Thursday, September 4, 2014

NFL: Thursday's play

Play: Green Bay +6 -110

Time: 8:30 p.m. ET

Reasoning: CenturyLink Field is the toughest place in the NFL to play, but if anyone can win there (or keep it close) it's Green Bay. The Packers are 6-2 against the Seahawks since 2003, and Green Bay should have won the last meeting there in 2012, if not for a horrible call by a replacement ref at the end. The Packers have all of their offensive weapons healthy for this one and the guys who kept it close in that 2012 meeting (defensive linemen Chris Clemons and Red Bryant) are no longer with Seattle. Clinton McDonald is also gone. Aaron Rodgers missed seven games last season but he still posted his fifth-straight season with a 100-plus passer rating. He has tossed 101 TDs against 20 interceptions over the last three campaigns. Balancing the offensive load for Green Bay is Eddie Lacy. All he did was rush for 1,178 yards and 11 TDs en route to becoming the NFL's Offensive Rookie of the Year in 2013. Defensively Clay Matthews is healthy and free-agent signee Julius Peppers should help keep Russell Wilson in check. This should be a hell of a game, and it's just too many points to give Rodgers and Co. My power rankings say the 'hawks should be favored by 4.5.

Record: 183-131-7 (58.3%)
Bankroll: +144.74%

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