Wednesday, September 3, 2014

Wednesday's Kansas City/Texas

Play: Kansas City/Texas over 8 -115 (Tepesch vs. Vargas)

Time: 8:10 p.m. ET

Reasoning: Each bullpen has been terrible enough in the home/away splits (4.62 and 4.15, respectively) to justify an over play, but these starters have me salivating. Nick Tepesch is being recalled from Triple-A Round Rock for this one, and he has a 4.44 ERA overall and a 5.09 ERA and a 1.58 WHIP in his last three starts. Jason Vargas also has a 1.58 WHIP in his last three turns and Texas loves facing LH (1.21 more runs per game against them and it has averaged 6.94 vs. LH in its last five contests). Tepesch allowed Kansas City six runs in 6.1 IP in his last try against the Royals, and he has walked 10 in his last three outings. Vargas allowed four runs and 10 hits over six innings in his last appearance. He is 4-8 lifetime against the Rangers and yielded 11 hits in six innings to Texas on Aug. 24.

Record: 182-130-7 (58.3%)
Bankroll: +145.53%



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