Monday, March 9, 2015

NBA: Monday's 7:30 p.m. ET plays

Play: Sacramento +11 -105

Time: 7:30 p.m. ET

Reasoning: Over the last two games Rudy Gay has totaled 66 points and DeMarcus Cousins has chipped in 56 points and 29 rebounds. The Kings have a tremendous rebounding advantage in this one and average 11.0 offensive boards per contest. They also are above average defending the three and can 5.9 more free throws per tilt than Atlanta. The Hawks are an astounding 23-4 ATS when favored by 6.5 or fewer points, but they are 6-12 ATS when favored by seven or more. Sacramento has played the third-toughest schedule in the NBA and Atlanta has played the second-easiest.



Play: Miami -2.5 -105

Time: 7:30 p.m. ET

Reasoning: The Heat won the first two meetings this season by a combined 24 points. They are seventh in the NBA in scoring defense (97.0 ppg) and they erased a 12-point fourth-quarter deficit to win their last game. Boston played on Sunday and blew a 20-point lead in a loss at Orlando. The Celtics are 10-20 on the road and allow 102.8 ppg in the second game of back-to-backs. Boston's second-leading active scorer, Avery Bradley (13.9 ppg), is expected to miss his third straight with an elbow injury. Miami has played the tougher schedule, shoots better from the field, scores more at the line, steals more balls and blocks more shots.



Record: 307-225-11 (57.7%)
Bankroll: +309.49%

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