Play: Houston +10 -105
Time: 9 p.m. ET
TV: ESPN
Reasoning: My power ratings say the Warriors should just be favored by 7.5 points. This is the most points the Rockets have been spotted this season. They are hot after becoming the ninth team in NBA history to rally from a 3-1 deficit in a playoff series. They showed their mettle when overcoming a 19-point deficit with 14 minutes left in Game 6 vs. the Clippers. Houston has played the league's third-toughest schedule. Golden State, which will be without Marreese Speights (calf) for this one, has played the NBA's 14th-toughest schedule. James Harden has totaled 20 or more points in each of the Rockets' 12 postseason games. Josh Smith averaged 17 points in Game 6 and 7 vs. Los Angeles. And Dwight Howard has posted nine double-doubles in the playoffs. Houston records more three-pointers, free throws, offensive rebounds and steals.
Record: 364-275-13 (57.0%)
Bankroll: +329.15%
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