NCAAB: Saturday's 9:30 p.m. play

Play: North Dakota State -2.5 -108

Time: 9:30 p.m. ET

TV: ESPN3

Reasoning: My power ratings say the Bison should be favored by three in this neutral-site contest, but I think North Dakota State will have a bit of a crowd advantage with it being played in Sioux Falls, South Dakota. Denver hasn't played a neutral-site game and is 3-10 on the road. The Bison are 3-1 in neutral-site tilts and they are 8-9 away from home. Denver, who could still be without starting guard Jalen Love, averages just 54.9 ppg on the road. ND State has a tremendous advantage on the glass. The Pioneers get outrebounded by nearly five per game overall and nearly seven per game on the road. The Bison commit fewer turnovers, make more foul shots and register nearly twice as many blocks. In their last five contests they have canned 42.7% of their threes. ND State has won both meetings this season, in overtime, by an average of 5.5 points.

Record: 305-225-11 (57.5%)
Bankroll: +288.13%