Thursday, June 11, 2015

NBA: Thursday's plays

Play: Golden State -2.5 -107 and Golden State/Cleveland over 193 -102

Time: 9 p.m. ET

TV: ABC

Reasoning: Warriors games average 207.9 points overall and 207.4 points on the road. Cavaliers contests average 201.5 points overall and 199.9 points at home. Only two of the 100 Golden State totals this season have been this low and just nine of Cleveland's 99 totals have been this low. Both teams are above average shooting in all three categories. But the Warriors also are better than the Cavs in all three shooting categories. Additionally, Golden State has the deeper bench and has sizable advantages in steals and blocks. The Warriors have outscored opponents by 9.5 ppg overall and 5.8 ppg on the road. LeBron James has been spectacular, but can he really keep averaging 41 points, 12 rebounds and 8.3 assists in this series? After Tuesday's triumph Matthew Dellavedova (severe dehydration) was taken via ambulance to a hospital where he spent the night getting IV treatments. Cleveland already is without point guard Kyrie Irving (knee), and Iman Shumpert needed an MRI Wednesday for his shoulder. Golden State got a nice contribution in Game 3 from David Lee (11 points in 13 minutes). I like Stephen Curry (17 points on Tuesday) and Klay Thompson (14 points on Tuesday) to bounce back. The same goes for Harrison Barnes, who went scoreless after going 0-for-8 from the field in Game 3.

Record: 378-291-13 (56.5%)
Bankroll: +266.76% 

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