NCAAB: Friday's noon ET play

Play: Wisconsin -14 -110

Time: Noon ET

TV: ESPN

Reasoning: Normally I don't like laying this many points, but my power ratings say the spread should be 16. The Badgers are 28-3 against the 18th-toughest schedule in the country. Two of those losses were against Top 25 teams and they are 18-1 against teams outside the Top 50. They went 16-2 in the Big 10, matching their best league record in 98 years. Michigan is 14-15 against Division I schools. The Wolverines shoot only 41.9% from the floor and have been outrebounded by nearly five per game. Wisconsin, which ended the regular season with a 72-48 waxing of Ohio State, is outscoring opponents by 15.9 ppg. The Badgers shoot 48% from the floor, score more at the line, outrebound opponents by six per contest, commit fewer turnovers and block twice as many shots. Wisconsin is led by Frank Kaminsky, a Player of the Year candidate, who is the only active major conference player to lead his team in points (18.4), rebounds (8.1), assists (2.6), blocks (1.6) and steals (0.9). Those numbers haven't been put up since Blake Griffin produced them in 2008-09. The Badgers are 11-10 ATS when laying double digits. Michigan is 7-9 ATS as a dog.

Record: 310-230-11 (57.4%)
Bankroll: +281.31%