Friday, March 13, 2015

NCAAB: Friday's 7 p.m. ET plays

Play: Kansas -1 -110

Time: 7 p.m. ET

TV: ESPN2

Reasoning: The Jayhawks, who have played the toughest schedule in the country, won both meetings this season. With leading scorer Perry Ellis (knee) out on Thursday, Kelly Oubre Jr. put up 25 points. If able, Ellis will play in this one. I think this line is a gift. Kansas isn't at full strength but if it was the line might be closer to the nine points suggested by the power ratings. The Jayhawks went 10-4 vs. Top 25 teams and are better from the field, at the line and they block more shots. Kansas is 5-1 in neutral court situations and this game will be played in Kansas City. The Jayhawks went 15-0 with a home-crowd behind them.


 Play: Villanova -9 -110

Time: 7 p.m. ET

TV: FS1

Reasoning: The Wildcats beat Marquette 84-49 on Thursday behind 17 three-pointers. Villanova is 11-1 vs. Top 50 teams and is 23-8 ATS on the season. In the last meeting (Feb. 24), the Wildcats prevailed 89-61. In that one Providence's Kris Dunn, the team's oft-injured second-leading scorer and rebounder, put up just four points against six turnovers. On Thursday he rolled his ankle late in the game against St. John's. Villanova has won its last two games by a combined 72 points. The Wildcats have won the last four meetings and missed covering in all four by 1.5 points (02/18/14 at Providence). Villanova has outscored opponents by 15.9 ppg and has a sizable edge from behind the arc (39.1% vs. 30.1%).
 


Record: 310-230-11 (57.4%)
Bankroll: +281.31%

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