Tuesday, June 23, 2015

MLB: Tuesday's 7 p.m. ET plays

Play: Cincinnati/Pittsburgh over 8 +110 (Smith vs. Locke)

Time: 7:05 p.m. ET

Reasoning: Josh Smith will make his major-league debut. He will face Jeff Locke, who has a 4.74 ERA and a 1.45 WHIP. The Reds are averaging nearly one run more per game vs. LH. The Pirates are averaging a half-run more per game vs. RH. Todd Frazier, who is 24-for-64 in his last 15 games, is 8-for-18 lifetime against Locke with two homers. He has four homers this season against the Bucs and 16 lifetime against them. Josh Harrison is 22-for-55 in his last 13 games, and Jay Bruce is 10-for-20 with two homers over his last five. Cincinnati's bullpen has a 4.48 ERA on the road.


Play: Boston -114 (Jimenez vs. Kelly)

Time: 7:10 p.m. ET

Reasoning: The Red Sox pounded out 16 hits (13 of them for extra bases) in a 13-2 win Sunday at Kansas City. Here they will face Ubaldo Jimenez, who is 1-3 with an 8.42 ERA in eight career starts against them. Joe Kelly is 1-1 in three career turns against Baltimore and has held the Orioles to a .186 BA. Boston is scoring nearly one run more per game vs. RH. Baltimore is scoring about a half-run fewer per game vs. RH. Mookie Betts is 20-for-36 with three homers and nine extra-base hits over his last nine. Adam Jones (shoulder) is questionable and Pablo Sandoval (leg) is probable.


Record: 383-300-13 (56.1%)
Bankroll: +217.48%


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