Tuesday, August 4, 2015

MLB: Tuesday's 7 p.m. ET plays

Play: Detroit +1.5 -165 (Duffy vs. Verlander)

Time: 7:08 p.m. ET

Reasoning: The Tigers would be 67-38 if they were given 1.5 rpg. The Royals would be 47-57 if they gave 1.5 rpg. Justin Verlander has the look of old over his last two starts. He allowed one run over eight innings in each contest. He has owned Kansas City in his career, going 19-7 with a 3.17 ERA in 35 starts against the Royals. Danny Duffy has a 4.28 ERA and a 1.43 WHIP this season. In his last start he allowed three homers and five runs over six innings. Kansas City is hitting .195 and is scoring 3.13 rpg in its last 10 vs. RH. In its last five against righties, it is hitting .196 and is scoring 3.03 rpg. The Tigers are hitting .423 and are scoring 10.12 rpg in their last five vs. LH. J.D. Martinez is 5-for-14 with two homers, two doubles and eight RBIs in his last four games. Salvador Perez is 2-for-27 over the last eight. Royals relievers have an 8.23 ERA over their last five.


Play: Atlanta +1.5 -160 (Peavy vs. Miller)

Time: 7:10 p.m. ET

Reasoning: The Braves would be 64-42 if they were given 1.5 rpg. San Francisco would be 42-63 if it gave 1.5 rpg. Shelby Miller is 5-8, but that's not indicative of how he's pitched. In his last 13 starts, Atlanta has totaled just 26 runs. He has a 2.44 ERA and he allowed the Giants only one run over seven innings on May 28. The Braves are riding high following their 9-8 win on Monday. In that they erased a 6-0 deficit before winning in extra innings. Nick Markakis has a 10-game hitting streak and Jace Peterson has posted back-to-back three-hit performances. Jake Peavy has a 4.12 ERA and a 1.22 WHIP. Atlanta scores 1.08 more rpg vs. RH.


Record: 407-319-17 (56.1%)
Bankroll: +248.85%

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