Play: Milwaukee/Chi. Cubs over 7 -120 (Fiers vs. Jackson)
Time: 2:20 p.m. ET
Reasoning: Before I get into anything else, know this: games called by umpire Tim Timmons usually involve a lot of runs. Looking at his last 15 seasons (as far back as my records go back)/ His runs per game have eclipsed 10.15 in four seasons, have eclipsed 9.06 in five different seasons and 8.16 in five different seasons. In his outlier year he allowed 7.55 runs. That's amazing consistency. Add to this an extremely inconsistent Edwin Jackson (5.61 ERA, 1.56 WHIP) and another pitcher (Mike Fiers) making just his second start since Sept. 8, 2012. Not to mention average to below-average bullpens...and it being a day game... I like the over. But, this is Wrigley Field, where they don't set totals until gameday because of the wind factor. As of 12:10 p.m. ET the wind is blowing in from left at 7 mph. In those scenarios this season (eight games with a North wind) the overs are 5-3 and the rpg is 7.24.
Record: 172-123-7 (58.3%)
Bankroll: +129.13%
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