Friday, August 29, 2014

MLB: Friday's plays

Play: Texas/Houston over 8.5 +100 (Baker vs. Olberholtzer)

Time: 8:10 p.m. ET

Reasoning: Scott Baker wouldn't be starting if the Rangers had their druthers. He's been a gas can (5.45 ERA overall, 5.93 ERA and 1.76 WHIP in his last three starts). In Baker's last three relief appearances against the Astros he allowed four runs in 5.1 IP. Brett Olberholtzer yielded 10 hits in his last outing and Texas scores 1.1 more runs per game vs. southpaws. Houston scores 0.62 more rpg vs. RH. Rangers relievers have a 4.05 ERA, but that's nothing compared to the Astros bullpen. Houston relievers have a 4.93 ERA overall and a 7.36 mark in their last five contests. Watch for Texas CF Leonys Martin. He is 7-for-13 in his last three games.


Play: St. Louis -146 (action vs. Miller)

Time: 8:15 p.m. ET

Reasoning: Chicago is hitting .227 and is scoring nearly a run less per game vs. RH. It is 27-41 away from the Friendly Confines. The Cardinals are 39-26 at Busch Stadium, they hit 46 points higher at home vs. RH and they are hitting .295 and are scoring 5.21 runs per game in their last 10 against RH. St. Louis also expects to activate six-time Gold Glove C Yadier Molina from the DL before Friday's tilt. Kyle Hendricks has been lights-out, but his lone loss of the season came when he allowed the Cardinals seven hits on July 27. Shelby Miller has been struggling but I like him to get his groove back against a Cubs team that he has a 1.59 ERA against in three lifetime appearances (two starts). How valuable is Molina? In the 40 games that he has missed St. Louis has allowed more stolen bases (25) than Molina allowed (22) in his 83 games behind the dish.


Record: 181-125-7 (59.2%)
Bankroll: +177.61%
 

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