Play: Connecticut/Florida over 126.5 -108
Time: 6:09 p.m. ET
Reasoning: This is the third-lowest total the Huskies have faced all season and it's the ninth-lowest for Florida. Games for both teams average more points than this figure both in the overall and the away-from-home splits. UConn's overall average is 136.1 ppg, its away average is 137.0 ppg, its neutral site average is 137.3 ppg and its last-five-game average is 143.0 ppg. I think this game will have a chance to go to overtime because the Huskies hit threes and free throws. But instead of taking UConn and the points, the over is the better play.
Play: Wisconsin +2 -109
Time: 8:49 p.m. ET
Reasoning: The power rankings that I use say the Badgers should be favored by 2.5 points. They went 12-4 this season against Top 50 teams and played a tougher schedule than Kentucky, which went 7-8 vs. Top 50 teams. Willie Cauley-Stein (ankle) will likely miss his second straight game and I think the Wildcats need him to get by Wisconsin. He has 106 blocks this season and his next closest teammate had just 30. The Badgers have advantages in free-throw and three-point shooting.
Record: 38-21-3 (64.4%)
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