Sunday, June 7, 2015

MLB: Sunday's play

Play: St. Louis +1.5 -165 (Lynn vs. Greinke)

Time: 8:08 p.m. ET

TV: ESPN

Reasoning: The Cardinals would be 46-10 if they were given 1.5 runs per game. Los Angeles would be 25-31 if it gave 1.5 rpg. The Dodgers have scored two or fewer runs in 13 of their last 21 games. They have scored a total of 16 runs in their last nine meetings with St. Louis. Lance Lynn didn't allow a run in his last start, blanking Milwaukee and allowing just five hits (all singles) and one walk over 7.2 innings. He has allowed one earned run or fewer in seven of his last 11 turns. Zack Greinke gave up five runs on 10 hits during his last go-around. The Cardinals have allowed a total of 10 runs in their last seven contests. St. Louis is hitting 37 points higher and is scoring 0.69 more rpg vs. RH. The Cards are scoring 5.09 rpg over their last five vs. RH, and their bullpen hasn't allowed an earned run in their last five overall. Dodgers relievers have a 5.76 ERA in their last 10 and a 6.55 ERA in their last five. L.A. also is hitting 19 points lower and is scoring 1.30 less rpg in its last 10 vs. RH.

Record: 375-290-13 (56.4%)
Bankroll: +252.58% 

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