Play: Cincinnati +1.5 -165 (Lorenzen vs. Ryan)
Time: 7:08 p.m. ET
Reasoning: The Reds would be 40-23 if they were given 1.5 rpg. Detroit would be 23-41 if it gave 1.5 rpg. The Tigers are 6-10 since May 27. They are scoring 0.67 fewer rpg vs. RH. Cincinnati is hitting 15 points higher and is scoring one run more per game vs. LH. It is scoring two more rpg vs. southpaws at home and it's averaging 4.55 rpg over its last 10. Reds relievers have a 3.00 ERA in their last five. And Detroit has never seen Michael Lorenzen.
Record: 380-294-13 (56.4%)
Bankroll: +255.38%
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