MLB: Monday's plays

Plays: Arizona +1.5 -160 and Arizona/San Diego over 6.5 +100 (Cahill vs. Ross)


Time: 4:10 p.m. ET

Reasoning: The Diamondbacks would be 79-57 if they were given 1.5 runs per game. The Padres would be 38-97 if they gave 1.5 rpg. Trevor Cahill has recorded quality starts in five of his last six games. In four career starts at Petco Park he has a 1.71 ERA and he has a 2.72 ERA in eight career appearances (seven starts) against San Diego. Still, I only expect Cahill to limit the Padres, not shut them down, because he has 4.98 ERA and a 1.56 WHIP in 2014. Tyson Ross is awesome, but he ain't Greg Maddux. He has posted a franchise-record 13 straight quality starts, but that's got to end at some point, right? Arizona games average 8.49 runs. The Diamondbacks are 8-4 this season vs. the Padres and 4-2 at Petco. Arizona should activate Cody Ross (calf) for this game. San Diego's closer, Joaquin Benoit (shoulder) will miss this series. The Diamondbacks have had a shaky bullpen (3.79 ERA) all season. Plus, it's a day game in San Diego, and it has been unseasonably hot down by the waterfront ballpark. So those usual fly balls at die at the warning track in night games might just reach the seats during this afternoon tilt. And we only need seven or more runs to cash the over bet.


Record: 182-128-7 (58.7%)
Bankroll: +161.20%