Play: St. Louis/Minnesota over 7.5 +105 (Martinez vs. Milone)
Time: 8:10 p.m. ET
Reasoning: The Twins average 5.03 runs per game at home and those games average a total of 8.72 runs. Tommy Milone has a 7.71 ERA at home and the over is 8-0 in his last eight contests featuring totals of 7.5-8 runs. At night Milone has a 5.94 ERA, and he allowed four earned runs in six innings in his other appearance against the Cardinals. Carlos Martinez has been brilliant during the day (1.93 ERA), but he's struggled at night (4.14 ERA). Minnesota's bullpen has a 3.89 ERA overall and a 4.72 ERA in its last five. Games umpired by Joe West this season have averaged 8.80 runs and the over has cashed in 10 of 15. Since the beginning of 2003, West's tilts have averaged between 8.28 and 10.32 runs.
Record: 382-294-13 (56.5%)
Bankroll: +271.80%
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