Play: Toronto +8 -105
Time: 8:30 p.m. ET
Reasoning: My power ratings say the Spurs should be favored by 3.5 points. The Raptors beat San Antonio 87-82 in the first meeting this season (Feb. 8). In that one the Spurs shot just 33.3% and scored only 36 second-half points. Toronto, which is 4-1 ATS when getting five or more points, is 16-14 on the road. They've averaged 105.8 ppg in those contests. The Raptors easily lead the NBA in games (21) where they've allowed fewer than 10 turnovers. Toronto also makes more threes and free throws and it is better on the offensive glass. DeMar DeRozan averaged 28.1 ppg in four tilts last week. Tim Duncan didn't record a field goal in Sunday's game against Chicago, the first time he's done that in his career.
Record: 308-227-11 (57.6%)
Bankroll: +296.09%
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