Play: San Antonio -5.5 -107
Time: 9 p.m. ET
Reasoning: This line is too low with Oklahoma City power forward Serge Ibaka (calf) unavailable for the series. I think the Thunder will have a heck of a time trying to make up for Ibaka, who averaged 14 points, 11.5 rebounds and four blocks in his four games against the Spurs this season. San Antonio will have Tony Parker (hamstring) ready to go as he practiced on Sunday. The Spurs also can rely on SF Kawhi Leonard, who averaged 17 points, 7.6 rebounds and 2.8 steals in the last series against Portland. I also expect San Antonio to get more out of SG Marco Belinelli as he's only scoring about half of the 11.4 points he averaged in the regular season. At home the Spurs' scoring margin was +9.2. They have a big advantage in the shooting department and have hit 42.2% of their threes at AT&T Center.
Record: 83-49-5 (62.9%)
Bankroll: +128.37%
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