Play: N.Y. Mets -109 (action vs. Niese)
Time: 7:10 p.m. ET
Reasoning: Pittsburgh stole one on Monday but I can't see it doing that today. The Pirates are hitting just .223 and scoring only 3.32 runs per game on the road. Also, their bullpen ERA is 3.50 away from home. The Mets shook things up a bit (fired hitting coach, released reliever) after Monday's loss, and that often spurs teams. Jon Niese gets the ball tonight for New York and he has a 2.70 ERA and a 1.16 WHIP. Niese has been consistent all year, as he hasn't allowed more than three runs in any of his nine starts. He'll be opposed by Edinson Volquez who has a 4.27 ERA. In away games Volquez is 0-2 and has allowed seven home runs in 18.1 IP. He is 1-5 with a 7.11 ERA in seven career starts against the Mets.
Record: 88-57-5 (60.7%)
Bankroll: +107.2%
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