Plays: Portland +5 -110 and San Antonio/Portland under 211 -110
Time: 10:30 p.m. ET
Reasoning: The Spurs dominated the first three games and as a result the spread and total are now set too high. The power rankings I use say San Antonio should be favored by 2.5 points. The Trail Blazers played a much tougher regular-season schedule than the Spurs and finished just eight games behind them in the Western Conference. The total for this contest by far exceeds what San Antonio games typically look like and even exceeds the avergae score for games involving Portland both in the overall sense and in the home/away splits. I like LaMarcus Aldridge and Damian Lillard to get right this evening with their backs against the wall. Additionally, the average combined score for any of these refs doesn't exceed 203.5 points.
Record: 69-43-5 (61.6%)
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