Saturday, October 3, 2015

NFL: Sunday's play

Play: Miami +2 -106

Time: 9:30 a.m. ET

TV: CBS

Reasoning: This is New York's first game in London. The Dolphins played there last season, also in Week 4, and beat Oakland 38-14. Chris Ivory (quadriceps) may return for this one after missing last week. But in four games against Miami, he's totaled just 171 yards (3.7 ypc). Without Ivory last week the Jets ran for only 48 yards.  I like Lamar Miller to get untracked here. In last season's finale against New York he went for 178 rushing yards. In that contest Eric Decker racked up 10 catches for 221 yards, but he may miss his second straight game with a sprained knee. The Dolphins held Brandon Marshall in check last season, allowing him just 48 yards on Oct. 19 when he was with Chicago. I still believe in Ryan Tannehill, especially with weapons like Miller, Jarvis Landry (24 receptions, 230 yards) and Rishard Matthews (16 catches, 262 yards, 3 TDs). Tannehill threw three INTs last week, but he also has five TDs and a completion percentage of 61.4. Ryan Fitzpatrick also was picked off three times last week and has five total INTs.

Record: 424-339-20 (55.6%)
Bankroll: +180.50%

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