Play: Brooklyn -2.5 -108
Time: 7:30 p.m. ET
Reasoning: The Nets have won five of their last six and one of those victories was a 123-111 beatdown of the Pacers at Indiana. The Pacers may be without second-leading scorer, Rodney Stuckey (12.9 ppg), after he injured his wrist in a game on Sunday. Indiana, which has dropped three of its last four on the road, has played a weaker schedule than Brooklyn. The Nets also record more steals, and Brook Lopez is averaging 28.2 ppg over his last five. Brooklyn also could get Thaddeus Young (knee) back for this one. Young is third on the team in scoring (13.6 ppg) and rebounding (5.1 rpg).
Record: 321-249-11 (56.3%)
Bankroll: 191.82%
Tuesday, March 31, 2015
NCAAB: Tuesday's play
Play: Miami +1.5 -108
Time: 7 p.m. ET
TV: ESPN
Reasoning: The Hurricanes are riding high after overcoming an 18-point deficit in the second half to win their last game at Richmond. Miami is 12-6 SU and 11-7 ATS away from home. It also is 7-4 ATS as an underdog. Temple is 9-8 SU and 8-9 ATS away from home. The Hurricanes have played the 58th-toughest schedule while the Owls have played the 103rd-toughest. Temple shoots just 39% overall, 37.5% in away games and 34.1% in neutral-site affairs. Thus it scores 66.1 ppg at home, 62.2 ppg away and 59.6 ppg on neutral courts. Sheldon McClellan leads Miami in scoring (14.4 ppg). He has 51 three-pointers and is one of eight Hurricanes with at least 18 treys. Miami is much better than Temple from the line as well, and the 'canes can match the Owls on the glass.
Record: 321-249-11 (56.3%)
Bankroll: 191.82%
Time: 7 p.m. ET
TV: ESPN
Reasoning: The Hurricanes are riding high after overcoming an 18-point deficit in the second half to win their last game at Richmond. Miami is 12-6 SU and 11-7 ATS away from home. It also is 7-4 ATS as an underdog. Temple is 9-8 SU and 8-9 ATS away from home. The Hurricanes have played the 58th-toughest schedule while the Owls have played the 103rd-toughest. Temple shoots just 39% overall, 37.5% in away games and 34.1% in neutral-site affairs. Thus it scores 66.1 ppg at home, 62.2 ppg away and 59.6 ppg on neutral courts. Sheldon McClellan leads Miami in scoring (14.4 ppg). He has 51 three-pointers and is one of eight Hurricanes with at least 18 treys. Miami is much better than Temple from the line as well, and the 'canes can match the Owls on the glass.
Record: 321-249-11 (56.3%)
Bankroll: 191.82%
Monday, March 30, 2015
NBA: Monday's 7:30 p.m. ET play
Play: Atlanta -8 -110
Time: 7:30 p.m. ET
Reasoning: The Hawks are coming off of Saturday's 115-100 loss at Charlotte, but none of their starters (DeMarre Carroll, Kyle Korver, Al Horford, Jeff Teague and Paul Millsap) played in that game. All five are expected back Monday night and Atlanta is 40-11 with that lineup. Milwaukee has lost seven of its last nine, 14 of its last 19 and 10 straight on the road. Its also has lost nine of the last 10 meetings vs. the Hawks. The Bucks have shot 43.2% over their last 20 games. Prior to that, they shot 46.6%. Atlanta leads the Eastern Conference in three-point shooting (38.6%).
Record: 320-248-11 (56.3%)
Bankroll: 192.62%
Time: 7:30 p.m. ET
Reasoning: The Hawks are coming off of Saturday's 115-100 loss at Charlotte, but none of their starters (DeMarre Carroll, Kyle Korver, Al Horford, Jeff Teague and Paul Millsap) played in that game. All five are expected back Monday night and Atlanta is 40-11 with that lineup. Milwaukee has lost seven of its last nine, 14 of its last 19 and 10 straight on the road. Its also has lost nine of the last 10 meetings vs. the Hawks. The Bucks have shot 43.2% over their last 20 games. Prior to that, they shot 46.6%. Atlanta leads the Eastern Conference in three-point shooting (38.6%).
Record: 320-248-11 (56.3%)
Bankroll: 192.62%
NBA: Monday's 7 p.m. ET play
Play: Charlotte -3 -105
Time: 7 p.m. ET
Reasoning: Boston has lost five of seven and is shooting 25.9% from three-point range over its last six games. The Celtics are 1-2 against the Hornets this season, and in their 106-98 win in Boston they faced a Charlotte team that was missing Kemba Walker. In his most recent game against the Celtics, Walker scored 33. Mo Williams, who scored 18 off of the bench in Saturday's 115-100 victory over Atlanta, scored 31 in his last game vs. Boston. Gerald Henderson, who had 20 points on 9-of-10 shooting vs. the Hawks, has averaged 17.0 ppg and 51.9% shooting over his last six. As a team the Hornets shot 52.5% vs. Atlanta. The Celtics fell 119-106 on Sunday to the L.A. Clippers and it could have been worse. Boston gave up 105 points through three quarters.
Record: 320-248-11 (56.3%)
Bankroll: 192.62%
Time: 7 p.m. ET
Reasoning: Boston has lost five of seven and is shooting 25.9% from three-point range over its last six games. The Celtics are 1-2 against the Hornets this season, and in their 106-98 win in Boston they faced a Charlotte team that was missing Kemba Walker. In his most recent game against the Celtics, Walker scored 33. Mo Williams, who scored 18 off of the bench in Saturday's 115-100 victory over Atlanta, scored 31 in his last game vs. Boston. Gerald Henderson, who had 20 points on 9-of-10 shooting vs. the Hawks, has averaged 17.0 ppg and 51.9% shooting over his last six. As a team the Hornets shot 52.5% vs. Atlanta. The Celtics fell 119-106 on Sunday to the L.A. Clippers and it could have been worse. Boston gave up 105 points through three quarters.
Record: 320-248-11 (56.3%)
Bankroll: 192.62%
Sunday, March 29, 2015
NBA: Sunday's 3:30 p.m. ET play
Play: Brooklyn -6.5 -110
Time: 3:30 p.m. ET
Reasoning: The Nets have won six of eight, including a 106-98 victory over Cleveland on Friday. Los Angeles is 2-11 on the road vs. the Eastern Conference and the Lakers fell at home to Brooklyn 114-105 on Feb. 20 in the only other meeting this season. On the road Los Angeles is allowing 106.5 ppg on 47.7% shooting (38.0% on threes). Nets big man Brook Lopez has scored at least 20 in five straight. He is shooting 62.1% over that stretch and is averaging 18.7 points and 8.9 rebounds since the All-Star break. Teammate Alan Anderson has scored in double figures in four of his last five contests. And Lakers SF Wesley Johnson has missed all nine of his three-point tries over his last four tilts.
Record: 319-247-11 (56.4%)
Bankroll: 193.42%
Time: 3:30 p.m. ET
Reasoning: The Nets have won six of eight, including a 106-98 victory over Cleveland on Friday. Los Angeles is 2-11 on the road vs. the Eastern Conference and the Lakers fell at home to Brooklyn 114-105 on Feb. 20 in the only other meeting this season. On the road Los Angeles is allowing 106.5 ppg on 47.7% shooting (38.0% on threes). Nets big man Brook Lopez has scored at least 20 in five straight. He is shooting 62.1% over that stretch and is averaging 18.7 points and 8.9 rebounds since the All-Star break. Teammate Alan Anderson has scored in double figures in four of his last five contests. And Lakers SF Wesley Johnson has missed all nine of his three-point tries over his last four tilts.
Record: 319-247-11 (56.4%)
Bankroll: 193.42%
NBA: Sunday's 12:30 p.m. ET play
Play: Washington +3 -110
Time: 12:30 p.m. ET
TV: ABC
Reasoning: My power ratings say Houston should only be favored by one point. The Wizards are 26-11 at home and have won six of their last seven there. They beat the Rockets, in the only other meeting this season, at Houston on Dec. 29. Washington shoots better from everywhere, is better on the glass, commits fewer turnovers and has the deeper bench. At home those advantages are even more pronounced. Additionally, the Rockets will be without three regulars (Donatas Motiejunas, Patrick Beverley and Terrence Jones) because of injuries. Those three combine for 34.5 ppg and 17.5 rpg. Plus the Wizards could have Kris Humphries (8.1 ppg, 6.7 rpg) back from a groin injury.
Record: 319-247-11 (56.4%)
Bankroll: 193.42%
Time: 12:30 p.m. ET
TV: ABC
Reasoning: My power ratings say Houston should only be favored by one point. The Wizards are 26-11 at home and have won six of their last seven there. They beat the Rockets, in the only other meeting this season, at Houston on Dec. 29. Washington shoots better from everywhere, is better on the glass, commits fewer turnovers and has the deeper bench. At home those advantages are even more pronounced. Additionally, the Rockets will be without three regulars (Donatas Motiejunas, Patrick Beverley and Terrence Jones) because of injuries. Those three combine for 34.5 ppg and 17.5 rpg. Plus the Wizards could have Kris Humphries (8.1 ppg, 6.7 rpg) back from a groin injury.
Record: 319-247-11 (56.4%)
Bankroll: 193.42%
Saturday, March 28, 2015
NCAAB: Saturday's play
Play: Notre Dame +11.5 -110
Time: 8:49 p.m. ET
Reasoning: The Irish are 6-2 ATS as underdogs this season and this is the most points they've been spotted. They shoot 51.1% from the field and they've shot even better in nine neutral-site contests. Five of their players have hit 40 or more three-pointers and Notre Dame averages nearly three three-pointers more per game that Kentucky. Irish guard Pat Connaughton has hit the most threes (92) and, despite being only 6-foot-5, he leads his team in rebounding (7.4 per game). Connaughton has grabbed 19 boards over his last two tilts. Notre Dame is better at the line (82.1% in its last five games), commits fewer turnovers and records more steals. Wildcats F Karl-Anthony Towns, a potential No. 1 pick in this summer's draft, was 0-of-3 from the field in his last contest. He has just 13 field goals over his last five games and eight of those came in the round of 64 game vs. Hampton.
Record: 318-247-11 (56.3%)
Bankroll: 185.63%
Time: 8:49 p.m. ET
Reasoning: The Irish are 6-2 ATS as underdogs this season and this is the most points they've been spotted. They shoot 51.1% from the field and they've shot even better in nine neutral-site contests. Five of their players have hit 40 or more three-pointers and Notre Dame averages nearly three three-pointers more per game that Kentucky. Irish guard Pat Connaughton has hit the most threes (92) and, despite being only 6-foot-5, he leads his team in rebounding (7.4 per game). Connaughton has grabbed 19 boards over his last two tilts. Notre Dame is better at the line (82.1% in its last five games), commits fewer turnovers and records more steals. Wildcats F Karl-Anthony Towns, a potential No. 1 pick in this summer's draft, was 0-of-3 from the field in his last contest. He has just 13 field goals over his last five games and eight of those came in the round of 64 game vs. Hampton.
Record: 318-247-11 (56.3%)
Bankroll: 185.63%
Friday, March 27, 2015
NCAAB: Friday's play
Play: Oklahoma +2 -110
Time: 10:07 p.m. ET
TV: TBS
Reasoning: How comfortable are the Sooners starters with one another? Well, all five have started every game this season and they are one of only seven teams to do that. Oklahoma has played the third-toughest schedule and is 7-6 vs. Top 25 squads. Michigan State is 4-5 vs. the Top 25. The Sooners are better in every defensive stat and are sixth-best in the nation in defensive efficiency. The Spartans rank 46. Michigan State, which is undersized for this matchup, is great at rebounding, but Oklahoma can hang. The Sooners have outrebounded opponents by eight per game over their last five. Michigan State's glaring weakness is its free-throw shooting. It hits just 63% from the line (59.6% in its two NCAA Tournament tilts). That's not good, especially when compared to Oklahoma's 73.8% figure. The Sooners attempt and make more foul shots and have canned 81.1% of them in their last five contests.
Record: 318-246-11 (56.4%)
Bankroll: 194.46%
Time: 10:07 p.m. ET
TV: TBS
Reasoning: How comfortable are the Sooners starters with one another? Well, all five have started every game this season and they are one of only seven teams to do that. Oklahoma has played the third-toughest schedule and is 7-6 vs. Top 25 squads. Michigan State is 4-5 vs. the Top 25. The Sooners are better in every defensive stat and are sixth-best in the nation in defensive efficiency. The Spartans rank 46. Michigan State, which is undersized for this matchup, is great at rebounding, but Oklahoma can hang. The Sooners have outrebounded opponents by eight per game over their last five. Michigan State's glaring weakness is its free-throw shooting. It hits just 63% from the line (59.6% in its two NCAA Tournament tilts). That's not good, especially when compared to Oklahoma's 73.8% figure. The Sooners attempt and make more foul shots and have canned 81.1% of them in their last five contests.
Record: 318-246-11 (56.4%)
Bankroll: 194.46%
Thursday, March 26, 2015
NCAAB: Thursday's play
Play: Notre Dame +2 -105
Time: 7:15 p.m. ET
TV: CBS
Reasoning: My power ratings say the Irish should be favored by one point in this game. Not surprisingly, they've played the tougher schedule (No. 57 compared to No. 97) and they are 7-2 vs. Top 25 teams. Wichita State is 2-2 vs. the Top 25. Historically in this tournament the No. 2 seeds are 63-22 (74.1%) vs. No. 7 seeds. The Shockers are undersized and will face a Notre Dame team that has seen all five of its starters average double figures in its five postseason games. The Irish have a pretty sizable advantage in all shooting categories and they are 28-0 when they shoot for a higher percentage than their opponents. They also are 18-0 when they top 80 points. Notre Dame's neutral site stats are much better than Wichita State and the Irish are 5-2 ATS as an underdog.
Record: 317-246-11 (56.3%)
Bankroll: 186.28%
Bankroll: 186.28%
Wednesday, March 25, 2015
NCAAB: Wednesday's 8 p.m. ET play
Play: Vermont +1 -110
Time: 8 p.m. ET
Reasoning: Louisiana Monroe doesn't have the firepower to hang with the Catamounts. Vermont has averaged 75.8 ppg on 49.1% shooting in its last five contests and it's 15-5 since Jan. 7. And those five losses were by a combined 14 points. The Catamounts have a sizable shooting advantage here (46.7% to 41.1%), they hit 4.5 more free throws per game and they can hang on the boards against the Warhawks. Vermont also records many more steals and blocks. ULM has gone 23-12 this season, but against Division I teams its point differential is only 1.0.
Record: 317-244-11 (56.5%)
Bankroll: 204.56%
Time: 8 p.m. ET
Reasoning: Louisiana Monroe doesn't have the firepower to hang with the Catamounts. Vermont has averaged 75.8 ppg on 49.1% shooting in its last five contests and it's 15-5 since Jan. 7. And those five losses were by a combined 14 points. The Catamounts have a sizable shooting advantage here (46.7% to 41.1%), they hit 4.5 more free throws per game and they can hang on the boards against the Warhawks. Vermont also records many more steals and blocks. ULM has gone 23-12 this season, but against Division I teams its point differential is only 1.0.
Record: 317-244-11 (56.5%)
Bankroll: 204.56%
NCAAB: Wednesday's 7 p.m. ET play
Play: Eastern Kentucky -5.5 -110
Time: 7 p.m. ET
Reasoning: The visiting Colonels beat Tennessee-Martin 66-58 on Jan. 8 and did so despite going 4-of-23 on three-pointers. Eastern Kentucky usually shoots twice that well from behind the arc and averages 8.3 threes per game. The Colonels won that first meeting by recording seven steals and by committing just five turnovers. They have big advantages over the Skyhawks in the steals and blocks departments, and Eastern Kentucky shoots 78.3% from the line. The Colonels are 13-3 at home and have won nine straight in their building.
Record: 317-244-11 (56.5%)
Bankroll: 204.56%
Time: 7 p.m. ET
Reasoning: The visiting Colonels beat Tennessee-Martin 66-58 on Jan. 8 and did so despite going 4-of-23 on three-pointers. Eastern Kentucky usually shoots twice that well from behind the arc and averages 8.3 threes per game. The Colonels won that first meeting by recording seven steals and by committing just five turnovers. They have big advantages over the Skyhawks in the steals and blocks departments, and Eastern Kentucky shoots 78.3% from the line. The Colonels are 13-3 at home and have won nine straight in their building.
Record: 317-244-11 (56.5%)
Bankroll: 204.56%
Tuesday, March 24, 2015
NBA: Tuesday's play
Play: L.A. Lakers/Oklahoma City under 209.5 -110
Time: 8 p.m. ET
TV: TNT
Reasoning: If this is a blowout, a real possibility, I think that will only help the under. Los Angeles has been outscored by 18.4 ppg over its last five road meetings at Oklahoma City. The Lakers have lost 15 of their last 16 away from home. Jordan Hill is their leading active scorer at 12.3 ppg. The Thunder has lost more firepower with Serge Ibaka, who averages 14.3 ppg, out indefinitely with an ankle injury. And starting guard Andre Roberson (ankle) is questionable for this tilt. This is a high total for Los Angeles, which hasn't seen a number this high since Jan. 19. Both squads average well under this total overall and in the home/away splits. Both also are below average in field goal percentage and three-pointers made. And the unders are a combined 38-28 in the home/away splits.
Record: 317-243-11 (56.6%)
Bankroll: 213.98%
Time: 8 p.m. ET
TV: TNT
Reasoning: If this is a blowout, a real possibility, I think that will only help the under. Los Angeles has been outscored by 18.4 ppg over its last five road meetings at Oklahoma City. The Lakers have lost 15 of their last 16 away from home. Jordan Hill is their leading active scorer at 12.3 ppg. The Thunder has lost more firepower with Serge Ibaka, who averages 14.3 ppg, out indefinitely with an ankle injury. And starting guard Andre Roberson (ankle) is questionable for this tilt. This is a high total for Los Angeles, which hasn't seen a number this high since Jan. 19. Both squads average well under this total overall and in the home/away splits. Both also are below average in field goal percentage and three-pointers made. And the unders are a combined 38-28 in the home/away splits.
Record: 317-243-11 (56.6%)
Bankroll: 213.98%
Monday, March 23, 2015
NBA: Monday's play
Play: Brooklyn -3.5 -110
Time: 7:30 p.m. ET
Reasoning: The Nets have won four of their last five and are averaging 112.0 ppg over that span. They've had five players average double figures in that time period and they have scored 120 points in three of their last four. Boston played on Sunday and has dropped three straight. The Celtics likely will be without Isaiah Thomas (back) for an eighth straight game. Thomas has averaged 16.3 ppg in five contests since being acquired from Phoenix. The teams have nearly identical records, but Boston has played the NBA's easiest schedule and Brooklyn has played the 15th-toughest schedule. The Nets also shoot better, score more at the foul line and block more shots.
Record: 317-242-11 (56.7%)
Bankroll: 223.69%
Time: 7:30 p.m. ET
Reasoning: The Nets have won four of their last five and are averaging 112.0 ppg over that span. They've had five players average double figures in that time period and they have scored 120 points in three of their last four. Boston played on Sunday and has dropped three straight. The Celtics likely will be without Isaiah Thomas (back) for an eighth straight game. Thomas has averaged 16.3 ppg in five contests since being acquired from Phoenix. The teams have nearly identical records, but Boston has played the NBA's easiest schedule and Brooklyn has played the 15th-toughest schedule. The Nets also shoot better, score more at the foul line and block more shots.
Record: 317-242-11 (56.7%)
Bankroll: 223.69%
Sunday, March 22, 2015
NCAAB: Sunday's play
Play: Arizona State +4.5 -110
Time: 7:30 p.m. ET
TV: ESPNU
Reasoning: The Sundevils have played the tougher schedule and are coming off of a 66-61 win at Connecticut. Arizona State has a huge rebounding advantage and makes 3.5 more free throws per game. Sundevils guard Shaquielle McKissic leads a balanced offensive attack and he is averaging 20 points, 6.2 rebounds and three steals over his last five games. Teammates Savon Goodman and Gerry Blakes combine for 22 ppg and Goodman leads the team in rebounding (7.2 rpg). Richmond is 9-26-3 ATS in its last 38 non-conference games.
Record: 317-241-11 (56.8%)
Bankroll: 233.70%
Time: 7:30 p.m. ET
TV: ESPNU
Reasoning: The Sundevils have played the tougher schedule and are coming off of a 66-61 win at Connecticut. Arizona State has a huge rebounding advantage and makes 3.5 more free throws per game. Sundevils guard Shaquielle McKissic leads a balanced offensive attack and he is averaging 20 points, 6.2 rebounds and three steals over his last five games. Teammates Savon Goodman and Gerry Blakes combine for 22 ppg and Goodman leads the team in rebounding (7.2 rpg). Richmond is 9-26-3 ATS in its last 38 non-conference games.
Record: 317-241-11 (56.8%)
Bankroll: 233.70%
Saturday, March 21, 2015
NCAAB: Saturday's 9:40 p.m. ET play
Play: Notre Dame -4.5 -110
Time: 9:40 p.m. ET
TV: TBS
Reasoning: Butler's Roosevelt Jones hurt his knee in the second half of Thursday's win over Texas and he is questionable for this one. Jones is the Bulldogs' second-leading scorer (12.4 ppg), rebounder (5.2 rpg) and shot blocker (21). The Irish are 9-1 SU in their last 10 and are 7-2 ATS in their last nine. They are 13-3 SU and 10-6 ATS away from home. Notre Dame is 6-3 vs. Top 25 teams and Butler is 5-8. The Irish are shooting 51.2% from the field and 39.2% from behind the arc. They commit fewer turnovers, are better at the line and they record more steals and blocks than the Bulldogs.
Record: 317-239-11 (57.0%)
Bankroll: 255.00%
Time: 9:40 p.m. ET
TV: TBS
Reasoning: Butler's Roosevelt Jones hurt his knee in the second half of Thursday's win over Texas and he is questionable for this one. Jones is the Bulldogs' second-leading scorer (12.4 ppg), rebounder (5.2 rpg) and shot blocker (21). The Irish are 9-1 SU in their last 10 and are 7-2 ATS in their last nine. They are 13-3 SU and 10-6 ATS away from home. Notre Dame is 6-3 vs. Top 25 teams and Butler is 5-8. The Irish are shooting 51.2% from the field and 39.2% from behind the arc. They commit fewer turnovers, are better at the line and they record more steals and blocks than the Bulldogs.
Record: 317-239-11 (57.0%)
Bankroll: 255.00%
NCAAB: Saturday's 5:15 p.m. ET play
Play: Ohio State +9 -110
Time: 5:15 p.m. ET
TV: CBS
Reasoning: Arizona is a juggernaut, outscoring opponents by 17.9 ppg. But the Buckeyes are no slouches, and they are outscoring their opponents by 13.1 ppg. My power ratings say the Wildcats should be favored by 6.5 points. They are 4-5 ATS as single-digit favorites and Ohio State hasn't received more than 2.5 points in any game this season. Each of Arizona's three losses came against teams outside the Top 50. The Buckeyes played the tougher schedule and they are better offensively and defensively from behind the arc. They can hang with the Wildcats on the boards, have a better assist-to-turnover ratio and they record more steals and blocks.
Record: 317-239-11 (57.0%)
Bankroll: 255.00%
Time: 5:15 p.m. ET
TV: CBS
Reasoning: Arizona is a juggernaut, outscoring opponents by 17.9 ppg. But the Buckeyes are no slouches, and they are outscoring their opponents by 13.1 ppg. My power ratings say the Wildcats should be favored by 6.5 points. They are 4-5 ATS as single-digit favorites and Ohio State hasn't received more than 2.5 points in any game this season. Each of Arizona's three losses came against teams outside the Top 50. The Buckeyes played the tougher schedule and they are better offensively and defensively from behind the arc. They can hang with the Wildcats on the boards, have a better assist-to-turnover ratio and they record more steals and blocks.
Record: 317-239-11 (57.0%)
Bankroll: 255.00%
Friday, March 20, 2015
NCAAB: Friday's 7:20 p.m. ET play
Play: Iowa -2 -104
Time: 7:20 p.m. ET
TV: TNT
Reasoning: Davidson averages 79.2 ppg overall, but in its three neutral-site games it averaged 70.7 ppg and gave up 83.0 ppg. The Wildcats also played the 90th-toughest schedule and went 2-4 vs. Top 50 teams. And they lost by 20 to VCU in their last contest. The Hawkeyes played the 30th-toughest schedule and allows just 61.9 ppg. They have a big rebounding advantage and average 10.8 offensive boards per game. Iowa also records more steals and blocks than Davidson and the Hawkeyes make 4.2 more free throws per tilt. The Wildcats are below average defensively and they don't have a bench. Their reserves scored just five against VCU. Iowa's leading scorer, Aaron White, has scored 21 or more in his last five.
Record: 316-238-11 (57.0%)
Bankroll: +255.41%
Time: 7:20 p.m. ET
TV: TNT
Reasoning: Davidson averages 79.2 ppg overall, but in its three neutral-site games it averaged 70.7 ppg and gave up 83.0 ppg. The Wildcats also played the 90th-toughest schedule and went 2-4 vs. Top 50 teams. And they lost by 20 to VCU in their last contest. The Hawkeyes played the 30th-toughest schedule and allows just 61.9 ppg. They have a big rebounding advantage and average 10.8 offensive boards per game. Iowa also records more steals and blocks than Davidson and the Hawkeyes make 4.2 more free throws per tilt. The Wildcats are below average defensively and they don't have a bench. Their reserves scored just five against VCU. Iowa's leading scorer, Aaron White, has scored 21 or more in his last five.
Record: 316-238-11 (57.0%)
Bankroll: +255.41%
NCAAB: Friday's 2:45 p.m. ET play
Play: Indiana/Wichita State under 140.5 -110
Time: 2:45 p.m. ET
TV: CBS
Reasoning: This total is dramatically higher than what the Shockers usually see. They have faced two higher totals (141.5 and 144), but the final scores in those games ended up totaling 127 and 105 points, respectively. Wichita State allows just 55.8 ppg overall. In the last five contests the Shockers have allowed only 53.2 ppg on 38.2% shooting. The Hoosiers average 77.5 ppg overall, but in their last five tilts they've averaged 68 points on 39.4% shooting. Neither team allows many three-pointers and both are below average in made free throws.
Record: 316-238-11 (57.0%)
Bankroll: +255.41%
Time: 2:45 p.m. ET
TV: CBS
Reasoning: This total is dramatically higher than what the Shockers usually see. They have faced two higher totals (141.5 and 144), but the final scores in those games ended up totaling 127 and 105 points, respectively. Wichita State allows just 55.8 ppg overall. In the last five contests the Shockers have allowed only 53.2 ppg on 38.2% shooting. The Hoosiers average 77.5 ppg overall, but in their last five tilts they've averaged 68 points on 39.4% shooting. Neither team allows many three-pointers and both are below average in made free throws.
Record: 316-238-11 (57.0%)
Bankroll: +255.41%
Thursday, March 19, 2015
NCAAB: Thursday's 7:10 p.m. ET plays
Play: Cincinnati +1 -110 and Purdue/Cincinnati over 117 -105
Time: 7:10 p.m. ET
TV: CBS
Reasoning: The Bearcats have won five of their last six and Purdue has dropped three of its last five. Cincinnati, which is making its fifth-straight appearance in the Big Dance, will take on a Boilermakers team that missed the last two seasons because of losing records. The Bearcats have the advantage behind the arc, commit fewer turnovers and rack up more steals and blocks. This total is a little lower than what Cincinnati usually faces, but it's way lower than what Purdue usually goes against. It's the lowest figure the Boilermakers have seen. Their average total is 135. Purdue games average 134.5 ppg overall and the Boilermakers' six neutral-site affairs have averaged 147.3 points.
Record: 314-235-11 (57.2%)
Bankroll: +266.93%
Time: 7:10 p.m. ET
TV: CBS
Reasoning: The Bearcats have won five of their last six and Purdue has dropped three of its last five. Cincinnati, which is making its fifth-straight appearance in the Big Dance, will take on a Boilermakers team that missed the last two seasons because of losing records. The Bearcats have the advantage behind the arc, commit fewer turnovers and rack up more steals and blocks. This total is a little lower than what Cincinnati usually faces, but it's way lower than what Purdue usually goes against. It's the lowest figure the Boilermakers have seen. Their average total is 135. Purdue games average 134.5 ppg overall and the Boilermakers' six neutral-site affairs have averaged 147.3 points.
Record: 314-235-11 (57.2%)
Bankroll: +266.93%
NCAAB: Thursday's 2:45 p.m. ET plays
Plays: Texas -1.5 -105 and Texas/Butler over 123.5 -105
Time: 2:45 p.m. ET
TV: CBS
Reasoning: Texas played the tougher schedule (10th in the nation) and is fourth in the country in field-goal percentage defense (36.8%). The Longhorns also set a school record for blocks (260), easily eclipsing the previous high of 206 set last season. Texas averages 7.9 bpg and Butler collects just 2.9 per contest. Still, this is a low total. Games for both teams average well over it overall, on the road and at neutral sites. The Longhorns have gone against a lower figure only six times and this is the fourth-lowest total the Bulldogs have seen. Both teams are above average in shots made and attempted, free throws and offensive boards. Texas outrebounds opponents by 11.3 per game.
Record: 314-235-11 (57.2%)
Bankroll: +266.93%
Time: 2:45 p.m. ET
TV: CBS
Reasoning: Texas played the tougher schedule (10th in the nation) and is fourth in the country in field-goal percentage defense (36.8%). The Longhorns also set a school record for blocks (260), easily eclipsing the previous high of 206 set last season. Texas averages 7.9 bpg and Butler collects just 2.9 per contest. Still, this is a low total. Games for both teams average well over it overall, on the road and at neutral sites. The Longhorns have gone against a lower figure only six times and this is the fourth-lowest total the Bulldogs have seen. Both teams are above average in shots made and attempted, free throws and offensive boards. Texas outrebounds opponents by 11.3 per game.
Record: 314-235-11 (57.2%)
Bankroll: +266.93%
NCAAB: Thursday's 12:15 p.m. ET play
Play: Notre Dame -11.5 -105
Time: 12:15 p.m. ET
TV: CBS
Reasoning: My power ratings say the Irish should be favored by 15. Notre Dame, which is outscoring opponents by 13.2 ppg, is 5-1 ATS when laying double-digits. The Irish won the ACC Tournament title 90-82 on Saturday over North Carolina. They are 29-5 playing the 64th-toughest schedule. Northeastern, which went 11-21 last season, hasn't played a Top 50 team. It's played the 181st-toughest schedule and hasn't played in the NCAA Tournament since 1991. The Huskies are below average in field-goal percentage defense and will face a Notre Dame team that has shot 51.0% from the field. The Irish amass more steals and average just 9.3 turnovers per game, four fewer than Northeastern.
Record: 314-235-11 (57.2%)
Bankroll: +266.93%
Time: 12:15 p.m. ET
TV: CBS
Reasoning: My power ratings say the Irish should be favored by 15. Notre Dame, which is outscoring opponents by 13.2 ppg, is 5-1 ATS when laying double-digits. The Irish won the ACC Tournament title 90-82 on Saturday over North Carolina. They are 29-5 playing the 64th-toughest schedule. Northeastern, which went 11-21 last season, hasn't played a Top 50 team. It's played the 181st-toughest schedule and hasn't played in the NCAA Tournament since 1991. The Huskies are below average in field-goal percentage defense and will face a Notre Dame team that has shot 51.0% from the field. The Irish amass more steals and average just 9.3 turnovers per game, four fewer than Northeastern.
Record: 314-235-11 (57.2%)
Bankroll: +266.93%
Wednesday, March 18, 2015
No plays for Wednesday
Subscribers have been credited another day.
Record: 314-235-11 (57.2%)
Bankroll: +266.93%
Record: 314-235-11 (57.2%)
Bankroll: +266.93%
Tuesday, March 17, 2015
NCAAB: Tuesday's play
Play: Manhattan -8.5 -115
Time: 6:40 p.m. ET
TV: truTV
Reasoning: Hampton is 16-17 and its best player, Dwight Meikle (ankle), has missed the last three games and is questionable. He leads the Pirates in scoring, field-goal percentage, rebounding and blocks. The Jaspers have won four straight and seven of their last eight en route to their second straight MAAC tournament title. Manhattan has held its last eight opponents to 39.5% shooting, and their last five opponents have shot just 27.8% from behind the arc. Senior Emmy Andujar leads the Jaspers in scoring (16.5 ppg), rebounding (7.6), assists (3.5) and steals (2.1). Ashton Pankey, who stands 6-foot-10, is second on the team in scoring (13.5 ppg) and Shane Richards, who has drained 88 threes, is the third scoring option (13.1 ppg). Guard RaShawn Stores has 13 assists and one turnover over his last four contests. And Manhattan is 20-5 in February and March over the past two years.
Record: 314-234-11 (57.3%)
Bankroll: +278.28%
Time: 6:40 p.m. ET
TV: truTV
Reasoning: Hampton is 16-17 and its best player, Dwight Meikle (ankle), has missed the last three games and is questionable. He leads the Pirates in scoring, field-goal percentage, rebounding and blocks. The Jaspers have won four straight and seven of their last eight en route to their second straight MAAC tournament title. Manhattan has held its last eight opponents to 39.5% shooting, and their last five opponents have shot just 27.8% from behind the arc. Senior Emmy Andujar leads the Jaspers in scoring (16.5 ppg), rebounding (7.6), assists (3.5) and steals (2.1). Ashton Pankey, who stands 6-foot-10, is second on the team in scoring (13.5 ppg) and Shane Richards, who has drained 88 threes, is the third scoring option (13.1 ppg). Guard RaShawn Stores has 13 assists and one turnover over his last four contests. And Manhattan is 20-5 in February and March over the past two years.
Record: 314-234-11 (57.3%)
Bankroll: +278.28%
Monday, March 16, 2015
NHL: Monday's play
Play: Toronto/Edmonton under 5.5 +108
Time: 9:30 p.m. ET
Reasoning: The Maple Leafs have averaged just 1.92 gpg on the road and 1.90 gpg in their last 10. The Oilers have averaged only 2.13 gpg at home and 2.10 gpg in their last 10. Toronto G James Reimer is 4-0-0 and has a 1.74 gaa in his career vs. Edmonton. Even if he is rested on Monday, his backup, Jonathan Bernier, owns a 3-0-0 career mark against the Oilers. The over is 13-21-2 in the Leafs' road contests. Toronto went 0-for-7 in its power play chances in the 4-1 loss on Saturday at Vancouver. Its lone goal in that one came in the third period on a penalty shot. The Leafs are converting just 11.6% of their power-play chances on the road and have a 9.8% mark over their last 10 tilts. Edmonton has just one goal in its last two games vs. Toronto.
Record: 313-234-11 (57.2%)
Bankroll: +266.41%
Time: 9:30 p.m. ET
Reasoning: The Maple Leafs have averaged just 1.92 gpg on the road and 1.90 gpg in their last 10. The Oilers have averaged only 2.13 gpg at home and 2.10 gpg in their last 10. Toronto G James Reimer is 4-0-0 and has a 1.74 gaa in his career vs. Edmonton. Even if he is rested on Monday, his backup, Jonathan Bernier, owns a 3-0-0 career mark against the Oilers. The over is 13-21-2 in the Leafs' road contests. Toronto went 0-for-7 in its power play chances in the 4-1 loss on Saturday at Vancouver. Its lone goal in that one came in the third period on a penalty shot. The Leafs are converting just 11.6% of their power-play chances on the road and have a 9.8% mark over their last 10 tilts. Edmonton has just one goal in its last two games vs. Toronto.
Record: 313-234-11 (57.2%)
Bankroll: +266.41%
Sunday, March 15, 2015
NCAAB: Sunday's 3:30 p.m. ET play
Play: Wisconsin -6.5 -115
Time: 3:30 p.m. ET
Reasoning: In the last meeting the Badgers got 31 points, eight rebounds, three blocks and two steals from Frank Kaminsky, which prompted Michigan State coach Tom Izzo to anoint him National Player of the Year. Wisconsin went 15-2 away from home this season. On Saturday in the 71-51 victory over Purdue, the Badgers pulled away in the second half with a 41-16 drubbing of the Boilermakers. The Spartans are 2-6 vs. Top 25 teams this season and Wisconsin is 6-2 against the Top 25. Michigan State converts only 62.7% of its foul shots and the Badgers can 76.1% of their attempts. Wisconsin also commits just 7.3 turnovers per game, four fewer than Michigan State.
Record: 312-233-11 (57.2%)
Bankroll: +267.85%
Time: 3:30 p.m. ET
Reasoning: In the last meeting the Badgers got 31 points, eight rebounds, three blocks and two steals from Frank Kaminsky, which prompted Michigan State coach Tom Izzo to anoint him National Player of the Year. Wisconsin went 15-2 away from home this season. On Saturday in the 71-51 victory over Purdue, the Badgers pulled away in the second half with a 41-16 drubbing of the Boilermakers. The Spartans are 2-6 vs. Top 25 teams this season and Wisconsin is 6-2 against the Top 25. Michigan State converts only 62.7% of its foul shots and the Badgers can 76.1% of their attempts. Wisconsin also commits just 7.3 turnovers per game, four fewer than Michigan State.
Record: 312-233-11 (57.2%)
Bankroll: +267.85%
NCAAB: Sunday's 1 p.m. ET play
Play: Georgia State -6 -110
Time: 1 p.m. ET
Reasoning: Georgia Southern will have a tough time hanging with the Panthers offensively. They scored just 44 on Saturday. Georgia State won 83-79 on Saturday against Louisiana Lafayette. The Eagles have averaged just 58 ppg since Feb. 28, the game where starting F Angel Matias (ankle) was lost for the season. Matias was tied for the team lead in rebounds and was Georgia Southern's third-leading scorer. The Panthers, who played a much tougher schedule, won the teams' second matchup by 17 on March 7 and they lost the first meeting (Feb. 5) by only four. The Panthers have a tremendous shooting advantage, are better at the line, have recorded more steals and blocks and have committed fewer turnovers. They also can hang with the Eagles on the glass.
Record: 312-233-11 (57.2%)
Bankroll: +267.85%
Time: 1 p.m. ET
Reasoning: Georgia Southern will have a tough time hanging with the Panthers offensively. They scored just 44 on Saturday. Georgia State won 83-79 on Saturday against Louisiana Lafayette. The Eagles have averaged just 58 ppg since Feb. 28, the game where starting F Angel Matias (ankle) was lost for the season. Matias was tied for the team lead in rebounds and was Georgia Southern's third-leading scorer. The Panthers, who played a much tougher schedule, won the teams' second matchup by 17 on March 7 and they lost the first meeting (Feb. 5) by only four. The Panthers have a tremendous shooting advantage, are better at the line, have recorded more steals and blocks and have committed fewer turnovers. They also can hang with the Eagles on the glass.
Record: 312-233-11 (57.2%)
Bankroll: +267.85%
Saturday, March 14, 2015
NBA: Saturday's play
Play: Detroit/Utah over 185 -110
Time: 9 p.m. ET
Reasoning: The Pistons played Friday night and allowed Portland 118 points on 57.5% shooting (52.4% on threes). Detroit has allowed 105.4 ppg over its last five. Both teams average well over this total both overall and in the home/away splits. This is the second-lowest total the Pistons have gone against this season. Both teams are below average in overall defensive field-goal percentage and from behind the arc. They also get to the line and monsters on the offensive glass (13.1 and 11.9 offensive rebounds per game, respectively). This total has been eclipsed in nine of the last 10 meetings.
Record: 312-232-11 (57.4%)
Bankroll: +279.23%
Time: 9 p.m. ET
Reasoning: The Pistons played Friday night and allowed Portland 118 points on 57.5% shooting (52.4% on threes). Detroit has allowed 105.4 ppg over its last five. Both teams average well over this total both overall and in the home/away splits. This is the second-lowest total the Pistons have gone against this season. Both teams are below average in overall defensive field-goal percentage and from behind the arc. They also get to the line and monsters on the offensive glass (13.1 and 11.9 offensive rebounds per game, respectively). This total has been eclipsed in nine of the last 10 meetings.
Record: 312-232-11 (57.4%)
Bankroll: +279.23%
Friday, March 13, 2015
NCAAB: Friday's 7 p.m. ET plays
Play: Kansas -1 -110
Time: 7 p.m. ET
TV: ESPN2
Reasoning: The Jayhawks, who have played the toughest schedule in the country, won both meetings this season. With leading scorer Perry Ellis (knee) out on Thursday, Kelly Oubre Jr. put up 25 points. If able, Ellis will play in this one. I think this line is a gift. Kansas isn't at full strength but if it was the line might be closer to the nine points suggested by the power ratings. The Jayhawks went 10-4 vs. Top 25 teams and are better from the field, at the line and they block more shots. Kansas is 5-1 in neutral court situations and this game will be played in Kansas City. The Jayhawks went 15-0 with a home-crowd behind them.
Play: Villanova -9 -110
Time: 7 p.m. ET
TV: FS1
Reasoning: The Wildcats beat Marquette 84-49 on Thursday behind 17 three-pointers. Villanova is 11-1 vs. Top 50 teams and is 23-8 ATS on the season. In the last meeting (Feb. 24), the Wildcats prevailed 89-61. In that one Providence's Kris Dunn, the team's oft-injured second-leading scorer and rebounder, put up just four points against six turnovers. On Thursday he rolled his ankle late in the game against St. John's. Villanova has won its last two games by a combined 72 points. The Wildcats have won the last four meetings and missed covering in all four by 1.5 points (02/18/14 at Providence). Villanova has outscored opponents by 15.9 ppg and has a sizable edge from behind the arc (39.1% vs. 30.1%).
Record: 310-230-11 (57.4%)
Bankroll: +281.31%
Time: 7 p.m. ET
TV: ESPN2
Reasoning: The Jayhawks, who have played the toughest schedule in the country, won both meetings this season. With leading scorer Perry Ellis (knee) out on Thursday, Kelly Oubre Jr. put up 25 points. If able, Ellis will play in this one. I think this line is a gift. Kansas isn't at full strength but if it was the line might be closer to the nine points suggested by the power ratings. The Jayhawks went 10-4 vs. Top 25 teams and are better from the field, at the line and they block more shots. Kansas is 5-1 in neutral court situations and this game will be played in Kansas City. The Jayhawks went 15-0 with a home-crowd behind them.
Play: Villanova -9 -110
Time: 7 p.m. ET
TV: FS1
Reasoning: The Wildcats beat Marquette 84-49 on Thursday behind 17 three-pointers. Villanova is 11-1 vs. Top 50 teams and is 23-8 ATS on the season. In the last meeting (Feb. 24), the Wildcats prevailed 89-61. In that one Providence's Kris Dunn, the team's oft-injured second-leading scorer and rebounder, put up just four points against six turnovers. On Thursday he rolled his ankle late in the game against St. John's. Villanova has won its last two games by a combined 72 points. The Wildcats have won the last four meetings and missed covering in all four by 1.5 points (02/18/14 at Providence). Villanova has outscored opponents by 15.9 ppg and has a sizable edge from behind the arc (39.1% vs. 30.1%).
Record: 310-230-11 (57.4%)
Bankroll: +281.31%
NCAAB: Friday's 2:30 p.m. ET play
Play: VCU -2.5 -110
Time: 2:30 p.m. ET
Reasoning: I like the Rams to exact revenge after losing both regular-season meetings. VCU has played a considerably tougher schedule and is 11-5 away from home. Richmond is 5-9 away from home. The Rams make more threes and free throws, a big advantage on the glass and record significantly more steals and blocks than Richmond. The Spiders have averaged only 61.4 ppg on 35% shooting over their last five and VCU pours in 72 points per contest.
Record: 310-230-11 (57.4%)
Bankroll: +281.31%
Time: 2:30 p.m. ET
Reasoning: I like the Rams to exact revenge after losing both regular-season meetings. VCU has played a considerably tougher schedule and is 11-5 away from home. Richmond is 5-9 away from home. The Rams make more threes and free throws, a big advantage on the glass and record significantly more steals and blocks than Richmond. The Spiders have averaged only 61.4 ppg on 35% shooting over their last five and VCU pours in 72 points per contest.
Record: 310-230-11 (57.4%)
Bankroll: +281.31%
NCAAB: Friday's noon ET play
Play: Wisconsin -14 -110
Time: Noon ET
TV: ESPN
Reasoning: Normally I don't like laying this many points, but my power ratings say the spread should be 16. The Badgers are 28-3 against the 18th-toughest schedule in the country. Two of those losses were against Top 25 teams and they are 18-1 against teams outside the Top 50. They went 16-2 in the Big 10, matching their best league record in 98 years. Michigan is 14-15 against Division I schools. The Wolverines shoot only 41.9% from the floor and have been outrebounded by nearly five per game. Wisconsin, which ended the regular season with a 72-48 waxing of Ohio State, is outscoring opponents by 15.9 ppg. The Badgers shoot 48% from the floor, score more at the line, outrebound opponents by six per contest, commit fewer turnovers and block twice as many shots. Wisconsin is led by Frank Kaminsky, a Player of the Year candidate, who is the only active major conference player to lead his team in points (18.4), rebounds (8.1), assists (2.6), blocks (1.6) and steals (0.9). Those numbers haven't been put up since Blake Griffin produced them in 2008-09. The Badgers are 11-10 ATS when laying double digits. Michigan is 7-9 ATS as a dog.
Record: 310-230-11 (57.4%)
Bankroll: +281.31%
Time: Noon ET
TV: ESPN
Reasoning: Normally I don't like laying this many points, but my power ratings say the spread should be 16. The Badgers are 28-3 against the 18th-toughest schedule in the country. Two of those losses were against Top 25 teams and they are 18-1 against teams outside the Top 50. They went 16-2 in the Big 10, matching their best league record in 98 years. Michigan is 14-15 against Division I schools. The Wolverines shoot only 41.9% from the floor and have been outrebounded by nearly five per game. Wisconsin, which ended the regular season with a 72-48 waxing of Ohio State, is outscoring opponents by 15.9 ppg. The Badgers shoot 48% from the floor, score more at the line, outrebound opponents by six per contest, commit fewer turnovers and block twice as many shots. Wisconsin is led by Frank Kaminsky, a Player of the Year candidate, who is the only active major conference player to lead his team in points (18.4), rebounds (8.1), assists (2.6), blocks (1.6) and steals (0.9). Those numbers haven't been put up since Blake Griffin produced them in 2008-09. The Badgers are 11-10 ATS when laying double digits. Michigan is 7-9 ATS as a dog.
Record: 310-230-11 (57.4%)
Bankroll: +281.31%
Thursday, March 12, 2015
NBA: Thursday's 10:30 p.m. ET play
Play: New York +7.5 -105
Time: 10:30 p.m. ET
Reasoning: My power ratings say this spread should be 5.5 points. Los Angeles has been favored in just six games this season, with none of them being by more than 5.5 points. The Knicks won the first meeting 92-80 on Feb. 1. Tim Hardaway Jr. (11.2 ppg) should return after a two-game absence for a balky back, and Alexey Shved is averaging 18.3 points over the past three games. New York hits more threes and is better at the line. Plus the Lakers allow 105.3 ppg.
Record: 308-230-11 (57.2%)
Bankroll: +261.15%
Time: 10:30 p.m. ET
Reasoning: My power ratings say this spread should be 5.5 points. Los Angeles has been favored in just six games this season, with none of them being by more than 5.5 points. The Knicks won the first meeting 92-80 on Feb. 1. Tim Hardaway Jr. (11.2 ppg) should return after a two-game absence for a balky back, and Alexey Shved is averaging 18.3 points over the past three games. New York hits more threes and is better at the line. Plus the Lakers allow 105.3 ppg.
Record: 308-230-11 (57.2%)
Bankroll: +261.15%
NBA: Thursday's 7 p.m. ET play
Play: Washington +1 -110
Time: 7 p.m. ET
TV: TNT
Reasoning: Memphis lost at Boston on Wednesday and averages just 97.2 ppg in the second game of back-to-backs. That's its lowest scoring total in any scenario. The Wizards destroyed host Charlotte 95-69 on Monday, allowing the Hornets to shoot just 32.5%. Washington has allowed only 89.8 ppg over its last five. Against the Celtics the Grizzlies received just 23 points from Marc Gasol and Zach Randolph and Mike Conley missed minutes after being helped off the court with a bad ankle. In addition Courtney Lee is shooting 24.4% over his last five contests. Marcin Gortat can bang inside with Gasol and Randolph and has averaged 14.4 points and 12.4 rebounds over his last five. The Wizards shoot better, rebound better and block more shots.
Record: 308-230-11 (57.2%)
Bankroll: +261.15%
Time: 7 p.m. ET
TV: TNT
Reasoning: Memphis lost at Boston on Wednesday and averages just 97.2 ppg in the second game of back-to-backs. That's its lowest scoring total in any scenario. The Wizards destroyed host Charlotte 95-69 on Monday, allowing the Hornets to shoot just 32.5%. Washington has allowed only 89.8 ppg over its last five. Against the Celtics the Grizzlies received just 23 points from Marc Gasol and Zach Randolph and Mike Conley missed minutes after being helped off the court with a bad ankle. In addition Courtney Lee is shooting 24.4% over his last five contests. Marcin Gortat can bang inside with Gasol and Randolph and has averaged 14.4 points and 12.4 rebounds over his last five. The Wizards shoot better, rebound better and block more shots.
Record: 308-230-11 (57.2%)
Bankroll: +261.15%
Wednesday, March 11, 2015
NCAAB: Wednesday's 7 p.m. ET play
Play: Pitt +3.5 -110
Time: 7 p.m. ET
TV: ESPN2
Reasoning: The Panthers, who rank ninth nationally in assists (16.5 per game), shoot much better from the field. They commit fewer turnovers, record more steals, are better at the line and can hang with North Carolina State on the glass. The Wolfpack shot 51.5% in the other meeting this season with Pitt, but they have shot just 39.2% over their last five.
Record: 308-228-11 (57.5%)
Bankroll: +284.21%
Time: 7 p.m. ET
TV: ESPN2
Reasoning: The Panthers, who rank ninth nationally in assists (16.5 per game), shoot much better from the field. They commit fewer turnovers, record more steals, are better at the line and can hang with North Carolina State on the glass. The Wolfpack shot 51.5% in the other meeting this season with Pitt, but they have shot just 39.2% over their last five.
Record: 308-228-11 (57.5%)
Bankroll: +284.21%
NCAAB: Wednesday's 5:30 p.m. ET play
Play: Arizona State -6 -110
Time: 5:30 p.m. ET
TV: Pac-12 Network
Reasoning: The Sun Devils closed the regular season by winning five of seven games. They are 5-1 SU and ATS in the last six against the Trojans. USC, a loser in 15 of its last 18 contests, is the worst shooting team in the conference (41.9%). Arizona State won the regular-season meeting 64-59 despite shooting only 32.8%. The Sun Devils are above average in shooting overall and from behind the arc. They make more of their free throws, will have an advantage on the boards and commit fewer turnovers. Forward Shaquielle McKissic is the reigning Pac-12 Player of the Week and point guard Tra Holder, an all-freshman team selection, has averaged 10.6 points and five assists over his last 12 tilts.
Record: 308-228-11 (57.5%)
Bankroll: +284.21%
Time: 5:30 p.m. ET
TV: Pac-12 Network
Reasoning: The Sun Devils closed the regular season by winning five of seven games. They are 5-1 SU and ATS in the last six against the Trojans. USC, a loser in 15 of its last 18 contests, is the worst shooting team in the conference (41.9%). Arizona State won the regular-season meeting 64-59 despite shooting only 32.8%. The Sun Devils are above average in shooting overall and from behind the arc. They make more of their free throws, will have an advantage on the boards and commit fewer turnovers. Forward Shaquielle McKissic is the reigning Pac-12 Player of the Week and point guard Tra Holder, an all-freshman team selection, has averaged 10.6 points and five assists over his last 12 tilts.
Record: 308-228-11 (57.5%)
Bankroll: +284.21%
Tuesday, March 10, 2015
NBA: Tuesday's play
Play: Toronto +8 -105
Time: 8:30 p.m. ET
Reasoning: My power ratings say the Spurs should be favored by 3.5 points. The Raptors beat San Antonio 87-82 in the first meeting this season (Feb. 8). In that one the Spurs shot just 33.3% and scored only 36 second-half points. Toronto, which is 4-1 ATS when getting five or more points, is 16-14 on the road. They've averaged 105.8 ppg in those contests. The Raptors easily lead the NBA in games (21) where they've allowed fewer than 10 turnovers. Toronto also makes more threes and free throws and it is better on the offensive glass. DeMar DeRozan averaged 28.1 ppg in four tilts last week. Tim Duncan didn't record a field goal in Sunday's game against Chicago, the first time he's done that in his career.
Record: 308-227-11 (57.6%)
Bankroll: +296.09%
Time: 8:30 p.m. ET
Reasoning: My power ratings say the Spurs should be favored by 3.5 points. The Raptors beat San Antonio 87-82 in the first meeting this season (Feb. 8). In that one the Spurs shot just 33.3% and scored only 36 second-half points. Toronto, which is 4-1 ATS when getting five or more points, is 16-14 on the road. They've averaged 105.8 ppg in those contests. The Raptors easily lead the NBA in games (21) where they've allowed fewer than 10 turnovers. Toronto also makes more threes and free throws and it is better on the offensive glass. DeMar DeRozan averaged 28.1 ppg in four tilts last week. Tim Duncan didn't record a field goal in Sunday's game against Chicago, the first time he's done that in his career.
Record: 308-227-11 (57.6%)
Bankroll: +296.09%
Monday, March 9, 2015
NBA: Monday's 7:30 p.m. ET plays
Play: Sacramento +11 -105
Time: 7:30 p.m. ET
Reasoning: Over the last two games Rudy Gay has totaled 66 points and DeMarcus Cousins has chipped in 56 points and 29 rebounds. The Kings have a tremendous rebounding advantage in this one and average 11.0 offensive boards per contest. They also are above average defending the three and can 5.9 more free throws per tilt than Atlanta. The Hawks are an astounding 23-4 ATS when favored by 6.5 or fewer points, but they are 6-12 ATS when favored by seven or more. Sacramento has played the third-toughest schedule in the NBA and Atlanta has played the second-easiest.
Play: Miami -2.5 -105
Time: 7:30 p.m. ET
Reasoning: The Heat won the first two meetings this season by a combined 24 points. They are seventh in the NBA in scoring defense (97.0 ppg) and they erased a 12-point fourth-quarter deficit to win their last game. Boston played on Sunday and blew a 20-point lead in a loss at Orlando. The Celtics are 10-20 on the road and allow 102.8 ppg in the second game of back-to-backs. Boston's second-leading active scorer, Avery Bradley (13.9 ppg), is expected to miss his third straight with an elbow injury. Miami has played the tougher schedule, shoots better from the field, scores more at the line, steals more balls and blocks more shots.
Record: 307-225-11 (57.7%)
Bankroll: +309.49%
Time: 7:30 p.m. ET
Reasoning: Over the last two games Rudy Gay has totaled 66 points and DeMarcus Cousins has chipped in 56 points and 29 rebounds. The Kings have a tremendous rebounding advantage in this one and average 11.0 offensive boards per contest. They also are above average defending the three and can 5.9 more free throws per tilt than Atlanta. The Hawks are an astounding 23-4 ATS when favored by 6.5 or fewer points, but they are 6-12 ATS when favored by seven or more. Sacramento has played the third-toughest schedule in the NBA and Atlanta has played the second-easiest.
Play: Miami -2.5 -105
Time: 7:30 p.m. ET
Reasoning: The Heat won the first two meetings this season by a combined 24 points. They are seventh in the NBA in scoring defense (97.0 ppg) and they erased a 12-point fourth-quarter deficit to win their last game. Boston played on Sunday and blew a 20-point lead in a loss at Orlando. The Celtics are 10-20 on the road and allow 102.8 ppg in the second game of back-to-backs. Boston's second-leading active scorer, Avery Bradley (13.9 ppg), is expected to miss his third straight with an elbow injury. Miami has played the tougher schedule, shoots better from the field, scores more at the line, steals more balls and blocks more shots.
Record: 307-225-11 (57.7%)
Bankroll: +309.49%
NBA: Monday's 7 p.m. ET play
Play: Washington +2.5 -110
Time: 7 p.m. ET
Reasoning: The Wizards should have Bradley Beal (14.9 ppg) back for this one after he was held out for rest on Saturday. Even without him Washington nearly won that game at Milwaukee. The Wizards are well above average shooting and defending and Charlotte is 28th in the NBA in field-goal percentage (42.8%). Washington has big advantages in this one shooting threes, on the glass and recording steals. It also is better from the line and my power ratings say this should be a pick 'em.
Record: 307-225-11 (57.7%)
Bankroll: +309.49%
Time: 7 p.m. ET
Reasoning: The Wizards should have Bradley Beal (14.9 ppg) back for this one after he was held out for rest on Saturday. Even without him Washington nearly won that game at Milwaukee. The Wizards are well above average shooting and defending and Charlotte is 28th in the NBA in field-goal percentage (42.8%). Washington has big advantages in this one shooting threes, on the glass and recording steals. It also is better from the line and my power ratings say this should be a pick 'em.
Record: 307-225-11 (57.7%)
Bankroll: +309.49%
Saturday, March 7, 2015
No plays for Sunday
Subscribers have been credited another day.
Record: 307-225-11 (57.7%)
Bankroll: +309.49%
NCAAB: Saturday's 9:30 p.m. play
Play: North Dakota State -2.5 -108
Time: 9:30 p.m. ET
TV: ESPN3
Reasoning: My power ratings say the Bison should be favored by three in this neutral-site contest, but I think North Dakota State will have a bit of a crowd advantage with it being played in Sioux Falls, South Dakota. Denver hasn't played a neutral-site game and is 3-10 on the road. The Bison are 3-1 in neutral-site tilts and they are 8-9 away from home. Denver, who could still be without starting guard Jalen Love, averages just 54.9 ppg on the road. ND State has a tremendous advantage on the glass. The Pioneers get outrebounded by nearly five per game overall and nearly seven per game on the road. The Bison commit fewer turnovers, make more foul shots and register nearly twice as many blocks. In their last five contests they have canned 42.7% of their threes. ND State has won both meetings this season, in overtime, by an average of 5.5 points.
Record: 305-225-11 (57.5%)
Bankroll: +288.13%
Time: 9:30 p.m. ET
TV: ESPN3
Reasoning: My power ratings say the Bison should be favored by three in this neutral-site contest, but I think North Dakota State will have a bit of a crowd advantage with it being played in Sioux Falls, South Dakota. Denver hasn't played a neutral-site game and is 3-10 on the road. The Bison are 3-1 in neutral-site tilts and they are 8-9 away from home. Denver, who could still be without starting guard Jalen Love, averages just 54.9 ppg on the road. ND State has a tremendous advantage on the glass. The Pioneers get outrebounded by nearly five per game overall and nearly seven per game on the road. The Bison commit fewer turnovers, make more foul shots and register nearly twice as many blocks. In their last five contests they have canned 42.7% of their threes. ND State has won both meetings this season, in overtime, by an average of 5.5 points.
Record: 305-225-11 (57.5%)
Bankroll: +288.13%
NCAAB: Saturday's 2 p.m. ET play
Play: LSU +6.5 -110
Time: 2 p.m. ET
TV: ESPN
Reasoning: The Tigers have a dynamic duo in Jarell Martin (16.0 ppg, 9.9 rpg) and Jordan Mickey (16.6 ppg, 9.0 rpg). And in their last contest they got 25 points out of third-leading scorer Keith Hornsby (13.3 ppg). LSU, which has won four of its last six, is far superior to Arkansas defensively. The Tigers allow opponents 40.1% shooting (31.1% on threes). The Razorbacks have allowed 72.6 ppg on 46.5% shooting (38.7% on threes) over their last five. LSU records more blocks and can hang with Arkansas at the line and on the glass. The Tigers are 6-1 ATS as underdogs are 8-5 ATS on the road. The Razorbacks are 2-4 ATS when favored by seven or fewer points.
Record: 305-225-11 (57.5%)
Bankroll: +288.13%
Time: 2 p.m. ET
TV: ESPN
Reasoning: The Tigers have a dynamic duo in Jarell Martin (16.0 ppg, 9.9 rpg) and Jordan Mickey (16.6 ppg, 9.0 rpg). And in their last contest they got 25 points out of third-leading scorer Keith Hornsby (13.3 ppg). LSU, which has won four of its last six, is far superior to Arkansas defensively. The Tigers allow opponents 40.1% shooting (31.1% on threes). The Razorbacks have allowed 72.6 ppg on 46.5% shooting (38.7% on threes) over their last five. LSU records more blocks and can hang with Arkansas at the line and on the glass. The Tigers are 6-1 ATS as underdogs are 8-5 ATS on the road. The Razorbacks are 2-4 ATS when favored by seven or fewer points.
Record: 305-225-11 (57.5%)
Bankroll: +288.13%
Friday, March 6, 2015
NBA: Friday's plays
Play: Phoenix +3 -110
Time: 8 p.m. ET
TV: ESPN
Resoning: The Suns are 15-17 on the road and Brooklyn is 11-16 at home. Phoenix is averaging 105.6 ppg and is coming off of a 105-100 victory at Orlando. In that one newcomer Brandon Knight scored 28, Markieff Morris pitched in 23 and P.J. Tucker scored 19 to finish in double figures for the eighth time in nine games. The Nets lost their last game at home to Charlotte, 115-91, and Joe Johnson, Brook Lopez and Jarrett Jack went a combined 7-for-26 from the floor. As a team Booklyn shot just 39.8%. The Suns are much better on threes, at the line, have a deeper bench and have advantages on the offensive glass and in the steals and blocks departments.
Play: New Orleans -7 -105
Time: 8 p.m. ET
Reasoning: The Pelicans have Anthony Davis back and all he did in his first try back was contribute 39 points, 13 rebounds, eight blocks and three steals in the win over Detroit on Wednesday. New Orleans is 21-10 SU (19-12 ATS) at home. Boston is 9-19 on the road. The Celtics will be without Avery Bradley (shoulder) and his 13.9 ppg for this one. The Pelicans went 4-1 without Davis when he was recovering from a shoulder injury. New Orleans is 9-3 at home vs. Eastern Conference opponents. The Pelicans are much better on threes and blocks, they commit fewer turnovers and have advantages at line and on the boards.
Record: 304-224-11 (57.6%)
Bankroll: +289.19%
Time: 8 p.m. ET
TV: ESPN
Resoning: The Suns are 15-17 on the road and Brooklyn is 11-16 at home. Phoenix is averaging 105.6 ppg and is coming off of a 105-100 victory at Orlando. In that one newcomer Brandon Knight scored 28, Markieff Morris pitched in 23 and P.J. Tucker scored 19 to finish in double figures for the eighth time in nine games. The Nets lost their last game at home to Charlotte, 115-91, and Joe Johnson, Brook Lopez and Jarrett Jack went a combined 7-for-26 from the floor. As a team Booklyn shot just 39.8%. The Suns are much better on threes, at the line, have a deeper bench and have advantages on the offensive glass and in the steals and blocks departments.
Play: New Orleans -7 -105
Time: 8 p.m. ET
Reasoning: The Pelicans have Anthony Davis back and all he did in his first try back was contribute 39 points, 13 rebounds, eight blocks and three steals in the win over Detroit on Wednesday. New Orleans is 21-10 SU (19-12 ATS) at home. Boston is 9-19 on the road. The Celtics will be without Avery Bradley (shoulder) and his 13.9 ppg for this one. The Pelicans went 4-1 without Davis when he was recovering from a shoulder injury. New Orleans is 9-3 at home vs. Eastern Conference opponents. The Pelicans are much better on threes and blocks, they commit fewer turnovers and have advantages at line and on the boards.
Record: 304-224-11 (57.6%)
Bankroll: +289.19%
Thursday, March 5, 2015
No plays for Thursday
Subscribers have been credited another day.
Record: 304-224-11 (57.6%)
Bankroll: +289.19%
Record: 304-224-11 (57.6%)
Bankroll: +289.19%
Tuesday, March 3, 2015
NCAAB: Wednesday's play
Play: UNLV +4.5 -110
Time: 11 p.m. ET
TV: CBSSN
Reasoning: San Diego State doesn't have much of an offense and will have to contend with a Rebels team that plays really good defense at home. UNLV is 12-3 at Thomas and Mack Center and in those games it has allowed opponents only 60.4 ppg on 37% shooting (30.6% on threes). The Aztecs scored just 46 points in their last contest and are 5-5 away from Viejas Arena. The Rebels have played the tougher schedule, they commit fewer turnovers and block more shots. At home UNLV shoots 35.8% on threes and 71.9% from the foul line. On the road SDSU allows 37.8% shooting from behind the arc and makes just 61.1% of its shots from the stripe.
Record: 303-224-11 (57.5%)
Bankroll: +278.85%
Time: 11 p.m. ET
TV: CBSSN
Reasoning: San Diego State doesn't have much of an offense and will have to contend with a Rebels team that plays really good defense at home. UNLV is 12-3 at Thomas and Mack Center and in those games it has allowed opponents only 60.4 ppg on 37% shooting (30.6% on threes). The Aztecs scored just 46 points in their last contest and are 5-5 away from Viejas Arena. The Rebels have played the tougher schedule, they commit fewer turnovers and block more shots. At home UNLV shoots 35.8% on threes and 71.9% from the foul line. On the road SDSU allows 37.8% shooting from behind the arc and makes just 61.1% of its shots from the stripe.
Record: 303-224-11 (57.5%)
Bankroll: +278.85%
NCAAB: Tuesday's 9 p.m. ET play
Play: Auburn +5 -110
Time: 9 p.m. ET
TV: SEC Network
Reasoning: The Tigers beat Missouri by six on Jan. 10 and Cinmeon Bowers had 20 points and 14 rebounds. Bowers is one of only five players from major conferences who are averaging a double-double. The Tigers are in last place in the SEC, having lost 14 of their last 15. Mizzou's leading scorer, Johnathan Williams III, hasn't hit his season average in scoring (12.2 ppg) in his last three. Second-leading scorer, Wes Clark (elbow), was lost for the season last month and Keith Shamburger has totaled just 23 points in his last four. The Tigers are shooting only 32.8% on threes, their lowest mark since 2004-05. Auburn has the advantage behind the arc, cans 5.3 more foul shots per contest and records more steals.
Record: 302-223-11 (57.5%)
Bankroll: +279.89%
Time: 9 p.m. ET
TV: SEC Network
Reasoning: The Tigers beat Missouri by six on Jan. 10 and Cinmeon Bowers had 20 points and 14 rebounds. Bowers is one of only five players from major conferences who are averaging a double-double. The Tigers are in last place in the SEC, having lost 14 of their last 15. Mizzou's leading scorer, Johnathan Williams III, hasn't hit his season average in scoring (12.2 ppg) in his last three. Second-leading scorer, Wes Clark (elbow), was lost for the season last month and Keith Shamburger has totaled just 23 points in his last four. The Tigers are shooting only 32.8% on threes, their lowest mark since 2004-05. Auburn has the advantage behind the arc, cans 5.3 more foul shots per contest and records more steals.
Record: 302-223-11 (57.5%)
Bankroll: +279.89%
NCAAB: Tuesday's 8 p.m. ET play
Play: Wright State +1 -110
Time: 8 p.m. ET
TV: ESPN3
Reasoning: It's tough to beat teams, especially better ones, three times in a season. So I like the Raiders here. They are 6-9 on the road and Illinois-Chicago has the same mark at home. The Flames shoot just 38% overall (36.9% in their last five games). Ill-Chi allows 48.7% shooting overall and 40.1% from behind the arc.
Record: 302-223-11 (57.5%)
Bankroll: +279.89%
Time: 8 p.m. ET
TV: ESPN3
Reasoning: It's tough to beat teams, especially better ones, three times in a season. So I like the Raiders here. They are 6-9 on the road and Illinois-Chicago has the same mark at home. The Flames shoot just 38% overall (36.9% in their last five games). Ill-Chi allows 48.7% shooting overall and 40.1% from behind the arc.
Record: 302-223-11 (57.5%)
Bankroll: +279.89%
Monday, March 2, 2015
NCAAB: Monday's play
Play: Virginia Tech -1 -110
Time: 9 p.m. ET
TV: ESPNU
Reasoning: The Hokies are 9-7 at home and have ACC wins over Pittsburgh and Georgia Tech. Boston College is 1-7 on the road and averages just 60 ppg (minus-8.9 scoring differential) in those games. The Eagles had lost nine straight before Saturday's upset of N.C. State.Virginia Tech's strength is its perimeter shooting. Adam Smith cans 43.6% of his threes and Justin Bibbs hits on 42.7% of his tries. B.C. allows opponents 37.8% shooting on threes and the Hokies connect on 40.4% at home. Va Tech can hang on the glass, commits fewer turnovers and blocks more shots.
Record: 302-222-11 (57.6%)
Bankroll: +291.64%
Time: 9 p.m. ET
TV: ESPNU
Reasoning: The Hokies are 9-7 at home and have ACC wins over Pittsburgh and Georgia Tech. Boston College is 1-7 on the road and averages just 60 ppg (minus-8.9 scoring differential) in those games. The Eagles had lost nine straight before Saturday's upset of N.C. State.Virginia Tech's strength is its perimeter shooting. Adam Smith cans 43.6% of his threes and Justin Bibbs hits on 42.7% of his tries. B.C. allows opponents 37.8% shooting on threes and the Hokies connect on 40.4% at home. Va Tech can hang on the glass, commits fewer turnovers and blocks more shots.
Record: 302-222-11 (57.6%)
Bankroll: +291.64%
Sunday, March 1, 2015
NCAAB: Sunday's 9:30 p.m. ET play
Play: Washington State +14.5 -110
Time: 9:30 p.m. ET
TV: FS1
Reasoning: A couple of Cougars records could go down in this game. DaVonte Lacy (17.2 ppg) is two three-pointers from tying Klay Thompson's career mark for triples. And with one more double-double Josh Hawkinson will have 18 on the season and will break Jim McKean's record set in 1966-67. Hawkinson averages 14.4 ppg and a conference-leading 10.7 rpg. Dexter Kernich-Drew has averaged 18 points and has canned 20-of-33 from behind the arc over his last five contests. Washington State has won the last two meetings by an average of 15 points. The Cougars make more threes, are much better at the line and have a superior assist-to-turnover ratio.
Record: 299-222-11 (57.4%)
Bankroll: +262.03%
Time: 9:30 p.m. ET
TV: FS1
Reasoning: A couple of Cougars records could go down in this game. DaVonte Lacy (17.2 ppg) is two three-pointers from tying Klay Thompson's career mark for triples. And with one more double-double Josh Hawkinson will have 18 on the season and will break Jim McKean's record set in 1966-67. Hawkinson averages 14.4 ppg and a conference-leading 10.7 rpg. Dexter Kernich-Drew has averaged 18 points and has canned 20-of-33 from behind the arc over his last five contests. Washington State has won the last two meetings by an average of 15 points. The Cougars make more threes, are much better at the line and have a superior assist-to-turnover ratio.
Record: 299-222-11 (57.4%)
Bankroll: +262.03%
NCAAB: Sunday's 2 p.m. ET plays
Play: Quinnipiac +5 -110
Time: 2 p.m. ET
TV: ESPN3
Reasoning: The Bobcats won the first meeting 73-59 on Jan. 23 and dominated throughout. They held Manhattan to 33.3% shooting (23.5% on threes), won the battle of the boards (41-30) and outscored the Jaspers 24-11 at the free-throw line. Quinnipiac also blocked 10 shots in that tilt. The Bobcats average an astonishing 14.4 offensive rebounds per game and outrebound opponents by 11.7 per contest. They also commit fewer turnovers and block twice as many shots as Manhattan.
Play: UConn +1 -110
Time: 2 p.m. ET
TV: CBS
Reasoning: The Huskies have won six straight at home and have outscored visitors by 11.0 ppg. Sophomore center Amida Brimah is shooting 71.7% from the field and has converted 19-of-21 shots in his last three. He has recorded 10 blocks in his last two. Freshman Daniel Hamilton leads Connecticut in rebounding (7.7 per game) and he grabbed 17 in the last contest (a 60-49 victory at East Carolina). Senior Ryan Boatright averages 17.5 ppg, 4.1 apg and 1.4 spg. The Huskies have played the tougher schedule, commit fewer turnovers and block more shots.
Record: 299-222-11 (57.4%)
Bankroll: +262.03%
Time: 2 p.m. ET
TV: ESPN3
Reasoning: The Bobcats won the first meeting 73-59 on Jan. 23 and dominated throughout. They held Manhattan to 33.3% shooting (23.5% on threes), won the battle of the boards (41-30) and outscored the Jaspers 24-11 at the free-throw line. Quinnipiac also blocked 10 shots in that tilt. The Bobcats average an astonishing 14.4 offensive rebounds per game and outrebound opponents by 11.7 per contest. They also commit fewer turnovers and block twice as many shots as Manhattan.
Play: UConn +1 -110
Time: 2 p.m. ET
TV: CBS
Reasoning: The Huskies have won six straight at home and have outscored visitors by 11.0 ppg. Sophomore center Amida Brimah is shooting 71.7% from the field and has converted 19-of-21 shots in his last three. He has recorded 10 blocks in his last two. Freshman Daniel Hamilton leads Connecticut in rebounding (7.7 per game) and he grabbed 17 in the last contest (a 60-49 victory at East Carolina). Senior Ryan Boatright averages 17.5 ppg, 4.1 apg and 1.4 spg. The Huskies have played the tougher schedule, commit fewer turnovers and block more shots.
Record: 299-222-11 (57.4%)
Bankroll: +262.03%
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