Play: Boston +122 (Buchholz vs. action)
Time: 1:10 p.m. ET
Reasoning: Despite what his numbers indicate, Clay Buchholz has been hit and miss this season. He's mostly "miss," but five of his nine starts have been quality ones. Altanta has never seen Buchholz either, so I like him to have an advantage. For the Braves, Ervin Santana has been positively Jaime Navarro-like in his last two starts. He was tagged for 11 runs on 19 hits in 12 IP. Last season (Aug. 9) Boston nailed him for nine hits and six runs in 3.2 IP. Against RH, the Braves are hitting 57 points lower and scoring 2.5 less runs per game (not a misprint).
Record: 87-56-5 (60.8%)
Bankroll: +105.90%
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