Wednesday, February 26, 2014

Wednesday's NBA plays

Play: Detroit/San Antonio under 210.5 -109

Time: 8:30 p.m. ET

Reasoning: The Spurs haven't played since Friday, when they got blown out by Phoenix. San Antonio shot a season-low 34.9% in that contest and, without Tony Parker, its sluggish offense turned it over 18 times. Parker will miss this tilt too. Parker's backup, Patty Mills, was 2-of-14 shooting on Friday. I expect the Spurs to turn it around defensively with Kawhi Leonard back. I believe the line is five points too high, based on the overall and home/away splits and the referee assignments. And if this is a Spurs blowout, I expect that to help the under cash. The Pistons shoot 66.2% on free throws and their center, Andre Drummond, is 9-of-31 from the line over the last nine games.


Play: Houston/L.A. Clippers under 222 -108

Time: 10:30 p.m. ET

Reasoning: Games for each of these squads average less than 209 points. Two of the three refs tonight (Sean Corbin and Dan Crawford) have game averages under 200 points. Both teams are better than average defensively, below average on threes, very poor from the line and better than average at defensive rebounding. The Clippers steal the ball, the Rockets block shots. L.A. has faced just two totals above 215 points this season, with the higher total being 219.5. Houston has gone against three totals higher that 215, which the highest being 218.






Overall Record: 25-14-2 (64.1%)

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