Tuesday, May 26, 2015

MLB: Tuesday's 8:10 p.m. ET plays

Play: Milwaukee +1.5 -125 (Bumgarner vs. Garza)

Time: 8:10 p.m. ET

Reasoning: The Brewers would be 22-24 if they were given 1.5 rpg. San Francisco would be 16-30 if it gave 1.5 rpg. Milwaukee is averaging 7.71 rpg vs. LH over its last five. The Giants are hitting 137 points lower and are scoring 3.67 fewer rpg vs. RH in their last five. Over that same period San Francisco's bullpen has a 7.02 ERA. Madison Bumgarner has a 1.31 WHIP in his last three starts. Current Giants hitters are batting .203 lifetime (64 ABs) vs. Matt Garza. Khris Davis homered twice on Monday and Ryan Braun has four homers and 13 RBIs in his last seven games. Braun is hitting .300 with two homers in his career vs. Bumgarner.


Play: Boston -132 (Buchholz vs. Pelfrey)

Time: 8:10 p.m. ET

Reasoning: Clay Buchholz has made three straight quality starts and has a 2.49 ERA and a 0.92 WHIP over that period. Mike Pelfrey has a 3.57 ERA and a 1.42 WHIP in his last three turns. The Red Sox are hitting 44 points higher and are scoring a half-run more per game vs. RH. The Twins are hitting 39 points lower and are scoring 2.13 less rpg vs. RH. Boston also has a much better bullpen (3.51 ERA vs. 3.97 ERA).


Record: 368-280-13 (56.8%)
Bankroll: +308.54%

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