Saturday, March 1, 2014

Saturday's NCAAB plays

Play: Gonzaga/Saint Mary's over 133.5 -110

Time: 10 p.m. ET

Reasoning: Both squads shoot the lights out from behind the arc (39.2% and 38.2%, respectively). As a result they also take a lot of attempts, and that's why they are such high-scoring teams. Bulldogs games average 141.2 points while Gaels tilts average 138.7 points. This is the second-lowest total Gonzaga has faced this season while it's the fourth-lowest number Saint Mary's has gone against.



Play: San Diego State -4 -107

Time: 10:05 p.m. ET

Reasoning: The Aztecs offense is led by Xavier Thames, who has struggled in the scoring department of late, but I expect him to get well against the Bulldogs. He had 28 against them last month. Thames hasn't committed a turnover in five games. SDSU is 38-17-2 ATS (69.1%) in its last 57 road contests. In this one the Aztecs have a huge rebounding advantage and can neutralize Fresno State's long-range shooting. The power rankings I use say this spread should be 6.5 points.



Record: 27-16-2 (62.8%)

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