Play: Atlanta +1.5 -160 (Strasburg vs. Santana)
Time: 7:35 p.m. ET
Reasoning: The Braves would be 77-37 if they were given 1.5 runs per game. The Nationals would be 49-64 if they gave 1.5 rpg. Ervin Santana has won three straight decisions and five of his last six. In his last turn he allowed two runs on six hits in 6.2 IP vs. San Diego. He has a 3.82 ERA in five career contests against Washington, and has a 1.23 ERA and a 1.09 WHIP in his last three starts. Stephen Strasburg is 3-5 with a 4.04 ERA in 14 career outings against Atlanta. This season he is 0-1 with a 6.10 ERA in two starts against the Braves. The Nats hit 31 points less and score 0.36 fewer rpg vs. RH. Atlanta's bullpen has a 2.50 ERA at home.
Record: 160-119-7 (57.3%)
Bankroll: +100.25%
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