Baltimore is scoring about a half-run fewer per game vs. RH. Mookie Betts is 20-for-36 with three homers and nine extra-base hits over his last nine. Adam Jones (shoulder) is questionable and Pablo Sandoval (leg) is probable.
Record: 383-300-13 (56.1%)
Bankroll: +217.48%
Monday, June 22, 2015
MLB: Monday's play
Play: Chi. White Sox +1.5 -160 (Danks vs. Milone)
Time: 8:10 p.m. ET
TV: ESPN2
Reasoning: Chicago would be 42-26 if it was given 1.5 rpg. Minnesota would be 24-45 if it gave 1.5 rpg. The Twins were boat-raced 8-0 Sunday against the Cubs. They have lost 11 of 16. Over their last five games against LH they are hitting .174 and are scoring 1.32 rpg. Over their last 10 against southpaws they are hitting .156 and are scoring 1.19 rpg. Minnesota's bullpen also has a 5.33 ERA in its last 10. White Sox relievers have a 2.25 ERA over their last five and a 3.09 ERA over their last 10. John Danks pitched pretty well in his last turn, allowing just three runs on five hits over seven innings.
Record: 383-299-13 (56.2%)
Bankroll: +227.30%
Time: 8:10 p.m. ET
TV: ESPN2
Reasoning: Chicago would be 42-26 if it was given 1.5 rpg. Minnesota would be 24-45 if it gave 1.5 rpg. The Twins were boat-raced 8-0 Sunday against the Cubs. They have lost 11 of 16. Over their last five games against LH they are hitting .174 and are scoring 1.32 rpg. Over their last 10 against southpaws they are hitting .156 and are scoring 1.19 rpg. Minnesota's bullpen also has a 5.33 ERA in its last 10. White Sox relievers have a 2.25 ERA over their last five and a 3.09 ERA over their last 10. John Danks pitched pretty well in his last turn, allowing just three runs on five hits over seven innings.
Record: 383-299-13 (56.2%)
Bankroll: +227.30%
Sunday, June 21, 2015
MLB: Sunday's play
Play: San Diego -105 (Cashner vs. Hellickson)
Time: 4:10 p.m. ET
Reasoning: The Padres exploded for eight runs on 10 hits Saturday. Today they'll face a pitcher (Jeremy Hellickson) against whom they've had considerable success. Hellickson is 0-3 with a 8.00 ERA in his career against San Diego. He has a 5.91 ERA in six home starts this season. The Padres will send out Andrew Cashner, who has a 3.03 ERA in 14 career appearances (10 starts) against Arizona. Cashner is 0-2 against the Diamondbacks in 2014, but he has allowed just two runs in 13 innings in those turns. Arizona has scored only one run in three of its last five games. Over its last five contests against RH, the Diamondbacks are scoring 1.93 rpg and are hitting .210.
Record: 383-298-13 (56.2%)
Bankroll: +237.42%
Time: 4:10 p.m. ET
Reasoning: The Padres exploded for eight runs on 10 hits Saturday. Today they'll face a pitcher (Jeremy Hellickson) against whom they've had considerable success. Hellickson is 0-3 with a 8.00 ERA in his career against San Diego. He has a 5.91 ERA in six home starts this season. The Padres will send out Andrew Cashner, who has a 3.03 ERA in 14 career appearances (10 starts) against Arizona. Cashner is 0-2 against the Diamondbacks in 2014, but he has allowed just two runs in 13 innings in those turns. Arizona has scored only one run in three of its last five games. Over its last five contests against RH, the Diamondbacks are scoring 1.93 rpg and are hitting .210.
Record: 383-298-13 (56.2%)
Bankroll: +237.42%
Saturday, June 20, 2015
MLB: Saturday's play
Play: San Diego -115 (Ross vs. Ray)
Time: 10:10 p.m. ET
Reasoning: Tyson Ross has a 4.09 ERA and a 1.59 WHIP, but he's still allowed two earned runs or fewer in six of his last nine starts. He has a 3.00 ERA in 10 career appearances (nine starts) against Arizona. On May 9 he allowed the Diamondbacks just two runs and five hits over six innings.
Robbie Ray has been dominant since being recalled from the minors. But he's no world-beater. Opponents hit .350 against him in nine appearances last season when he was with Detroit. The Padres hit better against southpaws and they score about a half-run more per game against them. San Diego has scored 4.66 rpg in its last five against LH. Arizona has averaged just 3.27 rpg in its last 10.
Record: 382-298-13 (56.2%)
Bankroll: +228.84%
Time: 10:10 p.m. ET
Reasoning: Tyson Ross has a 4.09 ERA and a 1.59 WHIP, but he's still allowed two earned runs or fewer in six of his last nine starts. He has a 3.00 ERA in 10 career appearances (nine starts) against Arizona. On May 9 he allowed the Diamondbacks just two runs and five hits over six innings.
Robbie Ray has been dominant since being recalled from the minors. But he's no world-beater. Opponents hit .350 against him in nine appearances last season when he was with Detroit. The Padres hit better against southpaws and they score about a half-run more per game against them. San Diego has scored 4.66 rpg in its last five against LH. Arizona has averaged just 3.27 rpg in its last 10.
Record: 382-298-13 (56.2%)
Bankroll: +228.84%
Friday, June 19, 2015
MLB: Friday's play
Play: Detroit +107 (Verlander vs. Warren)
Time: 7:05 p.m. ET
TV: MLBN
Reasoning: Justin Verlander will make his second start of the season after recovering from a triceps injury. He allowed two runs on three hits over five innings in his debut. He was scheduled to start yesterday but the game was rained out. Adam Warren allowed the Tigers four runs on five hits and four walks over 5.2 innings on April 22. He lasted only 4.2 innings in his last start because of an elevated pitch count (92). In that one he gave up three runs on six hits with three walks vs. Baltimore. Victor Martinez may play tonight after recovering from a knee injury. Miguel Cabrera has a six-game hitting streak (11-for-22, 3 HR, 12 RBIs). New York scored nine runs on Thursday, but it scored just 21 runs over the previous seven contests. Detroit is averaging 5.00 rpg this season and 5.10 rpg in its last five vs. RH.
Record: 382-297-13 (56.3%)
Bankroll: +239.01%
Time: 7:05 p.m. ET
TV: MLBN
Reasoning: Justin Verlander will make his second start of the season after recovering from a triceps injury. He allowed two runs on three hits over five innings in his debut. He was scheduled to start yesterday but the game was rained out. Adam Warren allowed the Tigers four runs on five hits and four walks over 5.2 innings on April 22. He lasted only 4.2 innings in his last start because of an elevated pitch count (92). In that one he gave up three runs on six hits with three walks vs. Baltimore. Victor Martinez may play tonight after recovering from a knee injury. Miguel Cabrera has a six-game hitting streak (11-for-22, 3 HR, 12 RBIs). New York scored nine runs on Thursday, but it scored just 21 runs over the previous seven contests. Detroit is averaging 5.00 rpg this season and 5.10 rpg in its last five vs. RH.
Record: 382-297-13 (56.3%)
Bankroll: +239.01%
Thursday, June 18, 2015
MLB: Thursday's 7 p.m. ET plays
Play: Washington +102 (Archer vs. Fister)
Time: 7:05 p.m. ET
Reasoning: The Nationals were shut out on Wednesday, but they scored 16 runs on 23 hits on Tuesday. Bryce Harper is 13-for-28 in his last eight, and Denard Span (11-for-30 in his last seven) could return to the lineup after missing Wednesday's contest because of back tightness. Chris Archer lost his lone lifetime appearance against Washington, giving up three runs over six innings. Tampa Bay scores 0.60 fewer rpg vs. RH. Doug Fister has a 3.72 ERA at home and has allowed one run or fewer in three of his seven starts. He gave up just two hits over six scoreless innings in his final rehab start at Double-A Harrisburg on Friday. Fister has a 2.88 ERA in six appearances (five starts) lifetime against the Rays.
Play: N.Y. Mets +1.5 -135 (Colon vs. Dickey)
Time: 7:07 p.m. ET
Reasoning: The Mets would be 45-22 if they were given 1.5 rpg. Toronto would be 29-38 if it gave 1.5 rpg. Bartolo Colon is attempting to become the National League's second 10-game winner. He won his third in four starts on Friday when he allowed two runs over six innings against Atlanta. Edwin Encarnacion is 4-for-16 and Jose Bautista is 2-for-11 lifetime vs. Colon. R.A. Dickey is winless in his last four after allowing four runs in six innings Saturday against Boston. Dickey has a 5.29 ERA and a 1.33 WHIP. The Blue Jays are hitting 52 points lower and are scoring 1.15 fewer rpg vs. RH. New York's bullpen has a 3.07 ERA and Toronto's relievers have a 3.38 ERA.
Record: 382-295-13 (56.4%)
Bankroll: +260.65%
Time: 7:05 p.m. ET
Reasoning: The Nationals were shut out on Wednesday, but they scored 16 runs on 23 hits on Tuesday. Bryce Harper is 13-for-28 in his last eight, and Denard Span (11-for-30 in his last seven) could return to the lineup after missing Wednesday's contest because of back tightness. Chris Archer lost his lone lifetime appearance against Washington, giving up three runs over six innings. Tampa Bay scores 0.60 fewer rpg vs. RH. Doug Fister has a 3.72 ERA at home and has allowed one run or fewer in three of his seven starts. He gave up just two hits over six scoreless innings in his final rehab start at Double-A Harrisburg on Friday. Fister has a 2.88 ERA in six appearances (five starts) lifetime against the Rays.
Play: N.Y. Mets +1.5 -135 (Colon vs. Dickey)
Time: 7:07 p.m. ET
Reasoning: The Mets would be 45-22 if they were given 1.5 rpg. Toronto would be 29-38 if it gave 1.5 rpg. Bartolo Colon is attempting to become the National League's second 10-game winner. He won his third in four starts on Friday when he allowed two runs over six innings against Atlanta. Edwin Encarnacion is 4-for-16 and Jose Bautista is 2-for-11 lifetime vs. Colon. R.A. Dickey is winless in his last four after allowing four runs in six innings Saturday against Boston. Dickey has a 5.29 ERA and a 1.33 WHIP. The Blue Jays are hitting 52 points lower and are scoring 1.15 fewer rpg vs. RH. New York's bullpen has a 3.07 ERA and Toronto's relievers have a 3.38 ERA.
Record: 382-295-13 (56.4%)
Bankroll: +260.65%
Wednesday, June 17, 2015
MLB: Wednesday's play
Play: St. Louis/Minnesota over 7.5 +105 (Martinez vs. Milone)
Time: 8:10 p.m. ET
Reasoning: The Twins average 5.03 runs per game at home and those games average a total of 8.72 runs. Tommy Milone has a 7.71 ERA at home and the over is 8-0 in his last eight contests featuring totals of 7.5-8 runs. At night Milone has a 5.94 ERA, and he allowed four earned runs in six innings in his other appearance against the Cardinals. Carlos Martinez has been brilliant during the day (1.93 ERA), but he's struggled at night (4.14 ERA). Minnesota's bullpen has a 3.89 ERA overall and a 4.72 ERA in its last five. Games umpired by Joe West this season have averaged 8.80 runs and the over has cashed in 10 of 15. Since the beginning of 2003, West's tilts have averaged between 8.28 and 10.32 runs.
Record: 382-294-13 (56.5%)
Bankroll: +271.80%
Time: 8:10 p.m. ET
Reasoning: The Twins average 5.03 runs per game at home and those games average a total of 8.72 runs. Tommy Milone has a 7.71 ERA at home and the over is 8-0 in his last eight contests featuring totals of 7.5-8 runs. At night Milone has a 5.94 ERA, and he allowed four earned runs in six innings in his other appearance against the Cardinals. Carlos Martinez has been brilliant during the day (1.93 ERA), but he's struggled at night (4.14 ERA). Minnesota's bullpen has a 3.89 ERA overall and a 4.72 ERA in its last five. Games umpired by Joe West this season have averaged 8.80 runs and the over has cashed in 10 of 15. Since the beginning of 2003, West's tilts have averaged between 8.28 and 10.32 runs.
Record: 382-294-13 (56.5%)
Bankroll: +271.80%
Tuesday, June 16, 2015
NBA: Tuesday's play
Play: Golden State/Cleveland over 194 -107
Time: 9 p.m. ET
TV: ABC
Reasoning: The teams combined for 195 points in Game 5 despite the Cavaliers shooting less than 40 percent from the field and the Warriors hitting just 58.8% from the line. Golden State games average 207.6 points overall and 206.9 points on the road. Cleveland contests average 200.3 points overall and 199.5 points at home. Both teams are well above average from behind the arc. I expect David Blatt to change up his gameplan a little bit in this one and get Timofey Mozgov more minutes. The 7-footer played less than 10 minutes on Sunday and attempted just one shot after scored 28 points in Game 4. I also don't think J.R. Smith will go scoreless in the final 33 minutes like he did on Sunday. LeBron James (36.6 ppg in the series) and Stephen Curry (26.2 ppg) are doing their part. And Tristan Thompson has recorded double-doubles in three straight.
Record: 380-294-13 (56.4%)
Bankroll: +255.38%
Time: 9 p.m. ET
TV: ABC
Reasoning: The teams combined for 195 points in Game 5 despite the Cavaliers shooting less than 40 percent from the field and the Warriors hitting just 58.8% from the line. Golden State games average 207.6 points overall and 206.9 points on the road. Cleveland contests average 200.3 points overall and 199.5 points at home. Both teams are well above average from behind the arc. I expect David Blatt to change up his gameplan a little bit in this one and get Timofey Mozgov more minutes. The 7-footer played less than 10 minutes on Sunday and attempted just one shot after scored 28 points in Game 4. I also don't think J.R. Smith will go scoreless in the final 33 minutes like he did on Sunday. LeBron James (36.6 ppg in the series) and Stephen Curry (26.2 ppg) are doing their part. And Tristan Thompson has recorded double-doubles in three straight.
Record: 380-294-13 (56.4%)
Bankroll: +255.38%
MLB: Tuesday's play
Play: Cincinnati +1.5 -165 (Lorenzen vs. Ryan)
Time: 7:08 p.m. ET
Reasoning: The Reds would be 40-23 if they were given 1.5 rpg. Detroit would be 23-41 if it gave 1.5 rpg. The Tigers are 6-10 since May 27. They are scoring 0.67 fewer rpg vs. RH. Cincinnati is hitting 15 points higher and is scoring one run more per game vs. LH. It is scoring two more rpg vs. southpaws at home and it's averaging 4.55 rpg over its last 10. Reds relievers have a 3.00 ERA in their last five. And Detroit has never seen Michael Lorenzen.
Record: 380-294-13 (56.4%)
Bankroll: +255.38%
Time: 7:08 p.m. ET
Reasoning: The Reds would be 40-23 if they were given 1.5 rpg. Detroit would be 23-41 if it gave 1.5 rpg. The Tigers are 6-10 since May 27. They are scoring 0.67 fewer rpg vs. RH. Cincinnati is hitting 15 points higher and is scoring one run more per game vs. LH. It is scoring two more rpg vs. southpaws at home and it's averaging 4.55 rpg over its last 10. Reds relievers have a 3.00 ERA in their last five. And Detroit has never seen Michael Lorenzen.
Record: 380-294-13 (56.4%)
Bankroll: +255.38%
Monday, June 15, 2015
MLB: Monday's 8:15 p.m. ET play
Play: Minnesota/St. Louis over 7 +105 (May vs. Lackey)
Time: 8:15 p.m. ET
Reasoning: Trevor May will face a Cardinals team that is hitting 44 points higher and is scoring a half-run more per game vs. RH. Opponents are batting .339 against May when they have RISP. John Lackey has allowed 22 hits in his last 11 innings. He allowed 10 runs in four innings in his last turn.
Record: 379-293-13 (56.4%)
Bankroll: +255.06%
Time: 8:15 p.m. ET
Reasoning: Trevor May will face a Cardinals team that is hitting 44 points higher and is scoring a half-run more per game vs. RH. Opponents are batting .339 against May when they have RISP. John Lackey has allowed 22 hits in his last 11 innings. He allowed 10 runs in four innings in his last turn.
Record: 379-293-13 (56.4%)
Bankroll: +255.06%
MLB: Monday's 7:05 p.m. ET play
Play: Chi. White Sox/Pittsburgh over 7 +103 (Rodon vs. Liriano)
Time: 7:05 p.m. ET
Reasoning: Carlos Rodon has a 1.55 WHIP. Chicago relievers have a 3.94 ERA overall and 4.75 ERA on the road. Starling Marte went 9-for-16 over the weekend with three three-hit games. He needs one more homer to match his career-high for a season. Josh Harrison is 7-for-16 over his last four games. Francisco Liriano has a 4.99 ERA in 15 lifetime appearances (11 starts) against the White Sox.
Record: 379-293-13 (56.4%)
Bankroll: +255.06%
Time: 7:05 p.m. ET
Reasoning: Carlos Rodon has a 1.55 WHIP. Chicago relievers have a 3.94 ERA overall and 4.75 ERA on the road. Starling Marte went 9-for-16 over the weekend with three three-hit games. He needs one more homer to match his career-high for a season. Josh Harrison is 7-for-16 over his last four games. Francisco Liriano has a 4.99 ERA in 15 lifetime appearances (11 starts) against the White Sox.
Record: 379-293-13 (56.4%)
Bankroll: +255.06%
Friday, June 12, 2015
No plays for Saturday or Sunday
Subscribers have been credited two additional days.
Record: 379-293-13 (56.4%)
Bankroll: +255.06%
Record: 379-293-13 (56.4%)
Bankroll: +255.06%
MLB: Friday's play
Play: Boston -107 (Hutchison vs. Kelly)
Time: 7:10 p.m. ET
Reasoning: Drew Hutchison is 5-1 but he's really benefited from run support (6.7 rpg). He has a 4.91 ERA and Boston scored six runs on nine hits (and drew five walks) in four innings against him on April 28. Toronto's bullpen has a 3.70 ERA overall and a 4.60 ERA on the road. Red Sox relievers have a 1.12 ERA in their last five and a 2.88 mark at home. Joe Kelly has allowed two runs or fewer in four of his last five starts. The Blue Jays are hitting 53 points lower and are scoring about one fewer rpg vs. RH.
Record: 379-292-13 (56.5%)
Bankroll: +266.04%
Time: 7:10 p.m. ET
Reasoning: Drew Hutchison is 5-1 but he's really benefited from run support (6.7 rpg). He has a 4.91 ERA and Boston scored six runs on nine hits (and drew five walks) in four innings against him on April 28. Toronto's bullpen has a 3.70 ERA overall and a 4.60 ERA on the road. Red Sox relievers have a 1.12 ERA in their last five and a 2.88 mark at home. Joe Kelly has allowed two runs or fewer in four of his last five starts. The Blue Jays are hitting 53 points lower and are scoring about one fewer rpg vs. RH.
Record: 379-292-13 (56.5%)
Bankroll: +266.04%
Thursday, June 11, 2015
NBA: Thursday's plays
Play: Golden State -2.5 -107 and Golden State/Cleveland over 193 -102
Time: 9 p.m. ET
TV: ABC
Reasoning: Warriors games average 207.9 points overall and 207.4 points on the road. Cavaliers contests average 201.5 points overall and 199.9 points at home. Only two of the 100 Golden State totals this season have been this low and just nine of Cleveland's 99 totals have been this low. Both teams are above average shooting in all three categories. But the Warriors also are better than the Cavs in all three shooting categories. Additionally, Golden State has the deeper bench and has sizable advantages in steals and blocks. The Warriors have outscored opponents by 9.5 ppg overall and 5.8 ppg on the road. LeBron James has been spectacular, but can he really keep averaging 41 points, 12 rebounds and 8.3 assists in this series? After Tuesday's triumph Matthew Dellavedova (severe dehydration) was taken via ambulance to a hospital where he spent the night getting IV treatments. Cleveland already is without point guard Kyrie Irving (knee), and Iman Shumpert needed an MRI Wednesday for his shoulder. Golden State got a nice contribution in Game 3 from David Lee (11 points in 13 minutes). I like Stephen Curry (17 points on Tuesday) and Klay Thompson (14 points on Tuesday) to bounce back. The same goes for Harrison Barnes, who went scoreless after going 0-for-8 from the field in Game 3.
Record: 378-291-13 (56.5%)
Bankroll: +266.76%
Time: 9 p.m. ET
TV: ABC
Reasoning: Warriors games average 207.9 points overall and 207.4 points on the road. Cavaliers contests average 201.5 points overall and 199.9 points at home. Only two of the 100 Golden State totals this season have been this low and just nine of Cleveland's 99 totals have been this low. Both teams are above average shooting in all three categories. But the Warriors also are better than the Cavs in all three shooting categories. Additionally, Golden State has the deeper bench and has sizable advantages in steals and blocks. The Warriors have outscored opponents by 9.5 ppg overall and 5.8 ppg on the road. LeBron James has been spectacular, but can he really keep averaging 41 points, 12 rebounds and 8.3 assists in this series? After Tuesday's triumph Matthew Dellavedova (severe dehydration) was taken via ambulance to a hospital where he spent the night getting IV treatments. Cleveland already is without point guard Kyrie Irving (knee), and Iman Shumpert needed an MRI Wednesday for his shoulder. Golden State got a nice contribution in Game 3 from David Lee (11 points in 13 minutes). I like Stephen Curry (17 points on Tuesday) and Klay Thompson (14 points on Tuesday) to bounce back. The same goes for Harrison Barnes, who went scoreless after going 0-for-8 from the field in Game 3.
Record: 378-291-13 (56.5%)
Bankroll: +266.76%
Wednesday, June 10, 2015
MLB: Wednesday's 12:35 p.m. ET play
Play: Philadelphia/Cincinnati under 8.5 +105 (Williams vs. Moscot)
Time: 12:35 p.m. ET
Reasoning: Reds games average 8.53 runs. Phillies games average 7.82 runs. Cincinnati is hitting .238 and is scoring 1.03 less rpg vs. RH. It hasn't seen Jerome Williams since 2006. Philadelphia is hitting .227 and is scoring 3.17 rpg vs. RH. Reds starter Jon Moscot allowed four runs in his Major League debut on Friday, but that was early on in the game and he rebounded by retiring 11 of the final 12 batters he faced. Moscot allowed two or fewer runs in seven of his nine starts at Triple-A Louisville before being called up. Brandon Phillips left Tuesday's game with a strained left groin and is not expected to play today. Chase Utley is 0-for-16 in his last five games. And Philadelphia's bullpen has a 2.27 ERA in its last 10 contests and a 2.00 ERA in its last five.
Record: 377-291-13 (56.4%)
Bankroll: +255.56%
Time: 12:35 p.m. ET
Reasoning: Reds games average 8.53 runs. Phillies games average 7.82 runs. Cincinnati is hitting .238 and is scoring 1.03 less rpg vs. RH. It hasn't seen Jerome Williams since 2006. Philadelphia is hitting .227 and is scoring 3.17 rpg vs. RH. Reds starter Jon Moscot allowed four runs in his Major League debut on Friday, but that was early on in the game and he rebounded by retiring 11 of the final 12 batters he faced. Moscot allowed two or fewer runs in seven of his nine starts at Triple-A Louisville before being called up. Brandon Phillips left Tuesday's game with a strained left groin and is not expected to play today. Chase Utley is 0-for-16 in his last five games. And Philadelphia's bullpen has a 2.27 ERA in its last 10 contests and a 2.00 ERA in its last five.
Record: 377-291-13 (56.4%)
Bankroll: +255.56%
Tuesday, June 9, 2015
MLB: Tuesday's plays
Play: Seattle/Cleveland over 7 +100 (Elias vs. Kluber)
Time: 7:10 p.m. ET
Reasoning: Games at Progressive Field average 9.89 runs. Mariners road contests average 8.44 runs. Seattle relievers have a 4.54 ERA away from home. And the over is 12-4-1 in the last 17 meetings at Cleveland. The Indians are hitting .281 in their last 10 games vs. LH. They tagged Roenis Elias for four runs on five hits and four walks over 5.1 IP two starts back. Elias is now 0-2 with a 7.15 ERA in two career outings against the Tribe. And Corey Kluber allowed four runs on nine hits in losing his last start.
Play: Atlanta +1.5 -145 (Shields vs. Foltynewicz)
Time: 7:10 p.m. ET
Reasoning: The Braves would be 37-20 if they were given 1.5 runs per game. San Diego would be 23-36 if it gave 1.5 rpg. The Padres are hitting 13 points lower and are scoring a half-run less per game vs. RH. Atlanta is hitting 25 points higher and is scoring 1.76 more rpg vs. RH. James Shields has had a good season, but much of his 7-0 record can be attributed to the 6.0 rpg his team has provided during those starts. Shields has allowed a National League-high 15 homers. Mike Foltynewicz has a 3.15 ERA and a 1.00 WHIP in his last three starts. And San Diego has never faced him.
Record: 376-290-13 (56.5%)
Bankroll: +258.99%
Time: 7:10 p.m. ET
Reasoning: Games at Progressive Field average 9.89 runs. Mariners road contests average 8.44 runs. Seattle relievers have a 4.54 ERA away from home. And the over is 12-4-1 in the last 17 meetings at Cleveland. The Indians are hitting .281 in their last 10 games vs. LH. They tagged Roenis Elias for four runs on five hits and four walks over 5.1 IP two starts back. Elias is now 0-2 with a 7.15 ERA in two career outings against the Tribe. And Corey Kluber allowed four runs on nine hits in losing his last start.
Play: Atlanta +1.5 -145 (Shields vs. Foltynewicz)
Time: 7:10 p.m. ET
Reasoning: The Braves would be 37-20 if they were given 1.5 runs per game. San Diego would be 23-36 if it gave 1.5 rpg. The Padres are hitting 13 points lower and are scoring a half-run less per game vs. RH. Atlanta is hitting 25 points higher and is scoring 1.76 more rpg vs. RH. James Shields has had a good season, but much of his 7-0 record can be attributed to the 6.0 rpg his team has provided during those starts. Shields has allowed a National League-high 15 homers. Mike Foltynewicz has a 3.15 ERA and a 1.00 WHIP in his last three starts. And San Diego has never faced him.
Record: 376-290-13 (56.5%)
Bankroll: +258.99%
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