Monday, July 6, 2015

MLB: Monday's 8:10 p.m. ET plays

Play: Baltimore/Minnesota over 8 +110 (Chen vs. Hughes)

Time: 8:10 p.m. ET

Reasoning: Phil Hughes has a 4.67 ERA in 22 career appearances (19 starts) against the Orioles. Twins relievers have a 3.88 ERA overall and a 4.31 ERA in their last 10 games. Minnesota scores 1.14 more rpg vs. LH. Games for both teams average 8.40 and 8.24 runs, respectively. And Twins home games average 8.45 runs.


Play: Tampa Bay +121 (Colome vs. Volquez)

Time: 8:10 p.m. ET

Reasoning: The Royals are 2-5 in their last seven games. Mike Moustakas (personal), who is second on the team in batting (.301 BA), is questionable for this one. Edinson Volquez will start for Kansas City, and he has a 5.19 ERA and a 1.33 WHIP over his last three starts. He gave up five runs in five innings to Houston in his last turn. Alex Colome will go for the Rays, and he has a 3.60 ERA and a 1.05 WHIP over his last three starts. He has limited opponents to two runs or fewer in four of his last outings. Colome has a 3.62 ERA on the road and the Royals have never seen him. Kansas City is hitting .220 and is scoring just 3.24 rpg in its last five vs. RH.


Play: Atlanta +120 (Wisler vs. Lohse)

Time: 8:10 p.m. ET

Reasoning: Milwaukee is 15-26 at home. The Braves are scoring 1.86 more rpg vs. RH. Here they will face Kyle Lohse, who has a 6.24 ERA and a 1.38 WHIP. Matt Wisler will toe the slab for the fourth time in his career. He has a 2.60 ERA and he allowed just one hit over 5.1 scoreless innings in his last start.


Record: 391-307-15 (56.0%)
Bankroll: +229.24%

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