Friday's MLB plays

Play: Minnesota -109 (Young vs. Gibson)

Time: 8:10 p.m. ET

Reasoning: The Twins are coming off of a series win against Boston. Seattle has scored one run over its last two games. Mariners starter Chris Young is not as good as he's been and Minnesota starter Kyle Gibson is not as bad as he's been. Gibson actually only gave up his first homer of the season in his last start, which made him the last full-time starter in the majors to allow a homer. Seattle is hitting just .226 vs. RH and its bullpen has a 4.61 ERA in its last five games. The Twins are hitting 15 points higher and are scoring 1.4 more runs per game vs. RH.



Play: San Diego +1.5 -155 (Stults vs. De La Rosa)

Time: 8:40 p.m. ET

Reasoning: The Padres have won five of their last six games and the Rockies have dropped three straight. San Diego is scoring runs, averaging 6.4 per game over its last five wins. Colorado has scored just four runs in its last three contests. Padres starter Eric Stults is 3-0 lifetime against the Rockies and he didn't walk a batter in four of his last five starts. Colorado starter Jorge De La Rosa is going tonight but he's not on normal rest. He was pushed back three days because of back spasms. He has a 4.80 ERA in 16 starts (20 appearances) against San Diego. Padres OF Seth Smith is batting above .500 over his last 11 games. San Diego would be 26-16 if given 1.5 rpg and the Rockies would be 16-26 if they gave 1.5 rpg.

Play: Arizona +1.5 -130 (Greinke  vs. Miley)

Time: 9:40 p.m. ET

Reasoning: The Diamondbacks would be 21-22 if given 1.5 runs per game and Los Angeles would be 17-25 if it gave 1.5 rpg. The Dodgers are hitting 58 points lower and scoring 1.7 less rpg vs. LH. Los Angeles' bullpen has a 4.73 ERA on the road and a 5.40 ERA in its last five games. Arizona starter Wade Miley is coming off a strong performance and C Miguel Montero has hit well in his career against Dodgers starter Zack Greinke.




Play: Miami +1.5 -175 (Alvarez vs. Petit).

Time: 10:15 p.m. ET

Reasoning: Yusmeiro Petit is only pitching today because Tim Hudson is injured (hip). Petit started two games in place of Matt Cain this season and his ERA is 6.97 and his WHIP is 1.45 in those games. San Francisco is hitting 22 points lower and is scoring 0.71 less runs per game vs. RH. The Marlins bullpen has a 2.55 ERA over its last five games. Henderson Alvarez has a 3.33 ERA and his sinker should do fine at AT&T Park. Marlins slugger Giancarlo Stanton is batting .417 during his 17-game hitting streak. Miami is 10-2 in its last 12 at San Fran. Miami would be 27-15 if given 1.5 rpg and the Giants would be 18-24 if they gave 1.5 runs per game.



Record: 74-44-5 (62.7%)
Bankroll: +107%